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Articles tagged with 'OCR'

Rising bank funding costs to put upward pressure on mortgage rates: RBNZ

29 February 2024 - The Reserve Bank expects that rising bank funding costs will keep putting upward pressure on mortgage rates, even as swap rates in the wholesale market start to fall.

RBNZ holds OCR at 5.5%; no cuts until mid-2025

28 February 2024 - The Reserve Bank left its official cash rate (OCR) unchanged at 5.5% but said it has a limited “ability to tolerate upside inflation surprises.”

BREAKING: OCR 5.50% - Monetary Policy remains restrictive

28 February 2024 - The Monetary Policy Committee today agreed to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.50%.

Much higher OCR not impossible - ANZ

23 February 2024 - Homeowners should consider their ability to service a mortgage that is two to three percentage points above existing rates before taking it on, say ANZ economists.

Call on OCR cuts but no warning expected from RBNZ

19 January 2024 - ANZ expects the RBNZ to start cutting the OCR in August.

RBNZ to give early steer on economy; 5th annual TMM Better Business Conference

17 January 2024 - A steer on the state of the economy and the start of OCR cuts could be on the cards for Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway’s speech on Tuesday...

OCR cuts - this year or next; ASB outlined five key risks of 2024

16 January 2024 - The question on the lips of many mortgage advisers is when will the OCR drop and mortgage interest rates fall? [READ ON] ASB Bank has outlined five...

OCR cuts - this year or next?

16 January 2024 - The question on the lips of many mortgage advisers is when will the OCR drop and mortgage interest rates fall?

RBNZ dashes hope of 2024 interest rate cut

29 November 2023 - The Reserve Bank left its official cash rate (OCR) unchanged at 5.5% and said “ a prolonged period of subdued activity is required to reduce inflationary pressure.”

OCR held, but comes with a warning

29 November 2023 - The Reserve Bank has held the official cash rate at 5.50% but warns it could rise.  [READ ON] ...

BREAKING: OCR held, but comes with a warning

29 November 2023 - The Reserve Bank has held the official cash rate at 5.50% but warns it could rise.

Inflation war will be won but at what cost?

5 October 2023 - As expected the RBNZ has left the OCR at 5.5% as it fights to bring inflation into the 1-3% range.

BREAKING: Official Cash Rate remains at 5.50%

4 October 2023 - The Monetary Policy Committee today agreed to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.50%.

Confidence on interest rate cuts next year vanishes

6 September 2023 - Optimism there will be OCR and interest rate cuts next year could be misplaced.

Expect interest rate hikes

17 August 2023 - The key message in the OCR is that the door is open to another interest rate hike, Kiwibank says.

BREAKING: Official Cash Rate remains at 5.50%

16 August 2023 - The Monetary Policy Committee today agreed to maintain the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.50%.

OCR on hold: Where to for home loan rates?

12 July 2023 - With the Reserve Bank keeping its official cash rate on hold, attention now turns to when it will start cutting rates.

BREAKING: Official Cash Rate remains on hold

12 July 2023 - The Monetary Policy Committee today agreed to leave the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.50%.

OCR won’t impact the general election

25 May 2023 - BNZ says the tenor of the RBNZ’s Monetary Policy Statement yesterday has helped depoliticise the bank’s actions.

OCR could be on hold from now on

24 May 2023 - The Reserve Bank has lifted the Official Cash Rate to 5.5% and says interest rates need to stay higher to sustainably reduce inflation.

BREAKING: RBNZ raises OCR by just 25 bps

24 May 2023 - The Reserve Bank today increased the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 5.50%. Here's what the bank said.

Open letter to Reserve Bank not to raise the OCR

24 May 2023 - One mortgage boss kicking against any rise in the OCR is Squirrel boss David Cunningham, who says there is still a world of pain to come for Kiwi homeowners – that includes investors.

Wealth, the OCR and migration

22 May 2023 - Residential real estate is a key part of New Zealand’s household wealth.

Mortgage rates not likely to move

6 April 2023 - After the Reserve Bank’s 50 basis point rise in the OCR to 5.25%, CoreLogic says the change to mortgage interest rates is likely to be limited.

House price falls in hundreds of thousands

6 April 2023 - Mortgage rates are at or close to a peak, despite the Reserve Bank lifting the OCR by 0.50% to 5.25% yesterday.

What the RBNZ's surprise OCR hike means for home loan rates

6 April 2023 - Australia and Canada may have paused their cash rate increases but that has not deterred our central bank.

What economists are now predicting for interest rates

6 April 2023 - What the RBNZ's surprise OCR hike means for home loan rates. [READ ON] Mortgage rates not likely to move [Details here] ...

BREAKING: RBNZ raises OCR by 50 bps

5 April 2023 - The Monetary Policy Committee today increased the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points, from 4.75 percent to 5.25 percent.

OCR Announcement: What the Reserve Bank said

5 April 2023 - The official cash rate has been increased by 50 basis points rather than 25 points. [HERE'S WHY] ...

What economists think of the latest OCR hike

22 February 2023 - Two bank economists think Wednesday's move on the base interest rate was the right one, and one they expected.

OCR Announcement: What the Reserve Bank said

22 February 2023 - The Monetary Policy Committee today increased the Official Cash Rate (OCR) from 4.25% to 4.75%.

Holding back OCR wrong response to cyclone - economists

17 February 2023 - Sharon Zollner and Michael Gordon say holding back the OCR would not help the right people and would build up further problems in the long run.

Home loans rates not kept up with OCR increases; Go figure this latest home loan rate change

30 January 2023 - Home loans rates not keep up with OCR increases - apparently. [READ ON] In rates news Kiwibank followed Westpac and ASB and changed rates but took...

Interest rate relief “less far off”

28 November 2022 - The interest rate agony being heaped on borrowers could ease slightly sooner than was earlier thought, according to bank economists.

Squeeze on mortgage holders deepens

24 November 2022 - With another 0.75% increase in the OCR seemingly on the cards for February next year after yesterday’s not unexpected 0.75% rise, it is likely fixed mortgage rates will push towards 7% or higher in the next few months, says CoreLogic.

Biggest OCR rise ever: Here's what the governor said

23 November 2022 - The Reserve Bank has increased the OCR 75 basis points - its biggest rise ever. Here's why.

OCR rise makes economist ’wary’

6 October 2022 - The relentless rise of the Official Cash Rate (OCR) is sparking signs of anxiety.

RBNZ goes again: Why the bank increased rates

5 October 2022 - Continued monetary tightening: The Monetary Policy Committee today increased the official cash rate (OCR) to 3.5% from 3.0%.

New high forecast for OCR

17 September 2022 - ANZ's latest forecast for the peak Official Cash Rate has jumped again and is a new high for this cycle.

ASB predicts even higher interest rates

15 September 2022 - ASB has changed its mind and is now forecasting an even higher OCR. [READ ON] ...

OCR up again: What the RBNZ said

17 August 2022 - As expected the Reserve Bank has increased the official cash rate. Here's why it made this move [READ ON] ...

Why the RBNZ hiked the OCR - again

13 July 2022 - The Reserve Bank has made its third consecutive 50 basis point official cash rate increase. Here's what the bank said.

OCR up: What the RBNZ said

13 July 2022 - The OCR is up to 2.50%; Here's why it has been increased again. [FIND OUT MORE] ...

Floating rate the first likely victim of big OCR rise

26 May 2022 - Forecasts that the Official Cash Rate (OCR) will approach 4% are being questioned by bank economists.

OCR up 50pts: Here is what the bank said

25 May 2022 - Why the RBNZ hiked the OCR 50 basis points.

Another 50 point OCR jump forecast

23 May 2022 - There is near universal expectation that the base interest rate will go up by another 50 points on Wednesday.

High inflation likely to lead to another 50bp OCR hike

22 April 2022 - Mixed views on inflation forecasts; but many agree another 50 basis point OCR hike is to come.

Why economists think yesterday's big OCR hike was right

14 April 2022 - Westpac says a big OCR hike yesterday will spare homeowners much harsher treatment later.

RBNZ delivers a 50 point hike to the OCR

13 April 2022 - The Reserve Bank (RBNZ) has just pushed the Official Cash Rate (OCR) up by 50 basis points.

What the RBNZ said: Monetary tightening brought forward

13 April 2022 - The Reserve Bank hikes the OCR 50 basis points to 1.50%

The rising OCR and its effect on mortgages

24 February 2022 - The Reserve Bank is predicting an annual fall in house prices of more than 5% by March next year and a total fall of about 9% starting from this quarter.

OCR up: What the RBNZ said

23 February 2022 - The Reserve Bank says more tightening is needed as it increases the official cash rate to 1%.

Non-banks to be run off their feet

3 December 2021 - Non-bank lenders will be run off their feet in the coming months, partly because banks are too traditional, according to economist Cameron Bagrie.

Reaction to OCR hike

24 November 2021 - The base interest rate is going up by 25 basis points to 0.75%

RBNZ hikes rates, and promises more

24 November 2021 - [What the bank said] The Reserve Bank has increased the official cash rate in a bid to reduce monetary stimulus.

Westpac forecasting an even higher OCR

4 November 2021 - Westpac has increased its forecast for the official cash rate to 3%.

ANZ changes its call on OCR hikes

20 October 2021 - ANZ has changed its forecasts for the OCR adding in to additional hikes and expecting the cash rate to hit 2%.

Mortgage interest rates: Big step up predicted

7 October 2021 - Mortgage interest rates could be pushing 4% by the end of next year – on one and two year rates – and 4.5% into 2023, says CoreLogic.

Mixed reactions to OCR increase

6 October 2021 - The RBNZ's move to hike the OCR will prove devastating to many small business, according to the Auckland Chamber of Commerce.

RBNZ likely to lift base interest rate on Wednesday

4 October 2021 - Bank economists are forecasting a rise in the base interest rate this Wednesday for the first time since 2014.

Mortgage rates expected to be at 4% plus within a year

1 October 2021 - ASB economists expect mortgage interest rates to be at just over 4% in a year.

October rate increases to follow recent moves

23 September 2021 - Banks are poised to raise interest rates further next month despite a wave of increases in recent weeks.

Mortgage rates have troughed: ASB

15 September 2021 - Mortgage rates have hit their low point in this cycle and the next move is up despite the latest Covid outbreak, say ASB economists.

OCR hike likely despite lockdown: ANZ

13 September 2021 - The Reserve Bank is likely to stick to its guns and hike the official cash rate by 25 basis points next month despite Auckland's ongoing lockdown, according to ANZ economists.

Government torpedoes fail to sink housing market

13 September 2021 - Despite the Government’s best intentions and policy shifts Kiwi’s positive expectations of house price growth are hard to sink.

