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Economist argues against early OCR increase

Monday, August 8th 2011, 10:34AM

There are no rate changes to report this morning, and we are still watching to see whether ASB reverses its increases it made last week.

Some of the bank economists are barking for early hikes to the OCR following the comments made by Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard, however one who isn't is Rodney Dickens. 

"A balanced consideration of NZ economic growth prospects, international economic growth prospects and the medium-term inflation outlook suggests that there is no need for urgency in delivering the first OCR hike," he says.

In this piece he critiques the calls for early OCR hikes and provides some of the more balanced assessment of economic growth and inflation prospects that suggests Bollard shouldn’t be panicked into delivering early OCR hikes unless he wants to impose unnecessary pain.

« Anticipating more changesYep, it's the two-year market for SBS »

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.89 4.49 4.75 5.09
ANZ 5.79 5.09 5.29 5.69
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 4.69 5.09
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 4.75 5.09
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 4.69 5.09
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - ▲4.39 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 ▲4.49 4.79 5.09
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 ▲4.99 5.29 5.59
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora 5.69 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society 6.49 4.59 ▲4.69 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.09 5.29 5.69
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.69 5.09
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 3.99 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special 5.79 4.49 4.00 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special 5.79 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard 5.79 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 4.79 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 5.35 5.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 4.75 5.05
Median 5.94 4.59 4.87 5.09

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