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Bollard says residential house prices may fall

Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard today warned residential property investors to be wary about possible falls in house prices in the next couple of years.

Monday, September 6th 2004, 7:34AM

by The Landlord

"In housing, as with any other investment, it's the investor who takes the risk, thus it's the investor who needs to be careful," Bollard said in speech notes.

However, Bollard was careful to state that the Reserve Bank was not forecasting "a calamitous fall" in house prices over the next few years.

"A reasonable view is that house prices are unlikely to rise much further over the next two years, and some falls are certainly possible, particularly in some regions," he said.


He said some of the key drivers of the nationwide property boom were easing, such as rapid population growth.

Bollard's speech was for a New Zealand Property Council conference in Rotorua today, and ahead of his monetary policy statement on September 9.

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build ▼3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans ▼5.89 4.49 4.49 4.79
ANZ 5.69 5.09 5.09 5.39
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 4.49 4.79
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 4.49 4.79
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime ▼6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised ▼7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 4.49 4.79
BNZ - TotalMoney ▲8.14 - - -
CFML 321 Loans ▼3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans ▼6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans ▼6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans ▼6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.35 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.45 4.49 4.79
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.95 4.99 5.29
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online ▼5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora 6.29 4.75 4.75 4.99
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society ▼6.49 4.59 ▼4.59 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank ▼5.84 5.09 5.09 5.39
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo ▼3.29 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank ▼6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special ▼5.79 4.39 4.49 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special 6.39 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard 6.39 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 4.59 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 5.05 5.35
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 4.45 4.75
Median 6.15 4.67 4.85 4.85

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