OCR hikes hit borrowers six months later

30 August 2021 - New research from the Reserve Bank suggests borrowers feel the biggest hit from official cash rate increases six months later.

‘Bonkers’ housing market off the chart

20 August 2021 - While house inflation is running at about 30% a year, it will take decades for affordability to improve, ANZ economists say.

Economists react to rate hold decision

19 August 2021 - Economists believe the Reserve Bank will raise the official cash rate in October, despite keeping it on hold today. 

Delta outbreak set to halt rate hike

18 August 2021 - A community outbreak of Covid-19 is set to delay plans to raise interest rates, according to economists at ASB. 

ANZ hikes rates ahead of RBNZ decision

17 August 2021 - ANZ has raised its fixed home loan rates by between 10 and 30 basis points ahead of the Reserve Bank's expected rate hike tomorrow.

OCR Preview Survey: Economists predict first hike since 2014

16 August 2021 - Economists believe the Reserve Bank will raise the official cash rate for the first time since 2014 this week, with all eyes on the central bank's forward projections for interest rates as inflation soars.

House price madness probably slowing

9 August 2021 - Eye-watering house price growth is probably past its peak – Sally Lindsay reviews CoreLogic’s recent HPI data.

Outside odds of 50 basis point rate hike

9 August 2021 - Financial markets have priced in a 12% chance of a 50 basis point official cash rate hike next week, as the Reserve Bank makes its most highly anticipated decision in months.

Economists lean towards OCR hike next month

19 July 2021 - Kiwibank economists have joined their peers in calling for an official cash rate increase next month as the economy displays signs of overheating. 

Small investors pull back

19 July 2021 - Investors with one or two properties are bearing the brunt of the Government's housing market reforms, according to mortgage advisers.

OCR reaction: higher interest rates expected

14 July 2021 - Economists predict the Reserve Bank will soon opt to lift the official cash rate as inflationary pressures grow.

OCR decision revealed

14 July 2021 - The Reserve Bank has kept the official cash rate on hold at 0.25%. Here's what the central bank said:

Investors urged to bolt in long-term rates

13 July 2021 - With high inflation just around the corner, ANZ Bank, the country’s biggest mortgage lender, says mortgaged property investors would be wise to fix at least some of their borrowings at longer-term rates.

Soaring house prices fuel OCR hike talk; Housing supply at risk

13 July 2021 - House prices jumped 29.8% year-on-year to June, adding further weight to the odds of an official cash rate hike in 2021: [READ ON] Property investors...

Soaring house prices fuel OCR hike talk

13 July 2021 - House prices jumped 29.8% year-on-year to June, adding further weight to the odds of an official cash rate hike in 2021.

Interest rates key to fighting house price boom

12 July 2021 - Westpac’s economists expect rising interest rates to play the biggest role in flattening house price increases.

OCR preview survey: economists look ahead

12 July 2021 - Economists say the official cash rate will remain on hold this week, but believe the Reserve Bank could give a signal on imminent rate increases.

November OCR hike: Predict Westpac and ANZ

7 July 2021 - Westpac and ANZ economists have become the latest to predict an increase in the official cash rate in November, as strong economic data prompts forecasters to change their tone.

OCR to rise in November: ASB

6 July 2021 - ASB economists predict the official cash rate will begin to rise from November, as the economy runs hot and inflationary pressures grow. 

Westpac tips earlier rate hike, house price decline in late 2022

28 June 2021 - Westpac economists have predicted that the official cash rate could rise from August next year, causing a decline in house prices in the final three months of 2022.

Risk of higher OCR this year

25 June 2021 - The strength of the New Zealand economy has heightened the risk of a higher official cash rate by the end of the year, according to ANZ economists.

ANZ predicts February OCR hike following GDP growth

17 June 2021 - ANZ economists predict the official cash rate will begin to rise in February, after the New Zealand economy roared back into life in the first quarter.

OCR reaction: Rates set to rise from 2022

26 May 2021 - Economists noted a "tentative shift in tone" from the Reserve Bank as it projected that interest rates may begin to rise from 2022.

Long-term rates an attractive strategy

26 May 2021 - Mortgage borrowers could be better off locking in long-term loans ahead of potential increases in the official cash rate in 2022, according to economists at ANZ. 

OCR decision: all eyes on inflation comments; SBS rate increases

24 May 2021 - Leading economists predict the official cash rate will stay on hold this week, with all eyes on the Reserve Bank's views on inflation and future rate...

OCR Preview Survey: all eyes on inflation comments

24 May 2021 - Leading economists predict the official cash rate will stay on hold this week, with all eyes on the Reserve Bank's views on inflation and future rate hikes.

Lower for longer rate environment ahead

15 April 2021 - The Reserve Bank yesterday reiterated that the official cash rate could still fall further if needed. Economists predict a lower-for-longer rate outlook:...

Economists react as OCR kept on hold

14 April 2021 - The Reserve Bank has kept the official cash rate on hold, but said it is prepared to push rates lower if required. Economists predict a stable period of low rates ahead.

OCR decision revealed

14 April 2021 - The Reserve Bank has kept the official cash rate on hold at 0.25%. Here's what the central bank said:

OCR could be on hold for four years

13 April 2021 - The Government's housing reforms will cause a fall in the housing market that could delay official cash rate hikes until 2025, according to Westpac...

Rates could be on hold for four years

13 April 2021 - The Government's housing reforms will cause a fall in the housing market that could delay official cash rate hikes until 2025, according to Westpac economists.

OCR Preview Survey: Rate to hold

12 April 2021 - Economists predict the official cash rate will remain on hold this week, with all eyes on the housing market as the Reserve Bank makes its latest statement.

How housing reforms could impact interest rates

29 March 2021 - The Government's radical housing market reforms could mean lower interest rates for longer, according to Westpac economists.

Rising rates to end housing boom

3 March 2021 - Westpac economists predict rising mortgage rates will put an end to the NZ housing boom.

RBNZ plots steady course: economists react

24 February 2021 - The Reserve Bank has kept the official cash rate on hold but warned "prolonged monetary support" is needed amid the Covid crisis. Here's how economists responded. 

OCR Preview: official cash rate set to hold

22 February 2021 - Economists unanimously agree that the Reserve Bank will leave the official cash rate unchanged this week, according to TMM Online's latest preview survey.

What's the best mortgage strategy?

19 February 2021 - As further official cash rate cuts look less likely, are borrowers better off choosing short or long-term loans? ANZ has released a new report on the the dilemma facing homeowners.

BNZ halts high LVR investor loans; OCR trough called

4 February 2021 - BNZ has stopped accepting high LVR investor loan applications from the adviser channel, as the lender struggles with "unprecedented demand":...

OCR predictions change amid strong data

3 February 2021 - Better-than-expected economic indicators have prompted forecasters to change their predictions for the official cash rate.

Call to risk-weight investor loans

25 January 2021 - Banks should be forced to risk-weight investor mortgages and loans on interest-only terms, according to economists from Kiwibank.

Westpac drops negative OCR call

21 January 2021 - Westpac has dropped its prediction for a negative official cash rate due to the red-hot housing market. 

Why we won't get negative rates

19 January 2021 - ASB has become the latest bank to reverse its forecast for a negative official cash rate.

ANZ predicts fewer OCR cuts

14 January 2021 - ANZ has revised its forecast for the official cash rate, predicting only one cut next year to 0.1%.

ANZ predicts fewer OCR cuts

14 January 2021 - ANZ has revised its forecast for the official cash rate, predicting only one cut next year to 0.1%.

Westpac changes OCR forecast

1 December 2020 - Westpac has changed its forecast for the official cash rate, anticipating smaller cuts to the central bank rate early next year.

Is a negative OCR now less likely?

25 November 2020 - Finance Minister Grant Robertson's pleas to the Reserve Bank to control house price inflation could reduce the odds of a negative OCR next year, according to economists.

How low will one and two-year rates go?

16 November 2020 - While the official cash rate looks less likely to go negative, economists predict one and two year fixed mortgages will fall to about 2% in the next year.

Why negative rates might not be needed

16 November 2020 - The Reserve Bank's Funding for Lending Programme makes aggressive official cash rate cuts less likely, according to economists. 

Have the odds of a negative OCR fallen?; Orr defends LVR decision

12 November 2020 - Economists say the Reserve Bank's new Funding for Lending Programme reduces the need for a lower official cash rate: [READ ON]  RBNZ governor...

Economists react to bank funding programme

11 November 2020 - Economists are divided on whether the Reserve Bank will need to cut the official cash rate further after it launched a new funding programme to push down interest rates. 

OCR preview survey: what will the Reserve Bank do?

9 November 2020 - Economists expect the Reserve Bank to leave the official cash rate unchanged this week, but suggest more support is on the way for lenders, individual...

OCR to remain on hold: economists

9 November 2020 - Economists expect the Reserve Bank to leave the official cash rate unchanged this week, but suggest more support is on the way for lenders, individual borrowers and businesses.

Weak inflation means negative OCR: Kiwibank

23 October 2020 - Today's lower than expected inflation figures will force the Reserve Bank to make an aggressive 75 basis point OCR cut in February, according to Kiwibank.

The $50 billion idea that will push down home loan rates

23 October 2020 - ANZ economists predict the Reserve Bank's funding for lending programme (FLP), designed to push down interest rates, could hit $50 billion.

Negative OCR still needed - Westpac

20 October 2020 - Despite fears of an overheated housing market, Westpac economists believe the Reserve Bank will still need to lower the official cash rate next year.

Negative official cash rate still needed: Westpac

19 October 2020 - Despite fears of an overheated housing market, Westpac economists believe the Reserve Bank will still need to lower the official cash rate next year. 

OCR decision revealed

23 September 2020 - The Reserve Bank has kept the official cash rate on hold at 0.25%. Here's what the central bank said:

RBNZ to talk up negative OCR: preview survey

21 September 2020 - The Reserve Bank is expected to keep the OCR on hold this week, but could highlight the growing chance of a negative central bank rate. 

Negative OCR would be a mistake: Kiwibank

25 August 2020 - While economists at the big four lenders believe the Reserve Bank will opt for a negative official cash rate next year, Kiwibank analysts believe the move would be a mistake.

BNZ joins rivals with negative OCR forecast

19 August 2020 - BNZ economists have joined the other big four banks in predicting the Reserve Bank will adopt a negative official cash rate.

Negative OCR on the way: ASB and ANZ

18 August 2020 - ASB and ANZ have revised their forecast for the official cash rate and predict we will get negative rates next year. 

