Treasury predicted SCF's failure early on
In a report dated March 8, Treasury estimated "it is probable that SCF will default under the existing Crown Guarantee in or around June 2010."
It was then estimating such a default would cost the government nearly $700 million, including interest.
The report was among about 200 government documents relating to SCF released today.
In an update dated May 18, John Park, the guarantee scheme's manager, said while SCF's debenture reinvestment rate had recovered to about 50% following the granting of the extended guarantee, it had deteriorated to 31% by the week ended May 7, 2010.
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