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Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Wednesday 24 April 2024
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Reserve Bank raises rates and signals more to come
As expected, Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard has raised interest rates for the fifth time this year and is promising more to come is likely.
Thursday, September 9th 2004, 3:28PM
As expected, Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard has raised interest rates for the fifth time this year and is promising more to come is likely.
He raised the official cash rate (OCR) from 6% to 6.25%, citing the surprising strength of the economy, stretched resources and strong inflation pressures.
Nobody was surprised at the move itself, least of all Bank of New Zealand economists who were already predicting another rate rise in October and a 40% chance of yet another move in December.
BNZ economist Stephen Toplis says his bank will probably move to a formal prediction of a December rate increase after today’s statement. That would take the OCR to 6.75% which he says "won’t be too far from the top."
The Reserve Bank has "clearly signalled that the economy’s operating at above full capacity and that growth needs to slow a lot to relieve those tensions," Toplis says.
"Even at these levels, interest rates are only barely above what’s commonly considered to be neutral. The big problem with the tightrope they’re (the Reserve Bank) are walking is that they need to slow the economy substantially but they don’t want to throw it into recession," he says.
But Brendan O’Donovan, chief economist at Westpac Bank, thinks Bollard is risking just that. While he too thinks a further rise in the OCR in October is "virtually guaranteed" by today’s statement, and that the OCR is likely to hit 6.75% by year’s end, he thinks Bollard should be allowing time for the rate rises to date to start working. It is generally assumed that a rate increase takes between a year and 18 months to start affecting activity.
"At the moment we’ve still got the big tail wind from last year’s big house price increases" and that should last through to the first quarter of next year.
O’Donovan says that with about two-thirds of bank lending now at fixed interest rates, it takes about 1.4 years on average before individuals re-fix their loans.
He also compares the New Zealand central bank’s actions to that of Australia’s Reserve Bank. While the RBNZ has raised the OCR from 5% to 6.25% so far this year, the RBA has raised its cash rate from 4.75% to 5.25% only.
Commenting is closed
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Mortgage Rates Table
Full Rates Table | Compare Rates
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
AIA - Back My Build |
6.19 |
- |
- |
- |
AIA - Go Home Loans |
8.74 |
7.24 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
ANZ |
8.64 |
7.84 |
7.39 |
7.25 |
ANZ Blueprint to Build |
7.39 |
- |
- |
- |
ANZ Good Energy |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
ANZ Special |
- |
7.24 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
ASB Bank |
8.64 |
7.24 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
ASB Better Homes Top Up |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
Avanti Finance |
9.15 |
- |
- |
- |
Basecorp Finance |
9.60 |
- |
- |
- |
Bluestone |
9.24 |
- |
- |
- |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
BNZ - Classic |
- |
7.24 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
BNZ - Green Home Loan top-ups |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
BNZ - Mortgage One |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
BNZ - Rapid Repay |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys |
8.69 |
7.84 |
7.39 |
7.25 |
BNZ - TotalMoney |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
CFML Loans |
9.45 |
- |
- |
- |
China Construction Bank |
- |
7.09 |
6.75 |
6.49 |
China Construction Bank Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special |
- |
7.04 |
- |
- |
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ |
8.40 |
7.24 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
Co-operative Bank - Standard |
8.40 |
7.74 |
7.29 |
7.15 |
Credit Union Auckland |
7.70 |
- |
- |
- |
First Credit Union Special |
- |
7.45 |
7.35 |
- |
First Credit Union Standard |
8.50 |
7.99 |
7.85 |
- |
Heartland Bank - Online |
7.99 |
▲6.89 |
▲6.55 |
▲6.35 |
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Heretaunga Building Society |
8.90 |
7.60 |
7.40 |
- |
HSBC Premier |
8.59 |
- |
- |
- |
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
HSBC Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
ICBC |
7.85 |
7.05 |
6.75 |
6.59 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
Kainga Ora |
8.64 |
7.79 |
7.39 |
7.25 |
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Kiwibank |
8.50 |
8.25 |
7.79 |
7.55 |
Kiwibank - Offset |
8.50 |
- |
- |
- |
Kiwibank Special |
- |
7.25 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
Liberty |
8.59 |
8.69 |
8.79 |
8.94 |
Nelson Building Society |
9.00 |
7.75 |
7.35 |
- |
Pepper Money Advantage |
10.49 |
- |
- |
- |
Pepper Money Easy |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
Pepper Money Essential |
8.29 |
- |
- |
- |
Resimac - LVR < 80% |
8.84 |
8.09 |
7.59 |
7.29 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
Resimac - LVR < 90% |
9.84 |
9.09 |
8.59 |
8.29 |
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Alt Doc) |
- |
- |
8.99 |
- |
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Full Doc) |
- |
- |
9.49 |
- |
SBS Bank |
8.74 |
7.84 |
▼7.29 |
▼6.59 |
SBS Bank Special |
- |
7.24 |
▼6.69 |
▼5.99 |
SBS Construction lending for FHB |
- |
- |
- |
- |
SBS FirstHome Combo |
6.19 |
6.74 |
- |
- |
SBS FirstHome Combo |
- |
- |
- |
- |
SBS Unwind reverse equity |
9.95 |
- |
- |
- |
Select Home Loans |
9.24 |
- |
- |
- |
TSB Bank |
9.44 |
8.04 |
7.55 |
7.45 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
TSB Special |
8.64 |
7.24 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
Unity |
8.64 |
6.99 |
6.79 |
- |
Unity First Home Buyer special |
- |
- |
6.45 |
- |
Wairarapa Building Society |
8.60 |
6.95 |
6.85 |
- |
Westpac |
8.64 |
7.89 |
7.35 |
7.25 |
Westpac Choices Everyday |
8.74 |
- |
- |
- |
Westpac Offset |
8.64 |
- |
- |
- |
Westpac Special |
- |
7.29 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
Median |
8.64 |
7.29 |
7.29 |
6.65 |
Last updated: 24 April 2024 9:24am Previous News
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Thursday, September 28th, 9:00AM
RBNZ announces OCR decision
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Tuesday, August 1st, 11:19AM
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Thursday, May 11th, 10:26AM
Surprise at RBNZ’s OCR outlook
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Thursday, May 11th, 9:00AM
No change to OCR: What RB said today
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Monday, May 8th, 6:00AM
Focus on tone, not content, of OCR call this week
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Tuesday, May 2nd, 11:10AM
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