Kiwi houses too expensive: IMF
It suggested the Reserve Bank would need to raise interest rates if house price rises and credit expansion continued, but said it was comfortable with current monetary policy.
In previous years, the IMF had said house prices were 10% to 20% overvalued.
This year, it said house prices were a primary issue for New Zealand and could “lead to an increase in debt-financed household spending which would put pressure on aggregate demand and increase the risk of an abrupt price correction.”
It noted that price-to-income ratios are 20% higher than the average of the past three decades. Price-to-rent ratios show an even larger overvaluation, although the IMF noted that that was distorted by the large number of houses supplied by the Government.
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