Mortgage deferral programme to be extended

12 August 2020 - Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr says the mortgage deferral programme will be extended beyond September, as the Covid-19 pandemic regains a grip on New Zealand.

Mortgage deferral programme to be extended: Orr

12 August 2020 - Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr says the mortgage deferral programme will be extended beyond September, as the Covid-19 pandemic regains a grip on New Zealand.

OCR on hold but QE expanded to $100 billion

12 August 2020 - Economists have welcomed the expansion of the Reserve Bank's quantitative easing programme, and say a negative official cash rate is more likely than ever following this week's Covid-19 outbreak.

OCR decision revealed

12 August 2020 - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has kept the official cash rate at 0.25%, but has boosted its quantitative easing programme to push down interest rates. Here's what the central bank said:

OCR preview: all eyes on quantitative easing; SBS rate cuts

10 August 2020 - Economists say the Reserve Bank will keep the official cash rate on hold next week, but believe it could expand its quantitative easing programme to push...

OCR Preview: All eyes on quantitative easing

10 August 2020 - Economists say the Reserve Bank will keep the official cash rate on hold next week, but believe it could expand its quantitative easing programme to push down interest rates.

Negative OCR in April 2021: Westpac

27 July 2020 - The Reserve Bank will still need to slash the official cash rate to negative territory next year, despite a better-than-expected recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic, according to Westpac economists.

QE the preferred tool for lower rates: economists

24 June 2020 - Economists say the Reserve Bank views its LSAP programme as the best way of pushing down interest rates, despite talk of a negative OCR in recent months. 

OCR decision revealed

24 June 2020 - The Reserve Bank has kept the official cash rate on hold. Here's what the RBNZ said:

OCR Preview Survey: key things to watch; Kiwibank rate cut

22 June 2020 - Economists expect the Official Cash Rate to remain on hold this week, but say there are key messages to look out for from the Reserve Bank: [READ ON] Another...

OCR Preview Survey: OCR set to remain on hold

22 June 2020 - Economists expect the Official Cash Rate to remain on hold this week, but say the Reserve Bank could talk about negative rates in 2021.

Strong comeback could affect OCR outlook

15 June 2020 - The strong reopening of the New Zealand economy could make the Reserve Bank less likely to slash the official cash rate further, according to Westpac economists.

Reserve Bank governor believes rates can go lower

27 May 2020 - Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr believes banks have "room to go" to push home loan rates below current record lows.

Reserve Bank calls for lower mortgage rates

20 May 2020 - Reserve Bank deputy governor Geoff Bascand has piled pressure on banks to slash mortgage rates as wholesale borrowing costs fall.

Markets expect negative rates; Licensing applications continue

19 May 2020 - Financial markets have priced in an increased chance of a negative official cash rate after the Reserve Bank mooted the idea last week: [READ ON] Some...

Markets price in negative interest rates

18 May 2020 - Financial markets have priced in an increased chance of a negative official cash rate after the Reserve Bank mooted the idea last week.

OCR reaction: Reserve Bank open to lower, negative rates

14 May 2020 - The Reserve Bank has left the door open to lower or negative rates, and wants trading banks to pass on home loan rate cuts: [READ ON] ...

OCR reaction: Reserve Bank open to lower, negative rates

13 May 2020 - Economists say that the Reserve Bank has left the door open to lower or even negative rates, as it kept the official cash rate on hold in its Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) today.

OCR reaction: Reserve Bank open to lower, negative rates

13 May 2020 - Economists say the Reserve Bank has left the door open to lower or negative rates, as it kept the official cash rate on hold.

OCR decision revealed

13 May 2020 - The Reserve Bank has kept the Official Cash Rate on hold at its record low of 0.25%. Here's what the RBNZ said:

OCR Preview: Economists predict rate will stay on hold

11 May 2020 - Economists expect the Official Cash Rate will remain on hold this week, but many believe the Reserve Bank will open the door to lower or negative interest rates. 

Markets price in strong chance of 0% OCR

7 May 2020 - Financial markets are betting that the Official Cash Rate will fall to 0% by November, according to analysis from ASB Bank.

Could the OCR drop below 0%?

28 April 2020 - Westpac economists believe the Official Cash Rate will drop into negative territory this year amid the economic turmoil caused by Covid-19.

What coronavirus means for property investors

16 March 2020 - Welcome to Fortress New Zealand. The coronavirus crisis means that strict travel bans are now in force and a recession is expected. So what does that mean for property investors going forward?

Rates fall after emergency OCR cut; reaction from advisers, economists

16 March 2020 - Westpac, ASB, ANZ and Kiwibank have all announced floating rate mortgage cuts off the back of the RBNZ's unprecedented rate cut [READ ON]  The...

Banks pass on floating rate cuts after OCR decision

16 March 2020 - Major banks have passed on rate cuts of 0.75% to floating rate borrowers following the Reserve Bank's emergency rate decision.

OCR cut: advisers predict slowdown

16 March 2020 - The Reserve Bank's decision to lower the official cash rate to 0.25% is good news for borrowers, but advisers fear Covid-19 will significantly slow activity in the housing market.

Emergency OCR cut: economists give their views

16 March 2020 - Economists believe the Reserve Bank will be reluctant to cut the OCR any further after it slashed rates by 75 basis points this morning. 

Emergency OCR cut to 0.25%

16 March 2020 - The Reserve Bank has made an unprecedented emergency rate cut of 75 basis points in the wake of the coronavirus crisis. Here's what the central bank said this morning:

Affordability under pressure - ASB

12 March 2020 - Expectations that house prices will rise are at a three-year high but that means less people think now is a good time to buy a house.

Mortgage rate drop will be minor: ASB

10 March 2020 - Borrowers will only see "minor" decreases in mortgage rates if the Reserve Bank cuts the official cash rate, according to economists at ASB. 

Will mortgage rates fall much further?

9 March 2020 - An official cash rate cut looks increasing likely amid the Covid-19 outbreak, but economists doubt mortgage rates will drop much further than current levels.

Will mortgage rates fall much further?

6 March 2020 - An official cash rate cut looks increasing likely amid the Covid-19 outbreak, but economists doubt mortgage rates will drop much further than current levels.

Housing market boom won't last long: Westpac

26 February 2020 - Westpac economists say the recent boom in the housing market won't last much longer due to upward pressure on mortgage rates and a lack of funds in the banking system.

Low rates until 2022

17 February 2020 - ASB economists predict the next OCR tightening cycle will start in early 2022, with interest rates on hold throughout this year and next year.

Rising house prices glossed over in MPS

13 February 2020 - New Zealand’s housing market is rebounding strongly but the Reserve Bank barely mentioned it in Wednesday’s Monetary Policy Statement (MPS). That’s left one economist asking why.

OCR reaction: RBNZ upbeat on outlook

12 February 2020 - Economists say the Reserve Bank struck a positive tone on growth as it kept the OCR on hold, but fear it may have underestimated the impact of the coronavirus.

OCR decision revealed

12 February 2020 - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has kept the official cash rate on hold. Here's what the central bank said: 

OCR preview survey: what do economists think?

7 February 2020 - The Official Cash Rate will stay on hold next week, but the Reserve Bank will urge downside caution over the impact of the coronavirus, according to TMM's...

OCR Preview Survey: economists say OCR will stay on hold

7 February 2020 - The official cash rate will stay on hold next week, but the Reserve Bank will urge downside caution over the impact of the coronavirus, according to TMM's OCR Preview Survey.

Could the coronavirus hit the housing market?

30 January 2020 - The coronavirus outbreak in China could impact tourism and economic growth in New Zealand, having a knock-on effect on the official cash rate, according to one economist.

Markets predict OCR to remain at 1%

29 January 2020 - Financial markets are pricing in a reduced chance of further official cash rate cuts this year amid expectations of improved economic growth.

Chances of OCR cut not high: Alexander

19 December 2019 - The odds of a further OCR cut in 2020 are "not high", according to economist Tony Alexander, who believes borrowers should not put all of their focus on "chasing the lowest short-term rate".

Economists revise OCR outlook

16 December 2019 - Leading economists have revised their predictions for the official cash rate next year, predicting less action from the Reserve Bank in the next 12 months.

Record prices see upturn gathering pace

13 December 2019 - New Zealand’s housing market resurgence continues to gain momentum with the latest REINZ data showing record prices around the country.

OCR to trough at 0.75%: ASB

5 December 2019 - ASB has changed its official cash rate forecast and now predicts the Reserve Bank will cut rates by just 25 basis points in 2020.

Values pick up the pace

4 December 2019 - There’s a more upbeat feel to the property market and it’s obvious in this month’s QV data which has values firmly on the rise.

LVRs kept on hold

27 November 2019 - The Reserve Bank has kept its LVR speed limits on hold amid fears low interest rates "could lead to a resurgence in higher-risk lending".

Mortgage rates may be at cycle low: ASB

20 November 2019 - Take note, investors: It is "quite possible" fixed rate mortgages have hit their lowest point in this cycle, according to economists at ASB.

Mortgage rates may be at cycle low: ASB

18 November 2019 - It is "quite possible" fixed rate mortgages have hit their lowest point in this cycle, according to economists at ASB.

OCR reaction: economists surprised but expect 2020 cut

13 November 2019 - Economists were surprised by the Reserve Bank's decision to keep the official cash rate on hold, but expect the central bank to ease rates next year.

OCR decision revealed

13 November 2019 - The Reserve Bank has kept the Official Cash Rate at 1%. Here's what the central bank said: 

OCR Preview Survey: economists predict a cut

8 November 2019 - TMM Online has conducted a survey ahead of next week's OCR announcement and MPS. Most economists predict the Reserve Bank is likely to cut the...

OCR Preview Survey: Economists tip another cut

7 November 2019 - Economists predict the Reserve Bank is likely to cut the official cash rate again this week – but are far from certain the central bank will pull the trigger.

Markets price 50% chance of OCR cut: BNZ

5 November 2019 - Financial markets are pricing in a 50% chance of an official cash rate cut next week, down from 90% odds just a week ago.

Westpac predicts OCR will be put on hold

31 October 2019 - Westpac economists have broken ranks with rival commentators by predicting the Official Cash Rate will be put on hold next week.

House price rally could reduce odds of OCR cut: Westpac

15 October 2019 - A pickup in the housing market could give the Reserve Bank "pause for thought" over further official cash rate cuts, according to Westpac economists.

Price wars continue with ANZ rate cuts

14 October 2019 - Borrowers are set to enjoy even lower mortgage rates after ANZ slashed its fixed rate options to new lows.

Weak business confidence will lead to OCR cut

10 October 2019 - Weak business confidence numbers will increase the chances of another Official Cash Rate cut next month, say Westpac economists.

