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Negative OCR in April 2021: Westpac

Monday 27th of July 2020

Business confidence indicators, such as the June BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index, reveal a strong bounce-back for the New Zealand economy, nearing pre-Covid levels.

"This doesn’t necessarily mean that policymakers can take their foot off the accelerator though," the Westpac team says.

"Low inflation is likely to remain a feature in the years to come, and monetary easing will need to continue beyond the guidance that the Reserve Bank has given to date."

The Westpac team, led by chief economist Dominick Stephens, believe fiscal stimulus will be "smaller than previously expected" because of the recovery, putting "downward pressure on our economic forecasts".

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