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House prices will fall: report

Southern house prices will fall in the next two years as the population drops, according to a report prepared by economic analysts Infometrics.

Sunday, May 23rd 2004, 2:13AM

by The Landlord

The report, for PMI Mortgage Insurance, says property in Southland and Otago has become overvalued. While prices were likely to rise 20 percent for the year ending in June, they would fall 10 percent in the following two years to June 2006.

Southland's population grew just 0.3 percent between June 2001 and June 2003 while Otago, including the Wakatipu, gained 1.2 percent in the same period.

Overseas migrants inflated the Southland population but there was still a net outflow of people moving to other provinces, mostly Otago and Canterbury, the report says.


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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.89 4.49 ▲4.75 ▲5.09
ANZ 5.69 5.09 ▲5.29 ▲5.69
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 ▲4.69 ▲5.09
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 ▲4.75 ▲5.09
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 ▲4.69 ▲5.09
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.35 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.45 ▲4.79 ▲5.09
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.95 ▲5.29 ▲5.59
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora 5.69 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society 6.49 4.59 4.59 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.09 5.09 5.39
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special 5.79 ▲4.49 ▼4.00 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special ▼5.79 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard ▼5.79 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 ▲4.79 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 5.35 5.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 4.75 5.05
Median 5.94 4.59 4.87 5.09

Last updated: 19 December 2025 1:35pm

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