Servicing test changes limited

9 October 2019 - Banks have made adjustments to serviceability tests since the Official Cash Rate cut in August, but advisers doubt whether the changes will have a big impact on pass rates.

ASB: OCR will fall to 0.5%

7 October 2019 - Weak business and consumer confidence will see the Reserve Bank slash the Official Cash Rate to 0.5% by February, according to economists at ASB Bank.

Simplicity declares war with 2.95% mortgage

3 October 2019 - Non-profit KiwiSaver provider Simplicity has declared war on the major banks by launching a 2.95% mortgage for first-home buyers.

Signs of life in market

2 October 2019 - They might be tentative but there are signs the property market is strengthening with new QV data showing that most main urban areas have seen a lift in values.

Kiwibank predicts 0.5% OCR cut

1 October 2019 - Kiwibank economists believe the Reserve Bank will cut the Official Cash Rate to just 0.5%, with the possibility of a major cut in November.

New listings remain limited

1 October 2019 - There was no uptick in market activity in the first full month after the Reserve Bank’s big OCR cut, with listings still at low levels, realestate.co.nz’s latest data shows.

OCR on hold: November cut expected

25 September 2019 - The Reserve Bank has kept the Official Cash Rate at the record low of 1%, but economists predict a cut in November.

OCR decision revealed

25 September 2019 - The Reserve Bank has kept the Official Cash Rate on hold at 1%. Here's what the central bank said:

Upward pressure on mortgage rates: ANZ

24 September 2019 - Borrowers still face upward pressure on mortgage rates despite a lower-for-longer outlook on the Official Cash Rate, according to economists at ANZ.

OCR Preview: economists predict no change

20 September 2019 - Economists believe the Reserve Bank will hold fire on making further cuts to the Official Cash Rate next week, with a further cut more likely in November.

Sales fall highlights sluggish market

13 September 2019 - The Reserve Bank’s dramatic OCR cut in August was meant to prompt a pick-up in the housing market but new REINZ data shows sales have slumped again.

Expect three more OCR cuts – ANZ

6 September 2019 - Ongoing deterioration of the growth and inflation outlook means that ANZ is predicting that the Reserve Bank will cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 0.25% by May next year.

Decline in value growth slows

4 September 2019 - Property value growth nationwide has been waning for months. But now QV’s latest data suggests the rate of decline is starting to ease up.

Hints of market resurgence

3 September 2019 - Lower interest rates are prompting renewed interest in the property market with Realestate.co.nz reporting a surge of activity in August.

Mortgage servicing rate cuts

2 September 2019 - Several banks have cut their servicing rates recently, with more expected to follow, and advisers believe such changes will mean more for borrowers than low rates do.

Slashing OCR has worked, economist says

28 August 2019 - The OCR is low and poised to get lower but Westpac’s chief economist doesn’t believe that means concerns about a negative OCR are warranted.

Are property investors returning to the market?

26 August 2019 - Property investors are said to be returning to the housing market, CoreLogic says but, if they are, it’s not evident in the Reserve Bank’s latest mortgage lending data.

ASB: Rates may not get much lower

19 August 2019 - Mortgage rates are unlikely to move in "lock-step" with future Official Cash Rate cuts and will only fall "slightly" from current levels, according to economists at ASB Bank. 

Stronger market on the cards

13 August 2019 - Those predicting a property market crash might have to reconsider as the latest REINZ data reveals signs of an improving market nationwide, including an increase in sales activity.

Advisers call for servicing test rethink for borrowers

12 August 2019 - Advisers believe banks should adapt their servicing tests for borrowers after the Official Cash Rate plunged to 1%.

OCR cut could prompt housing market upturn

8 August 2019 - The Reserve Bank’s decision to slash the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 0.5% to a historic low of 1.0% has shocked the financial community, but what could it mean for the housing market?

Banks slash rates after historic OCR cut

8 August 2019 - Lenders have taken action on fixed and floating rates after the Reserve Bank cut the Official Cash Rate to a record low of 1%. Here's a roundup of the cuts as of Thursday morning:

OCR will fall further: economists react to shock cut

8 August 2019 - The Official Cash Rate could drop to 0.75% or even lower this year, economists say, after the Reserve Bank slashed the OCR by an unprecedented 50 basis points.

Reserve Bank surprises markets with 1% OCR

7 August 2019 - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has surprised economists by slashing the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points to just 1%.

OCR decision revealed

7 August 2019 - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has cut the Official Cash Rate to a new record low of 1%. Here's why:

Official Cash Rate decision looms; Auckland prices fall

7 August 2019 - No rate cuts this morning, but the Reserve Bank will later make a decision on whether to cut the Official Cash Rate. Economists predict the central bank...

OCR will fall to 0.75%: Kiwibank

5 August 2019 - Kiwibank has changed its forecast for the Official Cash Rate and now “expects” the OCR will drop to 0.75% in this cycle.

Could the Official Cash Rate fall to 0.75%?

30 July 2019 - No rate changes today, but New Zealand banks are making bold predictions about the Official Cash Rate. BNZ believes a cut next week is "almost certain"...

OCR cut almost certain: BNZ

29 July 2019 - The Reserve Bank is “almost certain” to cut the Official Cash Rate to a record new low next week, according to BNZ economists.

Fixed rates to fall further: Westpac

25 July 2019 - Retail fixed interest rates will fall even further this year as the central bank considers "aggressive" cuts, according to Westpac.

Two more OCR cuts this year?

5 July 2019 - No rate changes today, but it looks like rates are only heading in one direction for the rest of the year. After weak business confidence figures, ASB...

Two more OCR cuts this year: ASB

4 July 2019 - ASB bank has accelerated its forecast for further Official Cash Rate cuts amid weak business confidence data.

10 market predictions for the rest of 2019

28 June 2019 - It’s been an eventful year for the residential property market so far but now’s a good time to look at what might be in store for the rest of 2019, declares Core Logic senior property economist Kelvin Davidson.

Regional markets step up the pace

14 June 2019 - [UPDATED] Price growth in regional housing markets has stepped it up again with Gisborne accelerating at the front of the pack, new REINZ data shows.

Market rebound coming - Westpac

13 June 2019 - The cancellation of a capital gains tax combined with lower mortgage rates will be game changing for the housing market, believes Westpac’s chief economist.

Golden rates age set to last

28 May 2019 - There’s no need to worry about interest rates in connection to mortgage debt for the next few years, according to Kiwibank’s chief economist.

Wellington City price glow spreads

20 May 2019 - Remember Auckland’s “halo effect”? Well, it’s happening again but this time it’s at play in the Wellington region as the capital’s market powers along.

NZ sales on downbound train

14 May 2019 - There’s no escaping the downward trend in sales exposed by new REINZ data but some commentators believe last week’s OCR cut could counter the fall.

[GRTV] Orr explains why the RBNZ cut the OCR

11 May 2019 - Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr joins Philip Macalister in the studio to talk about why the central bank cut the OCR this week.

Westpac predicts house price boom but no more OCR cuts

11 May 2019 - Westpac economists believe this month's Official Cash Rate cut could boost house prices by 7%, but they do not expect further cuts to follow. 

OCR cut to boost market

9 May 2019 - New Zealand has never seen the Official Cash Rate (OCR) go so low. Now commentators are saying it will reignite the cooling embers of the property market.

OCR decision revealed

8 May 2019 - The Reserve Bank has taken the bold step of cutting the Official Cash Rate to a new record low of 1.50%. Here’s why.

OCR Preview Survey: Economists predict cut

2 May 2019 - A majority of New Zealand economists predict the Reserve Bank will cut the Official Cash Rate to a new record low of 1.50% next week, according to TMM’s Preview Survey.

Price wars to support property market: CoreLogic

24 April 2019 - Mortgage rate wars will underpin property market growth following a "sluggish" start to the year, according to research firm CoreLogic.

Capital requirements a risk to growth: ANZ

23 April 2019 - The Reserve Bank's proposals to force banks to keep extra capital could be a "significant headwind" to the economy and reduce the availability of credit, according to ANZ economists.

Price war heats up with ASB move

4 April 2019 - Homeloan rates continue to fall in the wake of the Reserve Bank's OCR comments and weak business confidence numbers this week. ASB has slashed its three, four, and five year interest rates, joining rivals in a competitive race for borrowers.

Brakes on value growth

3 April 2019 - Affordability constraints are applying the brakes to value growth nationwide but QV’s new data proves values are not plummeting at the rate of those across the Tasman.

Economists change their mind on next OCR movement

1 April 2019 - Economists believe the Official Cash Rate could be cut as soon as May or August, following the Reserve Bank's comments last week. 

Reserve Bank stuns economists with OCR cut prediction

27 March 2019 - The Reserve Bank has surprised economists by stating the next OCR move is "likely to be down" due to slowing domestic and global growth. 

OCR Announcement: Here's what Orr said

27 March 2019 - The Reserve Bank has kept the OCR unchanged and says the next move is likely to be down. Find out why in the Governor's statement here.

RBNZ leaves OCR unchanged

27 March 2019 - The Reserve Bank has made its OCR announcement today. For details [READ ON] ...

BNZ back below 4%

25 March 2019 - BNZ has slashed its two year classic mortgage to 3.99%, but owner-occupiers, rather than investors, will benefit from the sub 4% rate.

OCR Preview: caution expected

22 March 2019 - Leading economists do not expect a change to the OCR next week, and predict the central bank will maintain a cautious outlook on the domestic and global economy. 

OCR could go up or down in 2021: RBNZ Governor

13 February 2019 - Inflation concerns have prompted the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to push back its forecast for an OCR change to 2021. Governor Adrian Orr reverted to a dovish tone, suggesting "continued supportive monetary policy", and said the next move could be "up or down".

First OCR decision of the year: Unchanged

13 February 2019 - The Official Cash rate is unchanged and isn't likely to move anytime soon. When it does it could go either way. Here's what RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr said today.

OCR Preview: caution expected from the Reserve Bank

8 February 2019 - Economists do not believe the OCR will change next week, but predict the Reserve Bank will take a cautious stance on future growth, with a number of headwinds for New Zealand and the global economy.

Markets price in 40% chance of OCR cut

15 January 2019 - Interest rate derivatives markets are pricing in a 40% probability the Reserve Bank will cut the Official Cash Rate this year, amid weakening inflation and slower growth overseas.

ANZ predicts 1% OCR in 2020

20 December 2018 - ANZ has predicted the Official Cash Rate will be cut to just 1% in 2020, as it adopts a more dovish outlook on the New Zealand economy.

