tmmonline.nz  |   landlords.co.nz        About Good Returns  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  RSS Feeds

NZ's Financial Adviser News Centre

GR Logo
Last Article Uploaded: Thursday, March 28th, 10:13PM

Mortgages

Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Thursday 28 March 2024  Add your comment
Lifetime Home Masterclass

New Zealand’s first debt-free home equity release income solution, Lifetime Home allows Kiwi retirees aged 70 and above to access the wealth tied up in their home to bolster their retirement income.

Lifetime Home requires no mortgage, no debt, and no interest payments. Instead, it offers certainty and financial peace of mind when it’s needed most.

Master Class for Financial and Mortgage Advisers
Join Lifetime’s founder and managing director, Ralph Stewart and Chief Marketing Officer, Chelsea Devlin to find out everything you need to know about Lifetime Home.

Lifetime Home master classes will be held in-person in Christchurch, Wellington, and Auckland, and online.

To book your tickets CLICK HERE

rss
Latest Headlines

Rates held, but growing chance of a cut

MPS Preview: Economists are united in their view that New Zealand’s Official Cash Rate will remain on hold at 2.5% next week, although some say there is a growing chance of a rate cut.

Friday, November 30th 2012, 8:48AM

by Susan Edmunds

New Reserve Bank Governor Graeme Wheeler will make his second OCR announcement and first Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) on Thursday.

The 15 economists surveyed by www.mortgagerates.co.nz all said they expected the rate to remain on hold, although several said there was a growing chance of an OCR cut over the next year.

Westpac’s Dominick Stephens said there was a 30% chance of a rate cut within the next 12 months. “But we think the most likely scenario has the OCR staying unchanged until September 2013.”

Jane Turner, of ASB agreed. She said there was a 30% chance that deterioration in offshore conditions could push the rate down in the next 12 months.

Because it is Graeme Wheeler’s first MPS, Turner said she was interested in his view on how to balance the strong housing market, particularly in Auckland, with the near-term weakness in inflation.

FNZC’s Chris Green put the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut over the next year at up to 40%.

He said factors making that cut increasingly likely included sharp deterioration in global growth, particularly a sharp weakening in China, the continuing strength of the New Zealand dollar, combined with signs of sharp deterioration in the domestic activity and weakening in commodity prices.

But ANZ’s Cameron Bagrie said things were not bad enough to prompt a rate cut. “For a rate cut you need the global scene to implode and the Christchurch rebuild to be pushed back further.”

Gareth Kiernan, of Infometrics, agreed: “We would need a substantial deterioration in financial market conditions in Europe and/or a significant worsening in growth prospects for China before we think rates would be cut.”

Several economists want more information from Wheeler on his view of the high Kiwi dollar. 

Paul Bloxham, of HSBC, said finding out how worried he was about the exchange rate would be important.  “We will also be interested in his first set of inflation forecasts and what they may imply about the future direction of policy.”

All of the economists agree the most likely scenario is that the next OCR move will be up by 25 basis points.

TD Securities expects that move to happen in March, FNZC puts it in December next year, HSBC expects it in the second quarter of 2013, JP Morgan expects it in the third, and Bancorp, NZIER and ANZ don’t expect it until March 2014.

« Questions over Mike Pero valuationWheeler denies bank bias »

Special Offers

Comments from our readers

No comments yet

Sign In to add your comment

 

print

Printable version  

print

Email to a friend
Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 6.19 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 8.74 7.24 6.79 6.65
ANZ 8.64 7.84 7.39 7.25
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 7.24 6.79 6.65
ASB Bank 8.64 7.24 6.79 6.65
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 9.15 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
Bluestone 9.24 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 7.24 6.79 6.65
BNZ - Green Home Loan top-ups - - - 1.00
BNZ - Mortgage One 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 8.69 7.84 7.39 7.25
BNZ - TotalMoney 8.69 - - -
CFML Loans 9.45 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 7.04 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 8.40 7.24 6.79 6.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Standard 8.40 7.74 7.29 7.15
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 7.45 7.35 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.99 7.85 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.99 6.69 6.45 6.19
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 7.60 7.40 -
HSBC Premier 8.59 - - -
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 7.85 7.05 6.75 6.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora 8.64 7.79 7.39 7.25
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 8.50 8.25 7.79 7.55
Kiwibank - Offset 8.50 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 7.25 6.79 6.65
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 9.00 7.75 7.35 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
Resimac - LVR < 80% 8.84 ▼8.09 ▼7.59 ▼7.29
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Resimac - LVR < 90% 9.84 ▼9.09 ▼8.59 ▼8.29
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Alt Doc) - - 8.99 -
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Full Doc) - - 9.49 -
SBS Bank 8.74 7.84 7.45 7.25
SBS Bank Special - 7.24 6.85 6.65
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 6.19 6.74 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.95 - - -
Select Home Loans 9.24 - - -
TSB Bank 9.44 8.04 7.55 7.45
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 8.64 7.24 6.75 6.65
Unity 8.64 6.99 6.79 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - - 6.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.60 6.95 6.85 -
Westpac 8.64 7.89 7.49 7.25
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.74 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.64 - - -
Westpac Special - 7.29 6.89 6.65
Median 8.64 7.29 7.32 6.65

Last updated: 28 March 2024 9:42am

Previous News

MORE NEWS»

News Bites
Compare Mortgage Rates
Compare
From
To
For

To graph multiple lenders, hold down Ctrl key while clicking in list box

Also compare rates to OCR
Find a Mortgage Broker

Add your company

Use map
About Us  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  Privacy Policy  |  RSS Feeds  |  Letters  |  Archive  |  Toolbox  |  Disclaimer
 
Site by Web Developer and eyelovedesign.com