Market timing - what a wicked idea
If having impressive credentials is any guide, then Charles Ellis should know what he’s talking about.
His famous article “The Loser’s Game” won a Graham and Dodd award in 1977. He was twice appointed to the faculty of Harvard Business School and went to the Yale School of Management in 1986. He chaired the investment committee at Yale from 1997 to 2008 and served on the Board of Directors of Harvard Business School. He also served as the Chair of the Board of the Institute of Chartered Financial Analysts.
So, what is it that convinced Charles Ellis that market timing is a bad idea?
A balanced consideration of the evidence.
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