Treasury predicts OCR hike in 2020

13 December 2018 - The Treasury has followed the Reserve Bank and pushed back its prediction for the next OCR hike. The Treasury now expects the OCR will tighten from the 2020/2021 financial year, as New Zealand's major institutions forecast a lower-for-longer rate environment.

The Third Scenario – The End of Goldilocks

4 December 2018 - While the RBNZ expects to keep the OCR on hold through 2019 and into 2020, in their past two Monetary Policy Statements they have outlined two alternative scenarios: one with stronger inflation pressures; and another with softer economic growth.

ASB predicts mild OCR cycle

19 November 2018 - ASB's quarterly outlook for the New Zealand economic predicts "sunny skies ahead", with low rates until the second half of 2020 and a peak of just 2.75% in the next OCR cycle.

Long term house price outlook negative: Westpac

15 November 2018 - Current low interest rates are likely to sustain house price growth in the near term, but rising rates from 2020 onwards will trigger a fall in the market, economists at Westpac have warned.

House buyer sentiment hits 5 year high

12 November 2018 - Growing numbers of New Zealanders think the times are improving for those wanting to buy a house, ASB’s latest Housing Confidence Survey shows.

OCR reaction: cut less likely and rates to stay low

8 November 2018 - Economists believe the Reserve Bank has adopted a slightly more hawkish stance on the OCR, but say the unchanged forecast suggests a continued low interest rate environment.

What the RBNZ said today

8 November 2018 - The Official Cash Rate (OCR) remains at 1.75%. We expect to keep the OCR at this level through 2019 and into 2020.

What Adrian Orr said today about interest rates

8 November 2018 - The Reserve Bank says interest rates aren't going anywhere anytime soon. [READ ON] You can watch the Reserve Bank discuss its views on interest...

Inflation to "force" OCR hike

16 October 2018 - The impact of rising petrol prices is likely to extend beyond the petrol pump, according to Kiwibank economists, who say inflation will force the Reserve Bank to lift the OCR six months ahead of schedule.

OCR remains the same

27 September 2018 - The Reserve Bank has left the OCR unchanged and declared that it will be kept  at "an expansionary level for a considerable period". [READ ON] ...

Today’s OCR statement

27 September 2018 - The Official Cash Rate will stay at 1.75 percent for now, the Reserve Bank has confirmed. Governor Adrian Orr continued to state the next move could be "up or down".

OCR to stay at record low: Preview Survey

21 September 2018 - New Zealand’s top economists predict the Reserve Bank will hold the Official Cash Rate next week,  as the central keeps a close watch on GDP growth and inflation.

Market pricing 50% chance of OCR cut: ANZ

3 September 2018 - The overnight interest rate swap market is pricing in a 50 percent chance of an OCR cut by mid next year, according to ANZ. 

OCR to peak at 2.75 percent: ASB

27 August 2018 - Economists at ASB believe New Zealand is set for a long-term low interest rate environment, with the OCR to peak at just 2.75 percent in the cycle.

ANZ predicts OCR cut

21 August 2018 - Lender ANZ has reversed its prediction for the OCR rate, predicting the central bank is “more likely” to lower the rate than increase it.

Consumers expect rate rise: ASB

16 August 2018 - Respondents to ASB’s latest Housing Confidence Survey expect interest rates to go up in the next 12 months, despite increasingly cautious language from the Reserve Bank.

“Real” risk of OCR cut: Westpac

13 August 2018 - Economists at Westpac believe there is a “real” chance the Reserve Bank could cut the OCR rate, following last week’s dovish forecast.

What the bank said: OCR unchanged and to stay low for longer

9 August 2018 - The Reserve Bank has kept the Official Cash Rate at its record low level and it will stay there for longer than previously forecast Here's why.

Here's what RB governor Orr said today

9 August 2018 - The Reserve Bank has left the OCR unchanged today. Here's what governor Adrian Orr said and why this decision was made. [READ ON] A media conference will...

Watch RBNZ's MPS announcement live

8 August 2018 - The Reserve Bank is due to make its latest announcement on the Official Cash Rate at 9am Thursday.  That will be followed by a Media Conference at...

OCR preview: Reserve Bank tipped to remain cautious

3 August 2018 - Kiwi economists believe Reserve Bank governor Adrian Orr will sound a cautious note on the economy next week, with little chance of an OCR rate increase, and an outside chance of a cut.

ASB predicts “mild” OCR increase

5 July 2018 - Lender ASB believes there will be a “mild” tightening cycle at the Reserve Bank, with floating and fixed rate mortgages expected to remain stable until the end of next year.

OCR words open door for cut

28 June 2018 - Subtle change of tone in this morning’s OCR announcement suggests the Reserve Bank may now be more willing to cut the OCR if need be, commentators say.

Today's OCR statement

28 June 2018 - The Official Cash Rate (OCR) will remain at 1.75% for now. "However, we are well positioned to manage change in either direction – up or down – as necessary," RBNZ governor Adrian Orr says.

OCR to stay on hold

25 June 2018 - Don’t expect to see a change to the OCR this week as economists predict the Reserve Bank’s song will remain the same for a long time.

Construction slump slows GDP

22 June 2018 - A fall in construction activity contributed to a slowdown in New Zealand’s economy in the three months to March.

Applause for OCR call

10 May 2018 - New Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr has earned plaudits from economists for his first OCR announcement this morning – even though the decision itself was not a surprise.

What Orr said in his first OCR announcement [+AUDIO]

10 May 2018 - The Official Cash Rate (OCR) will remain at 1.75% for some time to come.  The direction of our next move is equally balanced, up or down. Only time and events will tell.

All eyes on Orr in lead-up to OCR call

4 May 2018 - Thursday’s monetary policy statement (MPS) is the most keenly anticipated Reserve Bank outing in many months – but it’s due to the new Governor, not the OCR outlook.

LVR a “permanent tool”: RBNZ Governor

20 April 2018 - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's new governor believes restrictions on loan to value ratios will be a “permanent tool” for the central bank.

Spirit of caution in OCR call

22 March 2018 - Don’t expect interest rates to start rising anytime soon as the Reserve Bank’s decision to leave the OCR at 1.75% today makes it clear they remain on hold.

What the RBNZ governor said today

22 March 2018 - In his final OCR statement Reserve Bank Governor Grant Spencer has left the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 1.75%.

OCR call takes backseat

16 March 2018 - Changes are looming for the Reserve Bank and that has pushed OCR decisions into the background – despite a pending announcement next week.

Low interest rates set to continue

8 February 2018 - Interest rates look set to remain low for a considerable amount of time following the Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) and OCR call this morning.

What the Reserve Bank said today

8 February 2018 - The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 1.75%.

OCR unchanged: The Reserve Bank has spoken

8 February 2018 - The OCR remains the same. Here's what the Reserve Bank said about the OCR and interest rates this morning [READ ON] ...

OCR holding pattern to continue

2 February 2018 - Measured restraint will be the tone of the Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Statement next week, with economists unanimously expecting the OCR to stay on hold.

OCR increase pushed out

31 January 2018 - New Zealand’s official cash rate is unlikely to move up until the end of next year, Westpac economists say. Consumer prices rose just 0.1% in the December...

Nearing an end to the NZ Goldilocks?

12 December 2017 - Markets, both in New Zealand and globally, have experienced "goldilocks" conditions for the past five years of low inflation and solid economic growth.

Inflation problem for RBNZ

5 December 2017 - If inflation doesn’t pick up by late 2018 interest rate cuts could again be on the cards, according to the Reserve Bank.

Sunny MPS surprises some

9 November 2017 - Optimism was the order of the day today, with RBNZ releasing a Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) that was most notable for its positivity.

What the Governor said today

9 November 2017 - The Reserve Bank has made its final Official Cash Rate Call for the year, here is what the bank had to say about interest rates.

RBNZ OCR announcement

9 November 2017 - The Reserve Bank has left the Official Cash Rate at 1.75%. Here's what the new Governor had to say. [READ ON] We will be live streaming the press conference...

OCR stable . . . for now

3 November 2017 - [OCR Preview] Economists are confident the Reserve Bank won't move the Official Cash Rate off it's historical lows next week, but there is an emerging divergence of views about what will happen in the future now there is a new government in power.

Investors search for income

2 November 2017 - More investors are looking for products that produce income in retirement, as low interest rates persist.

Looking ahead with new government

20 October 2017 - New Zealand’s new government will be a Labour-NZ First coalition, supported by the Green Party, and that means changes are looming that advisers need to be aware of.

Growth outlook overshadows OCR call

28 September 2017 - New Zealand’s lower economic growth was acknowledged by the Reserve Bank in its OCR statement today – which means there's a chance their next call could be more doveish.

RBNZ announces OCR decision

28 September 2017 - Acting governor Grant Spencer reveals what was behind the Reserve Bank's decision.

RBNZ announces OCR decision

28 September 2017 - Acting governor Grant Spencer reveals what was behind the Reserve Bank's decision.

Caution to dictate OCR call this week

25 September 2017 - Uncertainty is bubbling beneath the surface of monetary policy but, despite this, economists expect the Reserve Bank to leave the OCR on hold at 1.75% this week.

Labour would change Reserve Bank - so what?

21 September 2017 - A change of government this weekend could mean a new direction for the Reserve Bank and another element for investors to understand.

No dovish nod to future for RBNZ

10 August 2017 - The Reserve Bank’s OCR statement made it clear hikes are a long way off but its tone was still far less dovish than economists were expecting.

OCR and MPS: What the Governor said

10 August 2017 - The Reserve Bank has left the official cash rate at 1.75%, and says is it likely to stay there for "a considerable period". Here is what the governor, Graeme Wheeler said.

OCR preview: Growing talk of future cuts

7 August 2017 - Think the OCR will stay on hold this week? So do economists – but some also say there is growing scope for the Reserve Bank to cut again.   [Read...

Future could hold OCR cuts

6 August 2017 - Think the OCR will stay on hold this week? So do economists – but some also say there is growing scope for the Reserve Bank to cut again.

Get real!

17 July 2017 - It is now nearly a decade since the GFC. Returns have been very acceptable across most asset classes over this period.

Hawkish talk foreshadows rate rises

5 July 2017 - Tightening talk is coming from central banks around the world – although not New Zealand’s – and that means more interest rate movement is on the cards.

Game of watch and wait for OCR

22 June 2017 - Watchful caution is guiding the Reserve Bank’s policy so it will need strong evidence before it makes any change to the OCR, economists say in response to this morning’s OCR call.

No change to OCR - again

22 June 2017 - The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate unchanged while major challenges remain. [READ ON] ...

OCR held again - here's what RBNZ had to say

22 June 2017 - The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate unchanged stating major challenges still remain.

