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Commercial property: Resilience, recovery, and opportunities ahead

Wednesday 24th of September 2025

While global markets remain mixed, New Zealand has been showing encouraging signs of recovery. The Official Cash Rate has dropped to 3.0%, with further reductions expected by the end of the year. Against this backdrop, income-producing assets are regaining appeal as investors seek both resilience and reliable returns.

PMG General Manager Investor Relationships, Matt McHardy, says the current cycle demands perspective.

“After a period of volatility, we’re now seeing tangible signs of recovery,” says McHardy. “It’s not a sharp rebound, but a steady improvement underpinned by fundamentals, and that’s often where the best opportunities emerge.”

Signs of recovery

Across the market, confidence is building. Listed property peers have narrowed trading discounts, offshore capital is re-engaging, and KiwiSaver allocations to property are growing. At the same time, PMG’s own portfolio has recorded valuation stability, with tenant retention and rental growth supporting long-term income.

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