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MR - Experts Views

Interest rate markets watch Australia today

Tuesday 6th of October 2009

With investors still questioning the US economic recovery, rates there remain low, while all eyes will be on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) for its rate announcement today.

"A surprise rate hike is not completely out of the question, although our expectation is the RBA will be on hold for the rest of this year," the ASB economists say. They expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to hike rates by June next year, a revision on their earlier prediction of July.

Meanwhile, the BNZ Capital Markets Outlook makes note of the expansion in mortgage lending of a seasonally adjusted 0.3% seen in August and in line with July's rise.

"When it's cooking this variable rips along at more than 1.0% per month. The fact it's nowhere near this leaves us unconvinced the housing market is beginning to race away again (beyond its undeniable flurry of late, that is)," it says.

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