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More Kiwis in debt - Centrix

New research suggests some people don't need to wait for next year's recession to feel bad about their economic conditions.

Thursday, December 1st 2022, 7:00AM

by Eric Frykberg

The Reserve Bank thinks a shallow recession is needed to haul inflation back from its elevated rate of 7.2% towards the desired median of 2%.

But the credit research company Centrix believes some people are going through a recession already and it is not always shallow.

Its latest monthly credit indicator found the number of New Zealand borrowers who were behind on repayments climbed 5% year-on-year in October 2022. And three quarters of the finance companies that lent to them had higher arrears in October compared with September.

Looked at another way, Centrix found 4.2% of credit active consumers were more than 30 days overdue, up from 4.0% a month earlier.

A total of 2.3% of consumers were more than 90 days in arrears. Consumer credit defaults were also up 21% year-on-year.

Centrix also reported payments were overdue on 15,200 mortgages. It qualified this by saying the problem was a lot worse five years ago, but a steady decline since then was reversed three months ago and the number is climbing upwards once again.

The fall in arrears from 2017 was attributed to declining interest rates, which were helped by the Reserve Bank's money creation during the pandemic. Those interest rates are now on the way back up.

Demand for consumer credit was up with the demand for personal loans rising 18.1% and motor vehicle loans rising 17.3% year on year.

But in a sign of the times, mortgage lending continued to remain down compared with previous years as the economic climate remained a barrier for many aspiring homeowners.

Centrix said new residential lending was down 36% year-on-year in October.

Regarding business loans, Centrix said the hospitality sector had shown strong activity after recovering from the Covid lockdowns and subsequent restrictions.

Tourism, construction and financial services were also improving. But the retail sector was showing persistent defaults while consumer confidence was falling.

Tags: Centrix

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build ▼4.94 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans ▼7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ANZ ▼7.39 ▼6.39 ▼6.19 ▼6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - ▼5.79 ▼5.59 ▼5.59
ASB Bank ▼7.39 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance ▼7.90 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One ▼7.54 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay ▼7.54 - - -
BNZ - Std ▼7.44 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney ▼7.54 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - ▼5.69 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ ▼6.95 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard ▼6.95 ▼6.29 ▼6.09 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - ▼5.99 ▼5.89 -
First Credit Union Standard ▼7.99 ▼6.69 ▼6.39 -
Heartland Bank - Online ▼6.99 5.65 5.55 5.55
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.60 ▼6.65 6.40 -
ICBC 7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank ▼7.25 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset ▼7.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special ▼7.25 5.99 5.69 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society ▼7.94 5.95 6.09 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank ▼7.49 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - 6.15 5.69 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo ▼4.94 5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank ▼8.19 6.49 6.49 6.49
TSB Special ▼7.39 5.69 5.69 5.69
Unity 7.64 5.99 5.69 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.10 6.05 5.79 -
Westpac ▼7.39 ▼6.39 ▼6.09 ▼6.19
Westpac Choices Everyday ▼7.49 - - -
Westpac Offset ▼7.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
Median 7.49 5.99 5.79 5.69

Last updated: 3 December 2024 9:25am

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