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Niko Kloeten
Niko Kloeten
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Bonds safe(ish) despite debt crises

Tuesday 1st of November 2011

Scott Mather, managing director of the bond fund manager, said at a breakfast in Auckland that despite several countries facing sovereign debt crises, overall the bond market is in good shape.

The economic picture he painted was gloomy: Pimco has lowered its GDP growth forecast to 0% across the developed world next year.

And he said Greece will default "a few times" starting "at the end of this week or the end of this year", while Ireland has a more than 50% likelihood of defaulting and Portugal about a 75% chance.

However, while the prognosis for these countries is bleak, Mather said the picture is brighter in some other countries, particularly those such as the United States and the United Kingdom that can use their currencies to avoid defaulting on their bonds.

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Latest Comments
FMA outlines its latest expectations for advisers
All things said are great aspirational goals for a great financial advice industry, it mirrors what both the legislation and the code requires. However, like most things discussed it talks about what's expected not how it's done. The hardest aspect of financial advice today isn't what it is, it is how it is done. The how only comes from those that have done it, the how is only provided with examples. Guidance documents that spell out what's required along side how it it done. We’re still dealing with the same issues we started with in 2021, figuring out the how. And figuring out the how in every advice business is consuming resources that could easily be shortcut by the FMA demonstrating what they are expecting. It's not about “do it this way” its about this is the sorts of things we’re looking for. In the absence of standards and expectations, guesswork prevails. That represents significant risk to FAPs and the result is onerous overcooked advice processes for multiple advice operations and undercooked she’ll be right for single operators focused on getting the work done. Both approaches have potential for harm and as its been said earlier, leaves advisers open to explain they haven't been speeding with the authorities have pulled them over. The advice industry needs guidance on the how we know the what already.
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Who is responsible for notifying policy changes?
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1 day ago Jon-Paul Hale
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To correct errors in my previous post: "policies, templates, and controls" should read "policies, processes, systems and controls", and "is more conductive" should read "is more conducive".
2 days ago Paul Flood
FMA outlines its latest expectations for advisers
The goalposts haven't shifted, and no-one is moving the hole to the side of the green just to mess with the twilight burglars. The phrasing of the opening sentence ("having policies, templates, and controls in place is no longer enough") might suggest otherwise, but the wording is unfortunate. Having policies, templates, and controls in place was NEVER enough - it is a necessary, but not sufficient, condition of "playing by the rules" since 15th March 2021. A new player to golf might completely miss the ball on their tee shot - a swing and a miss. The wise coach/mentor/official knows that adding a stroke to the scorecard at this early stage of the player's development could have a deleterious effect. A reminder of the rule and the sanction - not applied at this early stage of development - is more conductive to continued participation. Focus on learning to hit the ball in the first instance, and move on to applying the penalty once the basics are firmly bedded in. No rule change, just a firmer application of the existing rules as the golfer matures.
2 days ago Paul Flood
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2 days ago agressively passive