Time to lock in long-term rates?
ASB's Chris Tennent-Brown, a senior economist within the bank's wealth division, believes the Reserve Bank's Funding For Lending Programme (FLP) could send some borrowing rates lower in the near-term but believes the trend will begin to move the other way by the year end.
Longer-term mortgages are tipped to rise more quickly than short-term fixed loans, with government bond yields rising across the globe in recent weeks. An early sign that long-term interest rates will rise, with markets betting on an improved economic outlook.
Tennent-Brown said "the improving economy and rising long-term interest rates here and abroad are strong and opposing upward forces on the mortgage rate outlook – particularly for the longer terms."
"At times last year when the economic outlook was particularly dire, it looked like interest rates could fall further, and remain low for many years. Now, because the economy is tracking better than feared, we think the risk is interest rates start moving higher much sooner than we thought six months ago."
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