tmmonline.nz  |   landlords.co.nz        About Good Returns  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  RSS Feeds

NZ's Financial Adviser News Centre

GR Logo
Last Article Uploaded: Wednesday, June 29th, 1:39PM

Mortgages

rss
Latest Headlines

Pressure on interest rates to ease - possibly

A fall in GDP numbers could slightly ease pressure on interest rates, Westpac says

Friday, June 17th 2022, 1:59PM

by Eric Frykberg

Yesterday's 0.2% fall in GDP might make the Reserve Bank's job slightly easier, according to advice done for Westpac.

Acting chief economist Michael Gordon thinks it might lessen any need to push the OCR close to 4%, as had been warned.

Gordon said even though the economy was still running ahead of its non- inflationary equilibrium, there was now a greater option for a soft landing, which could make interest payments for borrowers slightly easier in future years.

But the margin won't be great - Gordon is still forecasting an OCR peak of 3.5% and a return to growth next quarter.

Kiwibank economists, who earlier had forecast growth this quarter, say the impact of Covid was far greater than expected, while worker absenteeism played a role in the decline.

They expect to see a bounce back in activity over the second quarter, but are worried about the outlook into 2023.

They say growth will halve next year, driven down by the cost of making interest payments at the same time as a falling housing market could induce hesitation about spending.

“Both consumer and business confidence are in the doldrums already,” they said.

ASB economist Nathanial Keall had earlier forecast growth for the March quarter and admitted he was wrongfooted.

Looking ahead, he said substantial headwinds were mounting.

“We don't want to sound too pessimistic,” Keall said,

“Just as recent house price falls were not a bloodbath, so the economy is not on the brink of caving in.

“We can take some comfort from New Zealand's favourable terms of trade and the constructive outlook for our export sector. Nevertheless, we see growth slowing to circa 1% to 2% over 2022 and 2023, in contrast with the whopper 5.4% we expected last year.”

The Government blamed the lower result on global economic worries that had reduced the appetite for New Zealand exports.

Tags: GDP

« Mortgage Express gets a new, familiar, bossMassey moves forward from Avanti »

Special Offers

Comments from our readers

No comments yet

Sign In to add your comment

 

print

Printable version  

print

Email to a friend
News Bites
Latest Comments
Subscribe Now

Mortgage Rates Newsletter

Daily Weekly

Previous News

MORE NEWS»

Most Commented On
Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA 5.95 4.85 5.35 5.65
ANZ 5.94 5.95 6.40 6.59
ANZ Blueprint to Build - - - -
ANZ Special - 5.35 5.80 5.99
ASB Bank 5.85 ▲5.35 ▲5.80 ▲5.99
Avanti Finance 5.95 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.95 - - -
Bluestone 5.89 7.49 8.09 8.19
BNZ - Classic - 5.35 5.69 5.99
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.94 5.95 6.29 6.59
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML Loans 6.45 - - -
China Construction Bank 5.50 5.40 6.14 6.40
China Construction Bank Special - 4.45 5.19 5.45
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.75 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.85 4.85 5.35 5.65
Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.85 5.35 5.85 6.15
Credit Union Auckland 5.95 - - -
First Credit Union Special 5.85 ▲5.35 ▲5.85 -
Heartland Bank - Online 4.10 ▲4.90 ▲5.29 ▲5.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Heretaunga Building Society 6.10 ▲5.35 ▲5.80 -
HSBC Premier 5.89 4.39 5.15 5.39
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 5.25 4.39 5.09 5.45
Kainga Ora 5.43 4.57 5.58 5.85
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.50 ▲6.19 ▲6.69 ▲6.79
Kiwibank - Offset 5.50 - - -
Kiwibank Special 5.00 ▲5.19 ▲5.69 ▲5.89
Liberty 4.84 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Nelson Building Society 6.45 5.55 6.15 -
Pepper Money 4.49 - - -
Resimac 6.19 5.60 6.16 6.29
SBS Bank 5.79 5.05 5.69 5.89
SBS Bank Special - 4.55 5.19 5.39
Select Home Loans 4.09 4.29 4.86 5.09
TSB Bank ▲6.30 ▲5.65 5.79 ▲6.45
TSB Special ▲5.50 ▲4.85 4.99 ▲5.65
Unity 5.65 4.95 5.55 -
Wairarapa Building Society 5.74 4.95 5.75 -
Westpac 5.94 ▲5.95 ▲6.29 ▲6.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac - Offset 5.94 - - -
Westpac Special - ▲5.35 ▲5.69 ▲5.99
Median 5.87 5.35 5.72 5.99

Last updated: 29 June 2022 9:23am

About Us  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  Privacy Policy  |  RSS Feeds  |  Letters  |  Archive  |  Toolbox  |  Disclaimer
 
Site by Web Developer and eyelovedesign.com