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House sales fall to decade low

New Zealand residential property sales plummeted to its lowest level for a July in a decade, as rising interest rates, slower population growth and tax changes took their toll on the market, according to figures released by the Real Estate Institute.

Friday, August 13th 2010, 11:28AM 8 Comments

by The Landlord

Nationwide sales slipped to 4,411 last month from 4,575 in June and were down 26.7% year-on-year, according to the REINZ. That's still higher than the record low of 3,666 sales in January.

The REINZ Monthly Housing Price Index showed nationwide prices also fell in July, down 1.2% to 3191.5 from June. In the three months to July, the index shows housing prices decreased by 1.1%.

"Given the weakened fundamentals for housing demand, including slowing population growth, rising interest rates and change in tax policy, we expect house prices will come under pressure over the second half of the year, falling around 3% over the next year," said  Jane Turner, an economist with ASB.

Compared to 12 months earlier, the REINZ Housing Price Index increased by a paltry 1.8%.

According to REINZ the trend was strongest in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch where prices remained higher than they were in July 2009.

In Christchurch prices up 7.4%, Auckland up 1.7%, Wellington up 1.1% and other North Island suburbs up 2.2%. Prices in South Island suburbs other than Christchurch were down 2.7% from July 2009.

The total value of residential sales, including sections, in July declined to $1.83 billion, a further decrease on the June total of $1.96 billion.

The national median number of days to sell stayed at 45 for July which is longer than the 37 days of July 2009 but an improvement on the median of 58 days in July 2008.

REINZ spokesperson Peter Thompson said "winter is traditionally a slow period for the property market", and that an uplift in sales volumes can be expected in the spring.

« Momentum building in house market, according to ANZFree Investment Property Showcase Events: Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch »

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Comments from our readers

On 13 August 2010 at 12:50 pm baz said:
Those of us wise enough to buy based on yield and considering capital gain a bonus are quite happy to ride out this flat spot in the market, which could continue for quite some time yet. Those fools who bought negatively geared properties - you made your bed, now lie in it.
On 13 August 2010 at 4:37 pm Kim said:
True words, although a bit harsh. Negatively geared property is a tool. Like any tool it can be used in the wrong place or with the wrong timing. An argument could also be made that intelligent (or lucky) use of negative gearing is also where the most substantial profits can be made. Everyone to their own risk profile - some people even buy lotto tickets.
On 13 August 2010 at 9:14 pm Judith said:
That's a nasty thing to say. A lot of people got caught up in the hype spun by those free seminar types like Rich Mastery and the consequences have been devastating. They probably were unwise but you should show some empathy! Due to comments like yours it is no wonder we property investors get a bad name!
On 14 August 2010 at 8:15 am baz said:
Kim - I have merely stated a truism - fools and their money are easily parted, and anyone that goes to a "free" seminar that promises to make you money and does not get independent advice is a fool.
The most frustrating thing is that these types of investors have held down the rates of return on residential property by buying houses with low yields, thus depressing the whole rental market, and relying on depreciation and capital gain. It is no wonder that while house prices have doubled, rents have gone up by only a fraction of this increase, resulting in much lower yields for long term investors than might have been expected. So the sooner the aforementioned fools get out of the rental market, and rents get back to a realistic percentage of the value of the asset, the better. As to calling them fools, it might seem a bit harsh but I have always believed in calling a spade a spade, and fools is exactly what they were.
On 18 August 2010 at 9:55 am Peter said:
Unfortunately Kim is right, Those of us who got sucked into buying negatively geared properties in NZ are bloody fools. Just another bad investment gone south. Suckered by those who know how to make money out of unwise investors trying their best to make a little extra to retire on. The only thing I disagree with is the suggestion that we are wealthy losers. Not so Kim. There was no greed involved, just need.
On 18 August 2010 at 12:46 pm Julie said:
I am one of those people that have purchased rental properties that are heavily negatively geared, and are putting in a decent sum each month to top up the rental income to meet mortgage committments. Even though the yields are negative and further impacted by depreciation changes in rules, I look at the portfolio as a long term investment and property has doubled in value each 10 years over the last 50 year history. Even if it is flat for the next four years, you need to review the gains over a long period of time.
On 19 August 2010 at 9:49 am Sam said:
You are all greedy and if things were your way you would put honest kiwis on the streets if they couldn't afford your rent. The PI model is going down, do everyone a favour and own your own home and maybe another one, but stop the greed and leave it with that, as is evident in these times, this greed has/will be your undoing.
On 20 August 2010 at 3:25 pm Ann said:
Its so easy to be nasty in print hiding behind your words but the fact is if we didn't venture into property investment there would be no homes to rent, the long term return is greater than money in the bank safer than high risk investments and is here to stay. Go buy a rental today.
Commenting is closed

 

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 6.19 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 8.74 7.24 6.75 6.65
ANZ 8.64 7.84 7.39 7.25
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 7.24 6.79 6.65
ASB Bank 8.64 7.24 6.75 6.65
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 9.15 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
Bluestone 9.24 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 7.24 6.79 6.65
BNZ - Green Home Loan top-ups - - - 1.00
BNZ - Mortgage One 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 8.69 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 8.69 7.84 7.39 7.25
BNZ - TotalMoney 8.69 - - -
CFML Loans 9.45 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 7.04 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 8.40 7.24 6.79 6.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Standard 8.40 7.74 7.29 7.15
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 7.45 7.35 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.99 7.85 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.99 ▲6.89 ▲6.55 ▲6.35
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 7.60 7.40 -
HSBC Premier 8.59 - - -
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 7.85 7.05 6.75 6.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora 8.64 7.79 7.39 7.25
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 8.50 8.25 7.79 7.55
Kiwibank - Offset 8.50 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 7.25 6.79 6.65
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 9.00 7.75 7.35 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
Resimac - LVR < 80% 8.84 8.09 7.59 7.29
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Resimac - LVR < 90% 9.84 9.09 8.59 8.29
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Alt Doc) - - 8.99 -
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Full Doc) - - 9.49 -
SBS Bank 8.74 7.84 ▼7.29 ▼6.59
SBS Bank Special - 7.24 ▼6.69 ▼5.99
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 6.19 6.74 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.95 - - -
Select Home Loans 9.24 - - -
TSB Bank 9.44 8.04 7.55 7.45
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 8.64 7.24 6.75 6.65
Unity 8.64 6.99 6.79 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - - 6.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.60 6.95 6.85 -
Westpac 8.64 7.89 7.35 7.25
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.74 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.64 - - -
Westpac Special - 7.29 6.75 6.65
Median 8.64 7.29 7.29 6.65

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