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Funny housing consents number

For the first time in years, the monthly total of housing consents has fallen below the number granted in the same month a year earlier.

Monday, September 1st 2003, 1:19AM

by Jenny Ruth

The July total was also down from June in seasonally adjusted terms.

But it would be a big mistake to take these as signs the housing market is weakening.

While the 2,621 consents in July worth $473.5 million were down from the 2,738 worth $417.3 million granted in July last year, they were well up on the 2,386 worth $414.1 million granted in June. In seasonally adjusted terms, July consents were down 9% from June.

The number of consents in July was also the third highest total of any month in the past two years.

And, as Statistics New Zealand notes, excluding consents for new apartments, the July total is the highest since it began collating statistics in this form in 1990. Non-apartment consents accounted for 90% of this July’s total compared with only 75% in July last year.

There were 273 consents for new apartments issued in July, up from 271 in June and down from 686 in July last year. For the year ended July 2003, there were 5,556 new apartment approved, up 1,891, or 52%, compared with the year ended July 2002.

Total consents for the year at 28,951 were up 23% on the 23,581 issued in the year ended July 2002. This year’s total is the highest number recorded in a July year since 1976.

Consents increased in most regions in July compared with July last year, although they fell in both Auckland and Wellington. Nevertheless, Auckland still accounted for 38% of consents this July.

Darren Gibbs, senior economist at Deutsche Bank, notes that strong activity in sales of existing homes (the latest Real Estate Institute figures show 10,138 houses sold in July, up from 9,790 in June and 7,795 in July last year) tends to lead new housing consents by about five months. That "suggests that dwelling consent issuance will remain firm over the near-term, especially with available listings (with real estate agents) at very low levels."

As well, Gibbs notes the average value of non-apartment consents was 7.1% higher than a year ago on a three-month moving average basis. The REINZ figures showed the national median house price in July was 14.2% higher than a year earlier while Quotable Value New Zealand’s figures showed house prices in the June quarter were 14.2% higher than a year earlier.

« House prices just keep risingRate cut unlikely »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 6.19 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 8.74 7.45 7.05 6.85
ANZ 8.64 7.99 7.49 7.35
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 7.39 6.89 6.75
ASB Bank 8.64 7.39 6.89 6.65
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 9.15 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
Bluestone 9.24 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - ▼7.29 ▼6.85 ▼6.65
BNZ - Green Home Loan top-ups - - - 1.00
BNZ - Mortgage One 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 8.69 7.95 7.65 7.45
BNZ - TotalMoney 8.69 - - -
CFML Loans 9.45 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 7.15 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 8.40 7.35 6.89 6.75
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Standard 8.40 7.85 7.39 7.25
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 7.45 7.35 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.99 7.85 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.99 6.69 6.45 6.19
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 7.60 7.40 -
HSBC Premier 8.59 - - -
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 7.85 7.05 6.85 6.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora 8.64 7.79 7.59 7.29
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 8.50 8.35 7.89 7.65
Kiwibank - Offset 8.50 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 7.35 6.89 6.75
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 9.00 7.90 7.39 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
Resimac - LVR < 80% 8.84 8.30 7.89 7.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Resimac - LVR < 90% 9.84 9.30 8.89 8.69
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Alt Doc) - - 8.99 -
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Full Doc) - - 9.49 -
SBS Bank 8.74 7.95 7.45 7.29
SBS Bank Special - 7.45 6.95 6.79
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 6.19 7.05 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.95 - - -
Select Home Loans 9.24 - - -
TSB Bank 9.44 8.19 7.55 7.55
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 8.64 7.39 6.75 6.75
Unity 8.64 6.99 6.85 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - - 6.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.60 7.15 6.85 -
Westpac 8.64 7.89 7.49 7.25
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.74 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.64 - - -
Westpac Special - 7.29 6.89 6.65
Median 8.64 7.45 7.37 6.77

Last updated: 23 February 2024 11:59am

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