About Good Returns  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  RSS Feeds Other Sites:   tmmonline.nz  |   landlords.co.nz
Last Article Uploaded: Tuesday, November 19th, 6:12PM
Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Tuesday 19 November 2019  Add your comment
Mortgage rates at cycle low?; Westpac changes approval process

Economists at ASB say it is "quite possible" fixed rate mortgages have hit their lowest point in this cycle: [READ ON]

In case you missed it, some big news from the TMM Better Business Conference last week. Westpac has introduced a new mortgage approval system to cut down turnaround times: [READ ON].

 

 

rss
Latest Headlines

Timing of OCR cut surprises

There is widespread surprise that the Reserve Bank has cut the OCR again so soon.

Thursday, March 10th 2016, 9:56AM

by Miriam Bell

This morning the Reserve Bank cut the OCR by 25 basis points to a record low of 2.25%.

The Reserve Bank cited a range of concerns particularly weaker world conditions and lower inflation expectations for its decision to cut.

They also signalled that further easing of the OCR could be on the cards.

Many economists have been expecting further cuts to the OCR, but few predicted the cut would come now.

For example, all but one of the economists who responded to mortgagerates.co.nz’s OCR preview survey thought the Reserve Bank would hold the OCR at 2.50% today.

ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley said the Reserve Bank was obviously mindful of the broader environment and had made the right decision.

“We believe they have responded appropriately to the risks currently at play – although we do believe that, while there are a lot of global risks, those risks are not necessarily turning to reality.”

He expects a further cut to the OCR taking it to 2.0% and thinks the cut will probably come in June, after the key inflation expectation surveys are released.

Westpac chief economist Dominick Stephens said the cut today was a long held Westpac forecast that had come to fruition.

This meant that while, in one sense, he was not surprised by today’s cut, in another sense, he was slightly surprised.

“Back in January we were actually forecasting that the Reserve Bank would cut at today's meeting. But then the Reserve Bank governor gave a speech cautioning against focussing excessively on headline inflation. The strong language in that speech seemed to pour water on the idea of an imminent OCR cut.

“We became very uncertain about the timing of cuts, but in the end felt it was more likely that the Reserve Bank would hold off before actually moving. Not so - the Reserve Bank instead chose to move immediately.”

He said it looked as though the Reserve Bank will cut the OCR again in June.

ANZ chief economist Cameron Bagrie agreed it was surprising that the cuts had come at this stage.

But he said the cut was not surprising in spirit and that ANZ expected further easing to come.

NZIER senior economist Christina Leung said the Reserve Bank was obviously spooked by the volatility and uncertainty of the global outlook along with poor inflation expectations.

“They are putting a lot of weight on those factors. Yet the domestic economic outlook is positive, as the Reserve Bank noted.

“But with other central banks offshore adopting loose monetary policy, that puts pressure on the Reserve Bank here.”

She now expects the Reserve Bank to cut again later this year.

Meanwhile, there was a strong market reaction to the cut. The exchange rate fell more than a cent, and two-year swap rates fell from 2.45% to 2.28%.

 

Tags: banks Mortgage Rates OCR RBNZ

« Surprise OCR cutANZ keeping cuts mainly to itself »

Special Offers

Comments from our readers

No comments yet

Sign In to add your comment

 

print

Printable version  

print

Email to a friend
Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
ANZ 5.19 4.05 3.95 4.49
ANZ Special - 3.55 3.45 3.99
ASB Bank 5.20 4.05 3.95 4.39
ASB Bank Special - 3.55 3.45 3.89
BNZ - Classic - 3.55 3.45 3.99
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.90 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.35 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.30 4.45 4.35 4.55
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.30 - - -
China Construction Bank 5.50 4.70 4.80 4.95
China Construction Bank Special - 3.19 3.19 3.19
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Credit Union Auckland 5.95 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 6.15 4.95 4.95 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 6.45 - - -
Finance Direct - - - -
First Credit Union 5.85 3.99 4.49 -
Heartland 6.70 7.00 7.25 7.85
Heartland Bank - Online - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 4.80 4.95 -
HSBC Premier 5.24 3.35 3.35 3.35
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 5.15 3.18 3.18 3.20
Kainga Ora 5.18 4.04 3.95 4.39
Kiwibank 5.80 ▼4.14 ▲4.30 4.64
Kiwibank - Capped - - - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.15 - - -
Kiwibank Special - ▼3.39 ▲3.55 3.89
Liberty 5.69 - - -
Napier Building Society - - - -
Nelson Building Society 5.70 4.25 4.15 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 5.64 - 5.44 5.44
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Pepper Money Prime 5.18 - 4.98 4.98
Pepper Money Specialist 7.59 - 7.39 7.39
Resimac 4.50 4.86 3.89 3.94
RESIMAC Special - - - -
SBS Bank 5.29 4.85 5.05 5.49
SBS Bank Special - 3.55 3.39 3.89
Sovereign 5.30 4.15 4.29 4.55
Sovereign Special - 3.65 3.75 4.05
The Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.15 3.49 3.59 3.89
The Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.15 3.99 4.09 4.39
TSB Bank 6.09 4.35 4.25 4.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 5.29 3.55 3.45 3.89
Wairarapa Building Society 5.70 4.85 4.99 -
Westpac 5.34 4.15 4.09 4.49
Westpac - Offset 5.34 - - -
Westpac Special - 3.55 3.45 3.99
Median 5.34 4.04 4.09 4.39

Last updated: 15 November 2019 4:16pm

Previous News

MORE NEWS»

News Bites
Compare Mortgage Rates
Compare
From
To
For

To graph multiple lenders, hold down Ctrl key while clicking in list box

Also compare rates to OCR
Find a Mortgage Broker

Add your company

Use map
About Us  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  Privacy Policy  |  RSS Feeds  |  Letters  |  Archive  |  Toolbox
 
Site by Web Developer and eyelovedesign.com