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Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Friday 6 December 2019  Add your comment
[Opinion] Putting the RBNZ's new capital rules into perspective

There's been a lot written about the Reserve Bank's new capital rules for banks and some of it seems to miss the mark. Here's my take after hearing from the governor yesterday.

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The NZ Property Investor Magazine is running its annual survey to see what fellow investors are thinking. Please take a few minutes to complete the survey.

In return, you go in the draw to win some Placemakers vouchers and also get a copy of the issue with all the results [TAKE PART HERE]

 

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RBNZ should stop surprising the market: economist

The Reserve Bank surprised the market for a third consecutive time yesterday.

Friday, March 12th 2004, 8:51AM

by Jenny Ruth

The Reserve Bank surprised the market for a third time running, this time by not only leaving interest rates unchanged but also in its dovish rhetoric which suggests only one further small rate increase, if any, will be necessary.

Governor Alan Bollard justified the do-nothing stance by noting that domestic inflation is being offset by weak imported inflation and the strong New Zealand dollar and because of tentative signs the economy may be slowing.

The extent of the surprise can be seen in the way wholesale interest rate markets reacted, the 90-day bank bill rate dropping 15 basis points to 5.5% and the June bank bill futures falling nine basis points to the equivalent of 5.6%.

"They’ve been listening from the sound of it. It’s by far the most dovish (statement) you could have expected," says Brendan O’Donovan, chief economist at Westpac Bank. O’Donovan had hoped Bollard would "see sense" and leave rates unchanged.

He notes that the Reserve Bank’s assumptions have factored in a sharp drop in net migration which should take the heat out of the housing market.

But he is critical of the way the central bank has been surprising the market. "It’s not really what you’re after with a central bank. They should be leading the market by the nose," O’Donovan says.

Sean Comber, an economist at ANZ Bank, which had expected a rate increase, although, as with most economists, had seen it as a close call, says the content of the statement could have been used just as easily to justify a rate rise. He also noted that the Reserve Bank has left the door open for another rate increase.

Whether or not the bank does raise the OCR again is "heavily contingent on the tenor of the data and New Zealand dollar movements," Comber says.

He says the next two OCR reviews will be crucial. If the economy is starting to slow, that should be seen in the data in the next three months. "If the signs don’t emerge by the middle of the year, then they probably won’t emerge," he says.

To see how the market's reacted go to Good Returns' Markets Page
« RBNZ leaves OCR at 5.25%Good home loan growth for Kiwibank »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
ANZ 5.19 4.05 ▲4.05 4.49
ANZ Special - 3.55 ▲3.55 3.99
ASB Bank 5.20 3.89 4.05 4.39
ASB Bank Special - 3.39 3.55 3.89
BNZ - Classic - 3.49 3.45 3.99
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.90 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.35 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.30 4.45 4.35 4.55
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.30 - - -
China Construction Bank 5.50 4.70 4.80 4.95
China Construction Bank Special - 3.19 3.19 3.19
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Credit Union Auckland 5.95 - - -
Credit Union Baywide ▼5.65 ▼4.75 ▼4.75 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South ▼5.65 4.75 4.75 -
Finance Direct - - - -
First Credit Union 5.85 3.99 4.49 -
Heartland 6.70 7.00 7.25 7.85
Heartland Bank - Online - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 4.80 4.95 -
HSBC Premier 5.24 3.54 3.54 3.69
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 5.15 3.18 3.18 3.20
Kainga Ora 5.18 4.04 3.95 4.39
Kiwibank 5.80 4.14 4.30 4.64
Kiwibank - Capped - - - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.15 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 3.39 3.55 3.89
Liberty 5.69 - - -
Napier Building Society - - - -
Nelson Building Society 5.70 4.25 4.15 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 5.64 - 5.44 5.44
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Pepper Money Prime 5.18 - 4.98 4.98
Pepper Money Specialist 7.59 - 7.39 7.39
Resimac 4.50 4.86 3.89 3.94
RESIMAC Special - - - -
SBS Bank 5.29 4.85 5.05 5.49
SBS Bank Special - ▼3.39 3.45 3.89
Sovereign 5.30 4.15 4.29 4.55
Sovereign Special - 3.65 3.75 4.05
The Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.15 3.49 3.59 3.89
The Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.15 3.99 4.09 4.39
TSB Bank 6.09 4.35 4.25 4.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 5.29 3.55 3.45 3.89
Wairarapa Building Society 5.70 4.85 4.99 -
Westpac 5.34 4.15 4.09 4.49
Westpac - Offset 5.34 - - -
Westpac Special - 3.39 3.45 3.99
Median 5.34 4.04 4.09 4.39

Last updated: 4 December 2019 9:11am

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