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Bank believes housing boom over

Deutsche Bank believes the underlying growth in house prices is all but over following the latest figures from the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ) showing a fall in median prices.

Sunday, September 19th 2004, 8:32AM

by The Landlord

The Real Estate Institute says slowing demand for high-end housing pushed the national median house price down 1% in August, although sales volumes rebounded slightly.

Deutsche Bank chief economist Ulf Schoefisch says smoothing out the ups and downs in figures shows a declining trend in turnover of around 2% and a slight rise in the time taken to sell a house.

He believes house prices will stabilise in some areas but fall in places like Nelson and Queenstown, where prices have risen dramatically over the past three years.


Last week the Reserve Bank raised the official cash rate (OCR), which affects home mortgage rates, for the sixth time this year and is expected to do so again before the year is over.

New Zealand now has the highest interest rates of any developed country.

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.89 4.49 ▲4.75 ▲5.09
ANZ 5.69 5.09 5.29 5.69
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 4.69 5.09
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 ▲4.75 ▲5.09
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 ▲4.69 ▲5.09
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.35 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.45 4.79 5.09
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.95 5.29 5.59
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora 5.69 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society 6.49 4.59 4.59 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime ▲8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.09 5.09 5.39
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special 5.79 ▲4.49 ▼4.00 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special 5.79 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard 5.79 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 ▲4.79 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 5.35 5.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 4.75 5.05
Median 5.94 4.59 4.87 5.09

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