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Investments

Harbour commentary: Deja Vu: Europe on the Brink Again

Wednesday 6th of June 2012

· Concerns about Spain are on a different scale to Greece.  Spain is too big to let fail, but it could also be too big to be saved.

·  Fixed interest markets are left coping with two very strongly opposing forces:  extremely negative news flow out of Europe versus market prices that are already factoring in extremely bad European scenarios. 

·  The strong flight to safety has driven US and German government bonds to all-time expensive levels.

·  We can understand the appeal of NZ government bonds in this environment.  Despite yields being at all-time lows, to global investors New Zealand government bonds provide stability and comparatively high yield.

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