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Christmas OCR rise predicted

[VIDEO] AMP NZ chief economist Bevan Graham is one expert who is picking an early OCR increase. In this video he explains why.

Thursday, July 18th 2013, 8:46PM

Graham says AMP expects inflation to head higher from later this year.

This reflects some downside in the Trade Weighted Index and higher economic growth which will eventually asbsorb spare capacity and put upward pressure on prices.

"That means the Reserve Bank will be tightening from late this year or early next year," he says. "At the very least they will be more hawkish in the commentary by December, signalling a tightening early next year."

He says the central bank should go earlier with OCR increases rather than leave it till later.

« How bank home loan rates compareBNZ thinks floating rates about to rise »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 6.19 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 8.74 ▼6.85 ▼6.49 ▼6.35
ANZ 8.64 7.45 7.09 6.95
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 6.85 6.49 6.35
ASB Bank 8.64 ▼6.85 ▼6.49 ▼6.35
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 9.15 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
Bluestone 9.24 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 6.85 6.49 6.39
BNZ - Green Home Loan top-ups - - - 1.00
BNZ - Mortgage One 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 8.69 7.45 7.09 6.99
BNZ - TotalMoney 8.69 - - -
CFML Loans 9.45 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 6.59 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 8.40 6.79 6.49 6.35
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Standard 8.40 7.29 6.99 6.85
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 7.45 7.35 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.99 7.85 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.99 6.69 6.35 6.15
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 ▼7.50 ▼7.25 -
HSBC Premier 8.59 - - -
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 7.85 7.05 6.69 6.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora 8.64 7.74 7.35 6.99
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 8.50 7.75 7.39 7.19
Kiwibank - Offset 8.50 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 6.85 6.49 6.39
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 9.00 ▼7.25 ▼6.90 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank 8.74 ▼7.49 7.09 6.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Bank Special - ▼6.89 6.49 6.35
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 6.19 ▼5.89 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.95 - - -
Select Home Loans 9.24 - - -
TSB Bank 9.44 ▼7.65 ▼7.29 ▼7.19
TSB Special 8.64 ▼6.85 ▼6.49 ▼6.39
Unity 8.64 ▼6.85 ▼6.49 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - ▼6.45 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.60 6.95 6.85 -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac 8.64 ▼7.45 ▼7.09 ▼6.89
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.74 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.64 - - -
Westpac Special - ▼6.85 ▼6.49 ▼6.29
Median 8.64 7.00 6.85 6.39

Last updated: 26 July 2024 9:14am

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