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Time to bail out of housing: economist
While the housing market remains strong and house prices should rise a bit further, the latest immigration numbers suggest now is the time to bail out, according to Bank of New Zealand chief economist Tony Alexander.
Monday, February 9th 2004, 7:38AM
by The Landlord
The figures showed a net gain of 1,500 people in December which Alexander says is below the average December gain for the last 10 years of 1,718.
"Extrapolate that result for the year and you get a net gain of 11,000 people versus the 34,909 gained over 2003 and 38,200 gained over 2002," he says.
What’s worse, the rate of turn in the figures is accelerating "so one cannot rule out no net gain this year and a loss of people over 2005, especially with the world economy looking strong."
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Mortgage Rates Table
Full Rates Table | Compare Rates
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
|---|
| AIA - Back My Build |
3.34 |
- |
- |
- |
| AIA - Go Home Loans |
5.89 |
4.65 |
5.25 |
5.49 |
| ANZ |
5.79 |
5.39 |
6.09 |
6.29 |
| ANZ Blueprint to Build |
7.39 |
- |
- |
- |
| ANZ Good Energy |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
| ANZ Special |
- |
4.79 |
5.49 |
5.69 |
| ASB Bank |
5.79 |
4.65 |
5.25 |
5.49 |
| ASB Better Homes Top Up |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
| Avanti Finance - Near Prime |
6.35 |
- |
- |
- |
| Avanti Finance - Specialised |
7.45 |
- |
- |
- |
| Basecorp Finance |
6.35 |
- |
- |
- |
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
|---|
| BNZ - Mortgage One |
5.94 |
- |
- |
- |
| BNZ - Rapid Repay |
5.94 |
- |
- |
- |
| BNZ - Std |
5.84 |
4.65 |
5.19 |
5.39 |
| BNZ - TotalMoney |
5.94 |
- |
- |
- |
| CFML 321 Loans |
3.95 |
- |
- |
- |
| CFML Home Loans |
6.05 |
- |
- |
- |
| CFML Prime Loans |
6.25 |
- |
- |
- |
| CFML Standard Loans |
6.95 |
- |
- |
- |
| China Construction Bank |
6.44 |
4.85 |
4.95 |
4.95 |
| China Construction Bank Special |
6.44 |
5.85 |
5.95 |
5.95 |
| Co-operative Bank - First Home Special |
- |
4.55 |
- |
- |
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
|---|
| Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ |
4.99 |
4.65 |
5.29 |
5.49 |
| Co-operative Bank - Standard |
4.99 |
5.15 |
5.79 |
5.99 |
| Credit Union Auckland |
7.70 |
- |
- |
- |
| First Credit Union Special |
- |
5.09 |
5.49 |
- |
| First Credit Union Standard |
6.49 |
5.69 |
6.09 |
- |
| Heartland Bank - Online |
5.80 |
5.89 |
- |
- |
| Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage |
7.99 |
- |
- |
- |
| Heretaunga Building Society |
6.50 |
5.50 |
5.65 |
- |
| ICBC |
5.39 |
4.49 |
4.99 |
5.25 |
| Kainga Ora |
5.79 |
4.59 |
4.95 |
5.19 |
| Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
|---|
| Kiwibank |
5.75 |
5.65 |
6.19 |
6.35 |
| Kiwibank - Offset |
5.75 |
- |
- |
- |
| Kiwibank Special |
5.75 |
4.75 |
5.29 |
5.55 |
| Liberty |
6.65 |
6.55 |
6.22 |
6.20 |
| Nelson Building Society |
6.49 |
4.69 |
5.09 |
- |
| Pepper Money Near Prime |
6.55 |
- |
- |
- |
| Pepper Money Prime |
5.99 |
- |
- |
- |
| Pepper Money Specialist |
8.00 |
- |
- |
- |
| SBS Bank |
5.84 |
5.29 |
5.79 |
5.99 |
| SBS Bank Special |
- |
4.69 |
5.19 |
5.39 |
| SBS Construction lending for FHB |
3.74 |
- |
- |
- |
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
|---|
| SBS FirstHome Combo |
▲6.19 |
▲5.79 |
- |
- |
| SBS FirstHome Combo |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| SBS Unwind reverse equity |
7.99 |
- |
- |
- |
| TSB Bank |
6.59 |
5.49 |
6.05 |
6.29 |
| TSB Special |
5.79 |
4.69 |
5.25 |
5.49 |
| Unity First Home Buyer special |
- |
4.09 |
- |
- |
| Unity Special |
5.79 |
4.80 |
5.29 |
- |
| Unity Standard |
5.79 |
5.60 |
6.09 |
- |
| Wairarapa Building Society |
6.15 |
4.95 |
5.45 |
- |
| Westpac |
5.89 |
5.39 |
5.79 |
6.09 |
| Westpac Choices Everyday |
5.99 |
- |
- |
- |
| Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
|---|
| Westpac Offset |
5.89 |
- |
- |
- |
| Westpac Special |
- |
4.79 |
5.19 |
5.49 |
| Median |
5.94 |
4.85 |
5.45 |
5.49 |
Last updated: 5 June 2026 10:14am |
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