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MR - Experts Views

RBNZ to be pleased with growth

Monday 28th of June 2010

The Reserve Bank is likely to be pleased with the current mix of growth in the economic cycle as the household sector takes a back seat in driving it according to ASB Business Weekly.

It says the economic recovery continues with GDP expanding 0.6% in the March quarter and marking one full year of growth. Driving much of the improvement was a robust recovery in the productive sectors, in particular, non-food manufacturing, forestry and mining activity, construction and wholesale trade.

"We continue to expect the Reserve Bank to increase the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points in July, however last week's net migration data, with net inflows slowing more sharply, may trigger some concern around the downside risks to consumer confidence," ASB says.

J P Morgan Weekly Prospects says the nation's economic recovery should continue, underpinned in the very near term by higher private consumption.

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