OCR held again - here's what RBNZ had to say

22 June 2017 - The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate unchanged while saying major challenges remain.

Verdict in on this week's OCR call

16 June 2017 - Any change to the OCR on Thursday would stun economists who are unanimous in thinking that it will be left firmly on hold.

Surprise at RBNZ’s OCR outlook

11 May 2017 - The Reserve Bank’s decision to hold the OCR at 1.75% was expected, but economists are surprised at its projection the OCR will remain on hold until late 2019.

No change to OCR: What RB said today

11 May 2017 - The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 1.75 percent. Global economic growth has increased and become more broad-based over...

OCR held again, here's why

11 May 2017 - The Reserve Bank has left the OCR unchanged. Here is what governor Graeme Wheeler said. [READ ON] ...

Major changes for Reserve Bank?

10 April 2017 - Interest rate decisions could soon be made somewhat differently after both National and Labour suggest changes for the Reserve Bank are on the cards.

OCR predictions; Mortgage adviser survey

27 March 2017 - Some interesting comments from Westpac today. It agrees with the RBNZ that the OCR will remain on hold for a considerable time. "We’ve pencilled in two...

Reaction: OCR - 'Nothing to see here'

23 March 2017 - Interest rates look set to remain low for some time following a Reserve Bank OCR announcement this morning which was as expected and determinedly neutral, according to economists.

OCR left on hold: Here's why

23 March 2017 - The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate unchanged at 1.75 percent, stating monetary policy will remain accommodative for a considerable period.

What the RB governor said

23 March 2017 - The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 1.75 percent. Macroeconomic indicators in advanced economies have been positive over...

All quiet in lead up to tomorrow's OCR announcement

22 March 2017 - It's all quiet on the home loan rate change front at the moment in the lead up to tomorrow's OCR announcement. That should be pretty quiet too with experts...

Next to no chance of OCR cut

17 March 2017 - Spotting the difference will be the name of the game in next week’s OCR announcement – with economists across the board agreeing the Reserve Bank will make no changes.

OCR hike expectations premature

9 February 2017 - Markets have got ahead of themselves in OCR hike expectations – and the Reserve Bank’s OCR announcement this morning makes that clear, the experts say.

What the RB governor said

9 February 2017 - Here is what Reserve Bank governor Graeme Wheeler had to say about interest rates today.

OCR cut not expected

3 February 2017 - It’s a unanimous verdict: economists en masse expect the OCR to stay on hold next week – and for many months after that.

OCR hike to come - later

24 January 2017 - The Reserve Bank’s next OCR move is likely to be up – although it won't be for a while, a new HSBC report says.

OCR hikes on the horizon

21 December 2016 - The OCR has troughed and the risks are now skewed to OCR hikes from the middle of next year, according to one major bank.

Rising rates, quieter market

16 December 2016 - Higher mortgage rates will have a more sustained impact on the housing market than the LVR restrictions have, according to Westpac.

Fed move will boost NZ rates

15 December 2016 - Mortgage rates are set to continue on their slow upward trajectory – after getting added impetus from the first US Federal Reserve rate increase in a year.

Housing market NZ’s biggest domestic risk - RBNZ

8 December 2016 - New Zealand’s highly charged housing market is the biggest domestic economic risk facing the country but no change to the OCR is on the horizon, the Reserve Bank governor says.

Post-earthquake OCR cut unlikely

18 November 2016 - Don’t expect the Reserve Bank to cut the OCR again following the earthquakes earlier this week - despite the damage and disruption they have caused, economists say.

Rates won't fall on back of OCR cut

11 November 2016 - Although the Reserve Bank cut the official cash rate to a historical low of 1.75% none of the banks have passed on any of this decrease to customers. Read...

DTIs not on the cards yet - RBNZ

10 November 2016 - The Reserve Bank might want debt-to-income ratios (DTIs) as part of its arsenal but it doesn’t intend to introduce them into the regulatory mix at this stage.

Don't expect rates to fall on back of OCR cut

10 November 2016 - Although the Reserve Bank cut the official cash rate to a historical low of 1.75% none of the banks have passed on any of this decrease to customers.

US election casts shadow over OCR response

10 November 2016 - Spectre of US election result looms over reaction to this morning’s OCR cut, but economists say it is too soon to say what impact it might have on the Reserve Bank’s future moves.

OCR cut no surprise

10 November 2016 - Reserve Bank switches to a more neutral stance as it cuts interest rates.

What the Reserve Bank said today

10 November 2016 - The Reserve Bank today reduced the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 1.75%.

RBNZ cuts rates - here's what they said

10 November 2016 - The Reserve Bank today reduced the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 1.75%.  [READ ON] ...

OCR to hit lowest point this week

4 November 2016 - A historic low is looming for the OCR this week but it could be the trough of the cycle, with most economists predicting the cut will be the last.

Inflation pressure off - slightly

2 November 2016 - Pressure on the Reserve Bank to keep cutting the OCR has been alleviated by the results of the Bank’s latest inflation expectations survey.

The last of the OCR cuts - ANZ

26 October 2016 - The OCR should trough at 1.75% in November as the Reserve Bank’s next cut is likely to be the last one in the current cycle, ANZ has suggested. Read...

Next OCR cut to be the last - ANZ

26 October 2016 - The OCR should trough at 1.75% in November as the Reserve Bank’s next cut is likely to be the last one in the current cycle, ANZ has suggested.

OCR projections replace 90-day bank bill rate

25 October 2016 - Greater clarity should come from the Reserve Bank decision to replace the 90-day bank bill rate with OCR tracking projections in its monetary policy statements (MPS).

OCR to be cut despite inflation

19 October 2016 - Inflation was slightly above forecasts in the September quarter, but the result is not likely to deter the Reserve Bank from cutting the OCR next month...

Inflation result won’t stop OCR cut

18 October 2016 - Inflation was slightly above forecasts in the September quarter, but the result is not likely to deter the Reserve Bank from cutting the OCR next month.

RBNZ signals more cuts on way

12 October 2016 - More interest rate cuts are probably on the way, the Reserve Bank has signalled. Read more.  ...

Lower OCR around corner

12 October 2016 - More interest rate cuts are probably on the way, the Reserve Bank has signalled.

OCR call sticks to the script

22 September 2016 - Keeping the OCR on hold was the move expected of the Reserve Bank today, but economists say it means there will be another cut in November.

What the Reserve Bank said today

22 September 2016 -    The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate (OCR) unchanged at 2.0 percent. Global growth is below trend despite being supported by...

OCR remains the same; Here's what Wheeler said today

22 September 2016 - The Reserve Bank governor, Graeme Wheeler, has spoken on interest rates. Here is what he said.  [Read On] ...

OCR predictions: What the experts are tipping

19 September 2016 - Don’t expect another OCR cut this week: economists are uniformly predicting the Reserve Bank will leave the OCR on hold, but cut later this year. Read...

OCR cut not on the cards - yet

16 September 2016 - Don’t expect another OCR cut this week: economists are uniformly predicting the Reserve Bank will leave the OCR on hold, but cut later this year.

Lower mortgage rates unlikely - ANZ

1 September 2016 - The Reserve Bank is likely to cut the OCR further, but borrowers shouldn’t expect mortgage rates to keep pace with the cuts, it has been suggested.

Rising pressures impact on Kiwibank

26 August 2016 - Competitive market and increasing funding costs mean Kiwibank has experienced a small drop in its annual after tax profits.

OCR cuts forecast for November

24 August 2016 - Further OCR cuts are looming strongly on the horizon in the wake of the Reserve Bank’s speech yesterday, economists have said. Read more.  ...

Expect OCR cut in November - economists

24 August 2016 - Further OCR cuts are looming strongly on the horizon in the wake of the Reserve Bank’s speech yesterday, economists have said.

RBNZ defends OCR cuts

23 August 2016 - Lowering the OCR risks further fuelling house price growth but the Reserve Bank believes it has been a necessary trade-off to prevent a decline in inflation...

Reserve Bank defends interest rate stance

23 August 2016 - Lowering the OCR risks further fuelling house price growth but the Reserve Bank believes it has been a necessary trade-off to prevent a decline in inflation expectations.

Finding solutions to 60% LVRs

22 August 2016 - The Reserve Bank’s new investor-targeted LVR rules come into effect on 1 October, but there are solutions to the restrictions for investors willing to think laterally.

Borrowers unlikely to see full cut

11 August 2016 - Reserve Bank expects this morning’s OCR cut to be passed on to, but that's unlikely to happen. ANZ has already said it is only passing on one fifth of the central bank's cut to its customers.

More cuts on the horizon

11 August 2016 - Lack of surprise greeted the Reserve Bank’s OCR cut today and economists say further cuts have now been clearly signposted.

What the Reserve Bank said about interest rates

11 August 2016 - The Reserve Bank has reduced the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2%. Global growth is below trend despite being supported by unprecedented...

Little doubt OCR cut coming

5 August 2016 - Rare consensus reigns on the OCR forecast front with economists across the board expecting the Reserve Bank to cut the OCR next week.

A good question from ANZ

1 August 2016 - Frustration probably doesn’t half describe how RBNZ officials are feeling right now, ANZ economists say in their latest newsletter. OCR cuts and tighter...

Reserve Bank signals more OCR cuts

21 July 2016 - The Reserve Bank says more official cash rate cuts are likely as it fights to get inflation into its target range.

Odds on for an August cut

18 July 2016 - Lower than expected inflation has economists predicting another cut to the official cash rate.

How OCR decisions are made

18 July 2016 - Assistant Reserve Bank Governor John McDermott has explained how the bank formulates and assess monetary policy and comes to its OCR decisions. Read here...

How the Reserve Bank makes OCR decisions

18 July 2016 - Assistant Reserve Bank Governor John McDermott has explained how the bank formulates and assess monetary policy and comes to its OCR decisions.

Future OCR cuts dependent on inflation

7 July 2016 - Persistently subdued inflation means a further OCR cut looks likely, but economists are suggesting that the tide may have turned on multiple cuts.

RBNZ quandary

5 July 2016 - The Reserve Bank has a quandary on its hands as two alternative scenarios it painted for future OCR decisions are both playing out at the same time, Here's...

Brexit means August OCR cut likely

27 June 2016 - It’s early days yet but economists agree that Brexit has upped the odds for the Reserve Bank to cut the OCR in August.

Financial stability reason for unchanged OCR

9 June 2016 - The Reserve Bank may have left the OCR unchanged – due to a more upbeat economic assessment - this morning, but economists continue to expect a further cut to come.

