Upping the ante on price growth
In the bank’s latest Property Focus report, chief economist Sharon Zollner and senior economist Liz Kendall say that the housing market has rebounded strongly recently, with prices up 6% in the second half of 2019.
Not only has it rebounded – despite house prices already being “eye-wateringly high relative to incomes”, but the pick-up has been stronger than either they or the Reserve Bank had expected.
Zollner and Kendall say that as the housing market has lifted in response to factors including record low interest rates and the ongoing supply shortage, so too surveyed house price expectations have increased and that ups the incentive to “get in quick”.
“The recent lift in house price expectations highlights the risk that the housing market continues to gather momentum. At face value, these measures point to house price inflation in the realm of 10% year-on-year.”
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