tmmonline.nz  |   landlords.co.nz        About Good Returns  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  RSS Feeds

NZ's Financial Adviser News Centre

GR Logo
Get your tickets to the Mindful Money ethical investment awards CLICK HERE Dismiss
Last Article Uploaded: Saturday, June 25th, 3:56PM

News

rss
Latest Headlines

China more tempting but time not yet right

Investors thinking about dipping their toes back into Chinese equities markets are being given a warning: It’s not time yet.

Friday, May 20th 2016, 6:00AM

by Susan Edmunds

John Berry

China’s equity markets have been through a volatile year.

During the first half of 2015, China’s A Shares soared over 70% only to plummet around 50% by early 2016.  They have drifted down 5% this year. 

John Berry, of Pathfinder, said many investors were starting to consider whether it was time to increase their exposure to China, and other emerging markets.

“Chinese equities are around their five-year average, which is better value than US equities. They are starting to look fairly valued.”

But he said the time was not yet right.

Berry said there were still too many uncertainties. True annual GDP growth was unlikely to match the official predictions of 6.5% to 7% growth each year for the next five years.

“Expectations globally range from 5% to just under 7%.  Some researchers use alternative calculations based on electricity consumption, rail cargo volume, loan volumes and manufacturing indices.  These currently indicate GDP growth somewhere around 4%-5%,” he said.

“Secondly uncertainty remains around a range of key metrics - property, bad loans, currency settings, labour force changes and capital flows,” he said.

Berry said there would be a right time to get back into the Chinese market but it had not yet been reached. “I don’t think the risk-reward tradeoff at the moment is the right one.”

He said everything was so correlated that if China did improve, the rest of the world was likely to follow suit and offer the same gains.

“But if they go down, China will go down further. Chinese equities are volatile - if they fall with the rest of the world, the sell-off in China is likely to be much more dramatic.  The time will come to re-invest in Chinese equities, but on a risk/reward trade off the time is probably not now.”

Tags: China Pathfinder Asset Management

« Code changes likely by year's endLVR restrictions to be reviewed »

Special Offers

Comments from our readers

No comments yet

Sign In to add your comment

 

print

Printable version  

print

Email to a friend
News Bites
Latest Comments
Subscribe Now

Weekly Wrap

Previous News
Most Commented On
Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA 5.95 4.85 5.35 5.65
ANZ 5.94 ▲5.95 ▲6.40 ▲6.59
ANZ Blueprint to Build - - - -
ANZ Special - ▲5.35 ▲5.80 ▲5.99
ASB Bank 5.85 ▲5.35 ▲5.80 ▲5.99
Avanti Finance 5.95 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.95 - - -
Bluestone 5.89 7.49 8.09 8.19
BNZ - Classic - ▲5.35 ▲5.69 ▲5.99
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.94 ▲5.95 ▲6.29 ▲6.59
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML Loans 6.45 - - -
China Construction Bank 5.50 5.40 6.14 6.40
China Construction Bank Special - 4.45 5.19 5.45
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - ▲4.75 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.85 ▲4.85 ▲5.35 ▲5.65
Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.85 ▲5.35 ▲5.85 ▲6.15
Credit Union Auckland 5.95 - - -
First Credit Union Special 5.85 4.95 5.45 -
Heartland Bank - Online 4.10 ▲4.40 ▲4.90 ▲5.10
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Heretaunga Building Society 6.10 5.00 5.75 -
HSBC Premier 5.89 4.39 5.15 5.39
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 5.25 4.39 5.09 5.45
Kainga Ora 5.43 4.57 5.58 5.85
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.50 5.85 6.19 6.39
Kiwibank - Offset 5.50 - - -
Kiwibank Special 5.00 4.85 5.19 5.39
Liberty 4.84 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Nelson Building Society 6.45 ▲5.55 ▲6.15 -
Pepper Money 4.49 - - -
Resimac 6.19 5.60 6.16 6.29
SBS Bank 5.79 5.05 5.69 5.89
SBS Bank Special - 4.55 5.19 5.39
Select Home Loans 4.09 4.29 4.86 5.09
TSB Bank 5.59 5.14 5.79 6.15
TSB Special 4.79 4.34 4.99 5.35
Unity 5.65 4.95 5.55 -
Wairarapa Building Society 5.74 4.95 5.75 -
Westpac 5.94 ▲5.95 ▲6.29 ▲6.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac - Offset 5.94 - - -
Westpac Special - ▲5.35 ▲5.69 ▲5.99
Median 5.85 5.00 5.69 5.99

Last updated: 23 June 2022 9:02am

About Us  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  Privacy Policy  |  RSS Feeds  |  Letters  |  Archive  |  Toolbox  |  Disclaimer
 
Site by Web Developer and eyelovedesign.com