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Treat brokers' tips warily

Monday, November 15th 2004, 7:01AM

by The Landlord

Q: I cannot agree with your expressed belief that, in share investing, the available knowledge is not useful to the ordinary investor. I suggest that it depends where you seek it.

I am an ordinary share investor and have neither the desire, resource nor skill to undertake meaningful market analysis, but I can manage to digest the weekly summaries and other advice available from my sharebroker, and make reasoned decisions on that basis. Not infallible, but better than do-it-yourself.


Diversification is fine, but requires a certain critical mass in the portfolio, and coping with 15 companies is about my limit - stock picking is inevitable.

I suggest your correspondent seeking knowledge in last week's column consider this approach.

A: Let me take you back a few years, when I was studying for my MBA at the University of Chicago.

One day, the professor said that share tips from sharebrokers to their clients were, basically, useless. By the time the clients heard that a company's prospects suddenly looked brighter, the big institutions had long since rushed in and bought, and the share price had already risen to reflect the new information.

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.89 4.49 4.49 4.79
ANZ 5.69 5.09 ▲5.29 ▲5.69
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 ▲4.69 ▲5.09
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 4.49 4.79
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 4.49 4.79
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.35 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.45 ▲4.79 ▲5.09
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.95 ▲5.29 ▲5.59
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora ▼5.69 ▼4.49 ▼4.49 ▼4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society 6.49 4.59 4.59 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.09 5.09 5.39
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special 5.79 4.39 4.49 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special ▼5.79 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard ▼5.79 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 4.59 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 ▲5.35 ▲5.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 ▲4.75 ▲5.05
Median 5.94 4.59 4.87 5.05

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