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Property market not expected to sparkle

The change of government could move property investors towards higher value rental housng, says the Real Estate Institute, but sales prices and volumes are unlikely to take off.

Thursday, December 9th 1999, 12:00AM

by Paul McBeth

The change of government is unlikely to have a major impact on the residential property market, although investors could move to higher value and therefore higher rental housing

The change of government is unlikely to have a major impact on the residential property market, although investors could move to higher value and therefore higher rental housing.

That's the view of Real Estate Institute President Max Oliver, who says that Labour and the Alliance have stated similar positions on two key issues: a planned increase in state housing and the removal of the accommodation supplement in exchange for income-related rents.

"While more state houses will reduce the demand for private rental properties over the long term," he says, "the overall effect will be gradual as the scale of the state's expansion into this area is relatively modest."

The 1996 Census figures showed that 60,000 of the 300,000 rental properties in the country were owned by Housing New Zealand. It's estimated that a further 10,000 state houses are needed to cope with demand.

Oliver says the Institute isn't expecting any dramatic impact on the overall residential market in terms of sales prices and volumes.

"In fact, over the short term we anticipate a level of greater buoyancy in residential property with the removal of the pre-election uncertainty that has recently dampened activity in the market."

However, BNZ Chief Economist Tony Alexander says investors have been absent in the property market this year.

"Many people got burnt (as we predicted) by over-gearing themselves into properties that have not generated the rent levels or the occupancies which they had hoped for," he says in the bank's latest New Zealand Observer.

"Throw in Labour's plans to reinstate state housing rentals at a maximum of 25 per cent of net income and the outlook for dwelling prices is not good for the next year or so. They may not fall but rises will be minimal."

Paul is a staff writer for Good Returns based in Wellington.

« Mixed outlook for regional housing marketsIs the tide about to turn on residential property investment? »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 6.19 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 8.74 7.24 6.75 6.65
ANZ 8.64 7.84 7.39 7.25
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 7.24 6.79 6.65
ASB Bank 8.64 7.24 6.75 6.65
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 9.15 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
Bluestone 9.24 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 7.24 6.79 6.65
BNZ - Green Home Loan top-ups - - - 1.00
BNZ - Mortgage One 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 8.69 7.84 7.39 7.25
BNZ - TotalMoney 8.69 - - -
CFML Loans 9.45 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 7.04 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 8.40 7.24 6.79 6.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Standard 8.40 7.74 7.29 7.15
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 7.45 7.35 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.99 7.85 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.99 ▲6.89 ▲6.55 ▲6.35
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 7.60 7.40 -
HSBC Premier 8.59 - - -
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 7.85 7.05 6.75 6.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora 8.64 7.79 7.39 7.25
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 8.50 8.25 7.79 7.55
Kiwibank - Offset 8.50 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 7.25 6.79 6.65
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 9.00 7.75 7.35 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
Resimac - LVR < 80% 8.84 8.09 7.59 7.29
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Resimac - LVR < 90% 9.84 9.09 8.59 8.29
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Alt Doc) - - 8.99 -
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Full Doc) - - 9.49 -
SBS Bank 8.74 7.84 ▼7.29 ▼6.59
SBS Bank Special - 7.24 ▼6.69 ▼5.99
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 6.19 6.74 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.95 - - -
Select Home Loans 9.24 - - -
TSB Bank 9.44 8.04 7.55 7.45
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 8.64 7.24 6.75 6.65
Unity 8.64 6.99 6.79 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - - 6.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.60 6.95 6.85 -
Westpac 8.64 7.89 7.35 7.25
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.74 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.64 - - -
Westpac Special - 7.29 6.75 6.65
Median 8.64 7.29 7.29 6.65

Last updated: 24 April 2024 9:24am

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