OCR holding - Economists

3 June 2016 - Next week’s OCR announcement will be a close call if any movement will be made. Read here what the economists are predicting.  ...

OCR calls favour hold

3 June 2016 - Not so long ago most economists were picking that another OCR cut would be announced at next week’s Reserve Bank meeting, but now the mood has changed.

No rush to cut OCR

1 June 2016 - A lack of inflation pressures still points to low interest rates for an extended period, according to Harbour Asset Management. Read their OCR analysis...

Less urgency to cut OCR but bias remains

31 May 2016 - "Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." - Niels Bohr

HSBC: OCR holding till August

31 May 2016 - Strong growth and a booming housing market mean that HSBC now expects the Reserve Bank to hold off on an OCR cut until August. Read more.  ...

OCR on hold till August - HSBC

30 May 2016 - Strong growth and a booming housing market mean that HSBC now expects the Reserve Bank to hold off on an OCR cut until August.

Investors dominating housing market

27 May 2016 - New Reserve Bank lending data leaves little doubt that investors are busy in the current market. Read more. ...

The Co-Op Bank makes changes

25 May 2016 - The Co-Operative Bank has cut both its six month and two year rates. Here's how its six-month rate stacks up ...

June cut speculation

23 May 2016 - Low inflation expectations are feeding OCR projections of a June cut, but it’s still possible other factors may edge that timing out. Read here.  ...

Inflation concerns could mean June cut

23 May 2016 - Low inflation expectations are feeding OCR projections of a June cut, but it’s still possible other factors may edge that timing out.

Comparing OCR and floating rates no longer relevant

10 May 2016 - The difference between floating home loan rates and the Official Cash Rate is no longer a good measure of margins, ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says...

OCR cuts imminent

29 April 2016 - Leaving the OCR on hold was the right decision, but there will be further cuts down the track, economists say. Read more.  ...

OCR hold right call – for now

28 April 2016 - Leaving the OCR on hold today was the right decision, but there will be further cuts down the track, economists say.

OCR held: What the Reserve Bank said

28 April 2016 - The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.25%.

OCR guessing game - what economists think

26 April 2016 - An OCR cut this week is a live call, but most economists think the Reserve Bank will wait a bit longer before cutting again. Read more.  ...

Odds against OCR cut

22 April 2016 - An OCR cut this week is a live call, but most economists think the Reserve Bank will wait a bit longer before cutting again.

More restrictions on the way?

20 April 2016 - Auckland’s reinvigorated housing market, along with the ongoing strength of regional markets, has left economists suggesting further Reserve Bank restrictions...

Are more housing market curbs on the agenda?

19 April 2016 - Speculation over the prospect of further restrictions on the housing market has been growing, but the Reserve Bank is remaining silent.

Later rather than sooner for OCR cut

19 April 2016 - The Reserve Bank’s juggling act has not become any easier despite signs that inflation may have bottomed out. Economists say an OCR cut was still likely...

RBNZ lock-ups scrapped following leak

15 April 2016 - The RBNZ will no longer have embargoed lock-ups for news media and analysts ahead of announcements on interest rate decisions, monetary policy statements...

RBNZ confirms OCR leak

14 April 2016 - The Reserve Bank has confirmed that a journalist leaked information on the March OCR decision ahead of the official release.

OCR - will it stay or will it go?

14 April 2016 - It's just over a fortnight now until the Reserve Bank makes its next Official Cash Rate announcement. After the surprise cut last time and a mixed bag...

RBNZ to investigate alleged OCR leak

24 March 2016 - The Reserve Bank has launched in investigation into an alleged leak of its recent Official Cash Rate announcement. The bank says “an allegation has been...

More OCR cuts to come - ASB

21 March 2016 - Further OCR cuts will be needed for the Reserve Bank to get the economic stimulation it needs, ASB predicts.

Playing the man not the ball

16 March 2016 - The RBNZ’s approach to communication has faced some criticism following last week’s cut in the OCR, which surprised many bank economists, leaving some confused and others plain flabbergasted. This is not an attempt to defend the RBNZ, but to look at the facts.

No role for politicians in OCR uproar - experts

16 March 2016 - Banks’ reluctance to pass on last week’s OCR cut may not be popular, but commentators agree it is far from surprising – and politicians shouldn’t get involved.

Which banks are the most generous?

16 March 2016 - Well we have had all sorts of reaction by banks to the OCR cut last week. The most generous so far is The Co-Operative Bank which immediately passed on...

Playing the ball not the man

15 March 2016 - The RBNZ’s approach to communication has faced some criticism following last week’s cut in the OCR, which surprised many bank economists, leaving some confused and others plain flabbergasted.  This is not an attempt to defend the RBNZ, but to look at the facts.

Inflation key for interest rates

14 March 2016 - An ongoing decline in inflation expectations could mean interest rates drop further, but some are nervous about the trade-offs involved.

Full OCR cut should be passed on: McLachlan

11 March 2016 - Co-Operative Bank led the field in cutting its floating interest rate following the OCR announcement but it wasn't a planned move to be first off the block, chief executive Bruce McLachlan says.

Banks slow to pass on OCR cut

11 March 2016 - The Co-operative Bank was first out of the blocks yesterday and passed the full 25 basis point OCR cut onto customers. The only big bank to follow, so...

Timing of OCR cut surprises

10 March 2016 - There is widespread surprise that the Reserve Bank has cut the OCR again so soon.

Surprise OCR cut

10 March 2016 - While many economic forecasters were expecting the Reserve Bank to cut the OCR later this year the central bank moved today shaving another 25 basis points off the cash rate.

What the Reserve Bank said today

10 March 2016 - The Reserve Bank today reduced the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.25%. The outlook for global growth has deteriorated since the December...

Reserve Bank surprises with OCR cut

10 March 2016 - Here is what RBNZ governor Graeme Wheeler had to say about interest rates today [Read On] ...

Cuts to OCR unlikely

7 March 2016 - There’s little doubt further OCR cuts are on the way, but most economists see a cut this week as unlikely. Read here. ...

OCR cut this week unlikely

7 March 2016 - There’s little doubt further OCR cuts are on the way, but most economists see a cut this week as unlikely.

Looming impact of global funding costs

1 March 2016 - ANZ is warning mortgage rates may not fall as far as the OCR because of rising bank funding costs.

ANZ changes position on OCR cuts

29 February 2016 - Another major bank has joined the OCR cut camp – with ANZ today predicting two more cuts this year.

Room for OCR cuts - English

26 February 2016 - Reserve Bank still has room to move and cut the OCR if it needs to, finance minister Bill English says. Read here.  ...

Scope for OCR cut - English

25 February 2016 - Reserve Bank still has room to move and cut the OCR if it needs to, finance minister Bill English says.

Inflation expectations fall sharply

17 February 2016 - Marked decline in inflation expectations could be crucial for OCR outlook, one major bank says.

Dropping rates should boost slow growth

16 February 2016 - There will be a slow start to 2016 for New Zealand’s economy – which adds to the case for further OCR cuts, according to ASB.

Expect lower mortgage rates in six months: Stephens

15 February 2016 - Home loan interest rates are likely to be lower in six months’ time than they are today, Westpac’s chief economist says.

Forecasts not commitment - RBNZ

5 February 2016 - Don’t mistake transparency and regular guidance as commitment to a certain policy path, the Reserve Bank warns. Read here.  ...

Forecasts not commitment - RBNZ

4 February 2016 - Don’t mistake transparency and regular guidance as commitment to a certain policy path, the Reserve Bank warns.

OCR cut outlook shifts

4 February 2016 - Views on the prospect of an OCR cut have shifted following the Reserve Bank governor’s speech and the release of new labour data yesterday.

RBNZ governor: Immediate cuts not the way to go

4 February 2016 - Responding to low inflation with immediate interest rate cuts is not the way to go, the Reserve Bank says. Read here.  ...

Flexibility key to RBNZ policy

3 February 2016 - Responding to low inflation with immediate interest rate cuts is not the way to go, the Reserve Bank says.

RBNZ signals OCR cuts looming

28 January 2016 - Nobody was surprised by the Reserve Bank’s announcement this morning that the OCR will remain unchanged at 2.5%.

What the Reserve Bank said to start the year

28 January 2016 - The Reserve Bank today left the Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.5 percent.

NZ economic outlook downgraded

27 January 2016 - Weaker prices for agricultural exports have led Fitch Ratings to revise New Zealand’s growth outlook down.

No cuts predicted for OCR this week

25 January 2016 - Inflation forecasts are the key theme in economists’ predictions for Thursday’s official cash rate call from the Reserve Bank. Economists share their...

OCR cuts to come – but not now

25 January 2016 - Inflation forecasts are the key theme in economists’ predictions for Thursday’s official cash rate call from the Reserve Bank.

Reluctance to cut may be wrong

10 December 2015 - Predictions of further cuts and analysis of changes in tone flow following the Reserve Bank’s OCR cut this morning.

OCR cut to 2.5%

10 December 2015 - The Reserve Bank has, this morning, cut the Official Cash Rate, and warns further cuts are unlikely.

OCR cut, maybe for final time. Rate cuts started

10 December 2015 - The Reserve Bank has cut 25 basis points off the Official Cash Rate, and suggest further cuts are unlikely.  [READ ON] Since the announcement ANZ...

What the Reserve Bank said today

10 December 2015 - The Reserve Bank today reduced the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.5%.

What will the RBNZ say?

9 December 2015 - All eyes will be on the Reserve Bank's official cash rate announcement tomorrow and whether it makes another cut or not. You can watch the bank's live...

Mixed predictions for OCR movement

4 December 2015 - Expectations of a cut to the OCR next week are riding high – although some economists have divergent theories. Read full story here.  ...

Odds are on an OCR cut

4 December 2015 - Expectations of a cut to the OCR next week are riding high – although some economists have divergent theories.

OCR cuts on way

17 November 2015 - ASB warns weakness in the dairy sector means OCR cuts are on the way. Moderate economic growth is on the cards, but the outlook has softened – thanks...

More OCR cuts to come

16 November 2015 - Weakness in the dairy sector means OCR cuts are on the way, ASB says.

RBNZ pushes pause on OCR

29 October 2015 - The Reserve Bank left the OCR on hold at 2.75% this morning but economists say the Governor’s comments on the currency are his key message.

OCR: What the governor said

29 October 2015 - The Reserve Bank this morning confirmed the widely-held view that the OCR would remain unchanged for now. Here is what governor Graeme Wheeler had to say.

OCR: Unchanged for now; Details here

29 October 2015 - Here is what the RBNZ governor had to say about interest rates. Read On ...

No cut expected for OCR

23 October 2015 - Change to the official cash rate (OCR) is unlikely this month although some economists think it should be cut, a mortgage.co.nz survey reveals.

