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Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Wednesday 19 June 2013
Predictions for floating rates Following the Reserve Bank announcement last week the market now prices 40 basis points of OCR hikes in the year ahead, and a 30% chance of a 25 point rate hike by year-end.
BNZ says it expects a first OCR hike in March next year. This would be the beginning of a process of ‘normalising’ the OCR from its current historic low of 2.50%. We then see a steady progression of the OCR to a cyclical peak of 4.50%, by mid-2015.
"Our view is based on the premise the economy is now showing broad-based strength, against the backdrop of limited excess capacity to absorb growth. This should lead to inflationary pressures down the track, as should the gradual decline in the NZ Dollar that we see unfolding next year. In addition, we believe house price appreciation will ultimately require a monetary policy response as well as the implementation of macro-prudential tools."
Housing market falters in September
Both the number of housing sales and the median house price dipped significantly in September but the Real Estate Institute believes this is temporary.
Friday, October 19th 2001, 5:48PM
by Jenny Ruth
"There
are a number of factors that influenced the market during September,
not least of which was the school holidays and public concern
regarding the events of 11 September," says vice-president
Graeme Woodley.
"But none of this will have any long-term
effect on the home-buying public," he says.
The housing market declines were despite
the Reserve Bank cutting its official cash rate from 5.75% to
5.25% on 19 September.
The institute’s figures show floating
rate mortgages have fallen from between 6.84% and 7.7% a month
ago to between 6.34% and 7.2% currently.
Woodley says these interest rates are "extremely
low by New Zealand standards" and should help stimulate the
housing market. "As we come into summer, traditionally a
busy season for real estate, we anticipate market activity will
increase," he says.
The institute figures show the national
median house price fell to $173,000 in September, the same level
it was at in September last year, from $176,000 in August.
They show that the number of houses sold
nationally fell from 6,976 worth $1.45 billion in August to 5,604
worth $1.17 billion in September but was higher than the 5,071
houses sold in September last year. Woodley says the year-on-year
measure is often more important than the monthly comparisons.
On a regional basis, six of the 11 regions
saw the September median price rise from August while it fell
in the other five. Compared with September last year, the median
price was higher in all but three of the 11 regions.
Compared with August, activity fell in all
regions except Southland where the 217 houses sold in September
just eclipsed the 216 sold in August. Compared with September
last year, activity was higher in all 11 regions.
- REINZ PROPERTY MARKET REPORT
- TOTAL DWELLINGS MEDIAN PRICE COMPARISONS
FOR SEPTEMBER 2000-2001
| REGION |
SEPT
00 |
AUG
01 |
SEPT
01 |
| Northland |
140,000 |
147,500 |
135,000 |
| Auckland |
242,000 |
240,000 |
249,000 |
| Waikato/BOP/Gisborne |
154,000 |
161,000 |
158,000 |
| Hawkes Bay |
130,000 |
123,861 |
132,500 |
| Manawatu/Wanganui |
94,500 |
103,000 |
107,000 |
| Taranaki |
94,000 |
95,000 |
105,000 |
| Wellington |
190,500 |
200,000 |
185,000 |
| Nelson/Marlborough |
140,750 |
147,750 |
150,000 |
| Canterbury/Westland |
135,000 |
136,000 |
142,000 |
| Otago |
105,000 |
101,000 |
