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Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Wednesday 20 August 2014  Add your comment
Pretty benign economic news

The pre-election economic update from Treasury yesterday had no big surprises and appears to have done little to change any forecasts around future interest rate moves. Perhaps the more important release was the Reserve Bank's survey of inflation expectations. As usual, the big focus was on respondents’ views on annual CPI inflation. For the year ahead these eased from 2.08% to to 1.96%, while the forecast for two years ahead was moderated from 2.36% to 2.23%. This put the one-year view close to the mid-point of the RBNZ’s 1.0 to 3.0% target range, while the two-year view was still riding a bit above this.

The only home loan rate changes today are little ones to Housing New Zealand's offers.

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Housing confidence stays strong despite slip

A perception that prices are favourable and the drop in interest rates this year has helped keep housing confidence strong, although it dipped slightly from three months ago, the ASB Bank’s latest survey shows.

Monday, September 3rd 2001, 8:32AM

by Jenny Ruth

A net 47% of survey respondents believe it’s a good time to buy a house, down from 49% three months ago. Of those who believe it’s a good time to buy, 48% cited favourable house prices as a reason, down from 51% three months ago, while 43% cited favourable interest rates, up from 34% three months ago.

House prices have edged lower, according to Quotable Value whose provisional index fell 0.6% during the June quarter following a 0.5% rise in the March quarter. The Reserve Bank has cut its official cash rate, which influences wholesale and retail interest rates, three times this year from 6.5% to 5.75%.

ASB Bank’s survey had 1,200 respondents and only 99 of them think it’s a bad time to buy.

House price expectations have remained stable with a net 24% expecting prices to rise, largely unchanged from three months ago.

The bank says its calculations suggest people are expecting annual price increases of about 3% which it suggests could prove difficult to achieve. That’s partly because mortgage interest rates are likely to rise again soon.

Only a net 3% of those surveyed expect interest rates to rise in the coming year, down from a net 9% three months ago. The biggest proportion of respondents, 40%, are expecting no change in rates.

"The balance of risks suggest that although this is not a completely unrealistic expectation, yet again, it could be somewhat optimistic," the bank says.

It expects interest rates are likely to be relatively stable in the next four to six months, but the balance of risks suggest rates are more likely to rise in the following six months.

Having interest rates at current levels is stimulatory effect and so are unsustainably low, the bank says.

"Fixed mortgage rates have already risen from their lows and at some stage during the next 12 months we expect variable mortgage rates to have started an upward trend."

« Mortgage borrowing rises $240m in JulyBank cheques can bounce, broker discovers »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AMP Home Loans 7.24 5.99 6.39 6.65
AMP Home Loans $200k+ 7.14 5.89 6.29 6.55
AMP Home Loans LVR <80% - - 5.85 6.29
ANZ 6.74 6.05 6.49 6.65
ANZ LVR > 90 6.74 6.55 6.99 7.15
ANZ Special - - 5.99 -
ASB Bank 6.75 6.09 6.40 6.65
ASB Bank Special - - 5.99 -
BankDirect 6.75 6.09 6.99 6.65
BankDirect Special - - 5.99 -
BNZ - Classic - - 5.99 6.25
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - GlobalPlus 6.74 5.99 6.39 6.59
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.15 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 6.74 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 6.74 5.99 6.39 6.59
BNZ - TotalMoney 6.74 - - -
Credit Union Auckland 6.70 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 6.45 5.90 6.50 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 5.75 - - -
eMortgage 6.04 6.15 6.69 7.19
Finance Direct 6.10 6.45 6.69 7.10
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
First Credit Union 6.45 - - -
General Finance 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
HBS Bank 6.15 5.85 5.99 6.25
HBS Special - - - 5.95
Heartland 6.45 6.75 7.00 7.60
Heretaunga Building Society 6.25 5.85 6.50 -
Housing NZ Corp ▲6.74 ▼5.99 ▼6.19 6.60
HSBC Premier 6.84 5.95 ▼5.95 ▲6.55
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 6.75 5.99 6.39 -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 6.40 5.99 6.39 6.65
Kiwibank - Capped 5.65 6.50 - -
Kiwibank - Offset 6.30 - - -
Kiwibank LVR > 80% - - 5.99 -
Liberty 5.64 - - -
Napier Building Society 5.80 6.00 6.70 -
Nelson Building Society 6.95 6.15 6.60 -
NZ Home Loans 6.85 6.09 6.40 6.65
Perpetual Trust 7.70 - - -
RESIMAC - lo doc 7.59 7.06 7.38 7.82
RESIMAC LVR < 80% 6.59 6.06 6.38 6.82
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
RESIMAC LVR < 85% 7.59 7.06 7.38 7.82
RESIMAC LVR < 90% 8.59 8.06 8.38 8.82
SBS Bank 6.15 5.85 5.99 6.25
SBS Bank Special - - - 5.95
Silver Fern 5.95 6.10 6.55 7.05
Sovereign 6.85 6.09 6.40 6.65
Sovereign Special - - 5.99 -
The Co-operative Bank 6.70 6.00 6.00 6.25
TSB Bank 6.74 6.00 6.19 6.60
TSB Special - - 5.80 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.20 5.75 5.95 -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac 6.59 6.09 6.39 6.65
Westpac - Capped rates - 6.74 6.99 -
Westpac - Offset 6.59 - - -
Westpac Special - - 5.99 -
Median 6.70 6.06 6.39 6.65

Last updated: 20 August 2014 11:36am

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