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Archive for December, 2005

APB’s – What’s the rush?

Saturday, December 17th, 2005

I was talking to someone in Wellington the other day and commented that it seems like advisers are looking forward (positively) to regulation.

This person was surprised that there was a group of people who want to be regulated.

By and large it is true – there is some optimism about regulation.

Although it is also true that many advisers (and good ones as well as bad ones) will decide to take down their shingle and call it a day when regulation arrives. It happened in Australia and it will happen here.

Another positive is that there is lots of discussion and groups are putting up their collective hands and saying yes we want to be an APB.

But it seems some are getting a little over-excited. No-one knows what an APB will and won’t be allowed to do, and it is totally unclear whether existing organisations will be allowed to be APBs or whether a range of different organisations have to be established.
While things sit in this state, these organisations have to bide their time and show some patience.

My view is that some of the talk at the moment appears to be premature and that it is unwise to be trying to make important decisions on the future shape of the industry, before the rules (or even a draft set of rules) have been established.

Yes embrace change, and use it as an opportunity, but spend the time making sure the correct changes are made and implemented for the best interests of key stakeholders.

More thoughts on finance company research – or so called research

Monday, December 5th, 2005

As promised here are some thoughts on some of the so-called research that is being done on finance companies.

I believe it is something that is absolutely imperative for the on-going success of the sector. It is so important that some years ago we looked at developing something in this area, but canned it when Grosvenor came out with its Bond Watch service.

The problems with research in this area is that it is very hard to do an apples-with-apples comparison (namely treat each company identically), secondly it is too easy for finance companies to hide things in their accounts (not saying that they would do this though).

There is one rating system, or should I say ranking system, that appears to have little integrity as the compilers don’t have either an established or known track record in this area and their process is secret.

It appears to be subjective and relative and produces odd results.

For instance some finance companies are ranked more highly than established banks. I believe any adviser who uses this system is failing their clients, or at the least taking the easy way out.

Sticking with the research idea it is clear people don’t understand the differences between the crowds that provide ratings/rankings.
One of the other rather bizarre things that tends to illustrate this point is Geneva Finance promoting its S&P rating.

Good on them with fronting up with the cash and going through the S&P process – it is probably the best system out there. On that count Geneva are winners.

But having said that they promote that they have B+ rating.

Now to most people a B+ is pretty good if it is the market they got for a university paper (well I always thought it was!) In the investment world though a B+ S&P rating is saying that it is sub-investment grade or junk.

Do the punters understand this? I doubt it.

Besides research there needs to be some decent education.

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