92,500 |
| Southland |
73,500 |
95,000 |
83,000 |
| NZ Total |
$173,000 |
176,000 |
173,000 |
Commenting is closed
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Mortgage Rates Table
Full Rates Table | Compare Rates
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
| AMP Home Loans |
6.24 |
5.25 |
4.99 |
5.65 |
| AMP Home Loans $200k+ |
6.14 |
5.15 |
4.89 |
5.55 |
| ANZ |
5.74 |
5.25 |
5.45 |
5.80 |
| ANZ Special |
- |
4.95 |
- |
- |
| ASB Bank |
5.75 |
5.19 |
5.45 |
5.75 |
| ASB Bank Special |
- |
4.95 |
- |
- |
| Bank Direct Special |
- |
4.95 |
- |
- |
| BankDirect |
5.75 |
5.19 |
5.45 |
5.75 |
| BNZ - Classic |
- |
- |
5.40 |
- |
| BNZ - GlobalPlus |
5.99 |
5.25 |
5.65 |
5.80 |
| BNZ - Mortgage One |
6.40 |
- |
- |
- |
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
| BNZ - Rapid Repay |
5.99 |
- |
- |
- |
| BNZ - Std, FlyBuys |
5.99 |
5.25 |
5.65 |
5.80 |
| BNZ - TotalMoney |
5.74 |
- |
- |
- |
| Credit Union Auckland |
6.20 |
- |
- |
- |
| Credit Union Baywide |
5.85 |
5.45 |
5.45 |
- |
| Credit Union North |
6.45 |
- |
- |
- |
| Credit Union South |
5.75 |
- |
- |
- |
| eMortgage |
6.04 |
6.15 |
6.69 |
7.19 |
| Fantastic Home Loans |
5.74 |
5.19 |
5.40 |
5.75 |
| Fidelity Life |
5.70 |
5.85 |
6.35 |
- |
| Finance Direct |
6.10 |
6.45 |
6.69 |
7.10 |
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
| First Credit Union |
6.45 |
- |
- |
- |
| General Finance |
5.95 |
6.25 |
6.50 |
7.10 |
| HBS Bank |
5.65 |
4.95 |
4.99 |
5.65 |
| Heartland |
5.95 |
6.25 |
6.50 |
7.10 |
| Heretaunga Building Society |
5.75 |
5.25 |
5.65 |
- |
| Housing NZ Corp |
5.75 |
5.25 |
5.40 |
5.74 |
| HSBC Premier |
5.99 |
4.99 |
5.25 |
5.45 |
| HSBC Premier Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Kiwibank |
5.65 |
4.89 |
5.25 |
5.65 |
| Kiwibank - Capped |
5.65 |
6.50 |
- |
- |
| Kiwibank - Offset |
5.50 |
- |
- |
- |
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
| Liberty |
5.64 |
- |
- |
- |
| Napier Building Society |
5.80 |
6.00 |
6.70 |
- |
| Nelson Building Society |
6.45 |
5.95 |
6.25 |
- |
| NZ Home Loans |
5.85 |
5.25 |
5.45 |
5.75 |
| Perpetual Trust |
7.70 |
- |
- |
- |
| RESIMAC - lo doc |
6.59 |
6.35 |
6.55 |
6.90 |
| RESIMAC LVR <80% |
5.59 |
5.35 |
5.55 |
5.90 |
| SBS Bank |
5.65 |
4.94 |
4.99 |
5.65 |
| Silver Fern |
5.95 |
6.10 |
6.55 |
7.05 |
| Southern Cross |
5.95 |
6.25 |
6.50 |
7.10 |
| Sovereign |
5.85 |
5.19 |
5.45 |
5.75 |
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
| The Co-operative Bank |
5.70 |
4.94 |
5.35 |
5.75 |
| The Co-operative Bank Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| TSB Bank |
5.79 |
5.25 |
5.30 |
5.75 |
| TSB Bank Special |
- |
▼4.88 |
- |
- |
| Wairarapa Building Society |
6.20 |
6.70 |
6.95 |
- |
| Westpac |
6.24 |
5.19 |
5.45 |
5.90 |
| Westpac - Capped rates |
- |
6.50 |
- |
- |
| Westpac LVR >80% |
- |
4.94 |
- |
- |
| Median |
5.85 |
5.25 |
5.45 |
5.75 |
Last updated: 16 June 2013 9:53pm Previous News
-
Monday, June 17th, 1:54PM
Consumer confidence stats won't change RBNZ mind: ASB
-
Friday, June 14th, 8:48AM
What the experts said
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Thursday, June 13th, 8:54PM
Liberty finally gains control of Mike Pero
-
Thursday, June 13th, 9:02AM
Slight interest rate rise forecast
-
Wednesday, June 12th, 6:21PM
Flurry of home loan rate cuts
-
Monday, June 10th, 7:25AM
Nine more months of unchanged OCR predicted
-
Friday, June 7th, 12:41PM
Kiwibank switches home loan promotion
-
Friday, June 7th, 10:09AM
Restrictions on lending may have little impact
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