Rising rates to end housing boom
The Westpac team, led by Dominick Stephens, believe the current boom "has already passed its peak", amid record-low rates, a period with no LVR restrictions, and the rush to get ahead of new restrictions this year.
"We expect the monthly pace of price increases will trend down from here. This gradual slowdown in the market will see house prices rise at a slower 7.5% pace in 2022, and zero in 2023. And eventually, we expect house prices to fall," the economics team said.
The bank is pencilling in a 4% drop in house price inflation over 2024 and 2025.
Rising mortgage rates will be a key factor in driving the market down, according to the report.
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