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Beware talk of the ‘paradigm shift’

Wednesday 9th of May 2012

Eaqub will be speaking at the upcoming Perfecting Investment Portfolios conference in Auckland, where he will discuss some of the key themes affecting the economy both in New Zealand and internationally.

One of the themes is commodity prices and what history says about the so-called “paradigm shift” towards permanently higher prices for commodities, including New Zealand’s key export, milk, as a result of the rapid industrialisation of China.

“There is a lot of the ‘if every Chinaman drank a glass of milk’ sort of thing,” he said.  “But if you look through history food prices have trended down over time through technological innovation and productivity improvements.”

As part of his presentation Eaqub will look at the price history of wool, a key commodity for New Zealand, which has been through “great booms and great busts” in the past century. 

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