More OCR cuts likely – despite housing concerns

14 October 2015 - Global economic concerns mean more “easing” of the OCR is likely, even though this could further fuel the already-hot housing market, the Reserve Bank Governor has said.

Global factors make for low rates

28 September 2015 - Low interest rates look set to continue as the Reserve Bank’s annual report emphasises the importance of maintaining a flexible monetary policy in the face of global economic challenges.

Interest rate rise could surprise, economist warns

24 September 2015 - Interest rates could increase at a rate that is much faster than the market expects, NZIER principal economist Aaron Drew is warning.

No Change

18 September 2015 - ANZ's economists all get out of bed early to hear what the US Federal Reserve had to say this morning about interest rates and the economy.

US Fed makes its decision

18 September 2015 - The US Federal Reserve announced this morning it was keeping the cash rate at record lows in the face of threats from a weak global economy, persistently...

Further OCR cuts to come

10 September 2015 - Mortgage rates may yet have further to fall, after the Reserve Bank’s cutting of the OCR to 2.75% today.

Banks follow OCR down

10 September 2015 - A rush of rate cuts has followed the Reserve Bank decision to cut the official cash rate this morning.

OCR cut: What the governor said

10 September 2015 - The Reserve Bank today reduced the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.75%.

The lowest floating rate on offer

10 September 2015 - Since the OCR announcement we have seen floating rates and some revolving credit rates come down 25 basis points. Those to move so far include: ANZ, Kiwibank,...

Watch the OCR live tomorrow on Good Returns

9 September 2015 - This morning you will be able to watch the Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Statement press conference live online at Good Returns. Please use this link...

Economists predict OCR cut

4 September 2015 - Economists are unanimously expecting the official cash rate to be cut next week.

OCR reviewed less often

26 August 2015 - New Zealand’s official cash rate will be reviewed less often in coming years.

More OCR cuts are on the way - RBNZ

29 July 2015 - The Reserve Bank has confirmed that further OCR cuts are likely to be needed.

No surprises in Reserve Bank's move

23 July 2015 - Little surprise followed the Reserve Bank’s OCR cut this morning - and further cuts are now generally expected to come this year.

OCR cut to 3%

23 July 2015 - New Zealand's softening economic outlook and low inflation has led the Reserve Bank to cut the OCR to 3% today.  

Why the Reserve Bank cut the OCR today

23 July 2015 - Reserve Bank governor Graeme Wheeler explains why the Official Cash Rate was cut today.

OCR cut on the cards this week

17 July 2015 - Predictions of multiple OCR cuts by the end of the year are coming thick and fast - with the next one expected on Thursday.

Falling business confidence points to... OCR cuts

7 July 2015 - A sharp decline in business confidence has led ASB to formally join the economists predicting three more OCR cuts by the end of the year.

Westpac predicts three more OCR cuts this year

6 July 2015 - Another three OCR cuts are on the way, thanks to darkening economic clouds, according to one of the major banks.

Falling dairy prices to prompt OCR cuts

2 July 2015 - OCR cut predictions have taken a big step up following the latest fall in dairy prices.

Under par GDP leads to OCR cut calls

19 June 2015 - Three of the major banks are now predicting a further cut to the OCR in July.

OCR cut prompted by falling dairy prices

11 June 2015 - The Reserve Bank cut the OCR to 3.25% today after their concerns about dairy prices outweighed their Auckland housing market concerns.

OCR cut

11 June 2015 - The Reserve Bank has cut the OCR to 3.25% today. Here is what the governor Graeme Wheeler said.

OCR cut; Floating rates follow

11 June 2015 - The Reserve Bank has cut the OCR. Here is what the governor Graeme Wheeler said  [READ ON] You can watch the Webcast of the announcement here Following...

One economist calls for OCR cut this week; others say wait

8 June 2015 - Expect the Reserve Bank to leave the OCR unchanged next week – despite many recent forecasts that cuts are likely this year.

ASB now calling for two OCR rate cuts

7 May 2015 - ASB economists have changed their view on the OCR and gone from a 50:50 chance of an interest rate cut to predicting the Reserve Bank will cut the cash rate two times this year.

What are the odds of a interest rate cut?

30 April 2015 - The Reserve Bank, today inched towards cutting the official cash rate but what are the chances of this actually happening? Miriam Bell finds out.

RBNZ outlines case for interest rate cut

30 April 2015 - In this morning's OCR announcement the Reserve Bank said it has not plans to increase interest rates and also outlined what would need to happen for it to cut rates.

What the Reserve Bank said

30 April 2015 - The OCR this morning has, as predicted stayed unchanged, and it will stay that way for sometime. However, Reserve Bank governor Graeme Wheeler also outlined what would need to happen for a rate cut to occur.

RBNZ rate cut unlikely – for now

24 April 2015 - With the Reserve Bank’s next Official Cash Rate (OCR) announcement due on Thursday, a mortgagerates.co.nz survey of economists reveals many believe a downward bias is creeping into the RBNZ’s thinking.

OCR unchanged – but housing market remains hot topic

12 March 2015 - The Reserve Bank has left the official cash rate (OCR) at 3.5% and maintained a neutral stance in its statement, but the Auckland housing market was a dominant topic at the RBNZ’s briefing this morning.

What the Reserve Bank said

12 March 2015 - Here is what the Reserve Bank's governor Graeme Wheeler had to say about interest rates and the economy today.

A change in the fixed interest soundtrack

11 March 2015 - What’s the theme? For those TV channel surfing late at night, there is a programme called ‘What’s the theme?’, which shows endless music videos...

No surprises expected in OCR this week, but plenty to look for

9 March 2015 - No surprises are expected in the Reserve Bank’s upcoming official cash rate (OCR) and monetary policy statements this Thursday.

More changes at OnePath predicted

10 July 2012 - OnePath is keeping quiet on industry speculation that further changes to its executive and investment teams could be in the works.

Rating downgrades could keep OCR on hold for longer

30 September 2011 - The downgrades to New Zealand's credit rating by two of three major international ratings agencies could mean the Reserve Bank holds its official cash rate at current levels for longer but they could also affect banks' cost of borrowing.

Floating mortgage rates won't be rising any time soon

28 April 2011 - Floating mortgage rates won't be rising any time soon with Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard holding interest rates steady and emphasising the uncertain economic outlook means they will stay there for some time.

Floating mortgage rates won't be rising any time soon

28 April 2011 - Floating mortgage rates won't be rising any time soon with Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard holding interest rates steady and emphasising the uncertain economic outlook means they will stay there for some time.

OCR unchanged at 2.5%

10 September 2009 - Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard held the official cash rate at 2.50% today, as expected, and reiterated his view that the rates will stay low until the end of next year.  

OCR unchanged at 2.50%

30 July 2009 - Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard held the official cash rate at 2.5% as expected and said while economic activity showing signs of stabilising, the high New Zealand dollar was helping to keep the economy "weak." The kiwi tumbled after his statement.

Dollar, rates jump after Bollard leaves rates unchanged

11 June 2009 - Interest rates jumped and the New Zealand dollar soared after Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard left interest rates unchanged, even though his statement emphasised the economic risks remain weighted to the downside and the high currency is "unhelpful."

OCR unchanged at 2.5%

11 June 2009 - The Official Cash Rate (OCR) will remain unchanged at 2.50%.

MPs slam banks over interest rates

9 June 2009 - In a bipartisan move, a Parliamentary Select Committee has urged banks to pass on cuts to the official cash rate to their floating and short-term mortgage rates.

Bollard slashes rates and says they will stay low

30 April 2009 - Not only did Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard slash interest rates again today, he indicated further modest cuts are likely and that rates will remain at or below current levels through to late 2010.  

RBNZ cuts OCR to record low 2.5%

30 April 2009 - Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Alan Bollard cut the official cash rate 50 basis points to 2.5%.

Economists agree OCR cut coming

9 April 2009 - Economists are expecting Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard will cut the official cash rate (OCR) again when he next reviews it on April 30 with the only debate being by how much.

MortgageWatch: More increases to longer term rates

22 March 2009 - Borrowers are facing an increasingly tough dilemma at the moment; that is when to fix long term.

MortgageWatch: Shorts down, longs up

13 March 2009 - Two key trends are happening in the home loan market this week; floating rates are actually sinking and some long-term rates are rising.

Bollard disappoints some with 50 point OCR cut

12 March 2009 - Reserve Bank governor disappointed those hoping for a bigger interest rate cut but still cut his official cash rate (OCR) to an historic low citing the very rapidly deteriorating world economy and extreme volatility in international financial markets.

OCR reduced to 3%

12 March 2009 - The Reserve Bank today reduced the official cash rate (OCR) by 50 basis points to 3%.

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Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 6.19 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 8.74 7.24 6.79 6.65
ANZ 8.64 7.84 7.39 7.25
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 7.24 6.79 6.65
ASB Bank 8.64 7.24 6.79 6.65
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 9.15 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
Bluestone 9.24 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 7.24 6.79 6.65
BNZ - Green Home Loan top-ups - - - 1.00
BNZ - Mortgage One 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 8.69 7.84 7.39 7.25
BNZ - TotalMoney 8.69 - - -
CFML Loans 9.45 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 7.04 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 8.40 7.24 ▼6.79 ▼6.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Standard 8.40 7.74 ▼7.29 ▼7.15
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 7.45 7.35 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.99 7.85 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.99 6.69 6.45 6.19
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 7.60 7.40 -
HSBC Premier 8.59 - - -
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 7.85 7.05 ▼6.75 6.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora 8.64 7.79 ▼7.39 ▼7.25
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 8.50 8.25 7.79 7.55
Kiwibank - Offset 8.50 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 7.25 6.79 6.65
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 9.00 7.75 7.35 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
Resimac - LVR < 80% 8.84 8.30 7.89 7.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Resimac - LVR < 90% 9.84 9.30 8.89 8.69
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Alt Doc) - - 8.99 -
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Full Doc) - - 9.49 -
SBS Bank 8.74 7.84 7.45 7.25
SBS Bank Special - 7.24 6.85 6.65
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 6.19 6.74 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.95 - - -
Select Home Loans 9.24 - - -
TSB Bank 9.44 8.04 7.55 7.45
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 8.64 7.24 6.75 6.65
Unity 8.64 6.99 ▼6.79 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - - 6.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.60 7.15 6.85 -
Westpac 8.64 7.89 7.49 7.25
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.74 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.64 - - -
Westpac Special - 7.29 6.89 6.65
Median 8.64 7.29 7.32 6.65

Last updated: 14 March 2024 9:32am

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