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Skip Auckland, investors urged

Property investors should consider making their next purchase outside Auckland, it has been suggested.

Tuesday, August 25th 2015, 12:00AM

by The Landlord

ANZ has released its latest Property Focus report, which notes that affordability is worsening, debt servicing is becoming more difficult and nationwide consent issuance is flatlining, although it is picking up in Auckland.

The bank’s chief economist, Cameron Bagrie, said it seemed likely that  regional New Zealand house prices could be set to outperform Auckland’s over the next few years.

Auckland’s prices have been rising at a rate that far outpaces the rest of the country.  Prices are up more than 20% in Auckland compared to 2014, according to REINZ, and just under 12% in the rest of the country.

But prices looked to have come off the boil in the most recent monthly statistics, dropping 2.6%, and Bagrie said the market conditions were right for a regional price boom.

In the early 1990s, the median Auckland house price was 30% higher than the median New Zealand price. Now it is two-thirds higher.

“It’s like a rubber band, Auckland values versus the rest of New Zealand. You can’t indefinitely stretch the rubber band before you see a snap back. Auckland will level out and the rest of New Zealand will play catch up a bit,” Bagrie said.

He said the new lending rules to be introduced on November 1 would hasten that.

Auckland investors will find it hard to get a loan with equity of less than 30% and there is already anecdotal evidence of landlords looking for rental properties in smaller centres instead.

Bagrie said capital would start to flow out of Auckland to housing markets in other parts of New Zealand.

“If I was going to talk about getting bang for my buck in the next five years I’d look outside Auckland.”

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Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
ANZ 5.19 4.05 3.95 4.49
ANZ Special - 3.55 3.45 3.99
ASB Bank 5.20 ▼3.89 ▲4.05 4.39
ASB Bank Special - ▼3.39 ▲3.55 3.89
BNZ - Classic - 3.55 3.45 3.99
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.90 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.35 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.30 4.45 4.35 4.55
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.30 - - -
China Construction Bank 5.50 4.70 4.80 4.95
China Construction Bank Special - 3.19 3.19 3.19
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Credit Union Auckland 5.95 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 6.15 4.95 4.95 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 6.45 - - -
Finance Direct - - - -
First Credit Union 5.85 3.99 4.49 -
Heartland 6.70 7.00 7.25 7.85
Heartland Bank - Online - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 4.80 4.95 -
HSBC Premier 5.24 3.35 3.35 3.35
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 5.15 3.18 3.18 3.20
Kainga Ora 5.18 4.04 3.95 4.39
Kiwibank 5.80 ▼4.14 ▲4.30 4.64
Kiwibank - Capped - - - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.15 - - -
Kiwibank Special - ▼3.39 ▲3.55 3.89
Liberty 5.69 - - -
Napier Building Society - - - -
Nelson Building Society 5.70 4.25 4.15 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 5.64 - 5.44 5.44
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Pepper Money Prime 5.18 - 4.98 4.98
Pepper Money Specialist 7.59 - 7.39 7.39
Resimac 4.50 4.86 3.89 3.94
RESIMAC Special - - - -
SBS Bank 5.29 4.85 5.05 5.49
SBS Bank Special - 3.55 3.39 3.89
Sovereign 5.30 4.15 4.29 4.55
Sovereign Special - 3.65 3.75 4.05
The Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.15 3.49 3.59 3.89
The Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.15 3.99 4.09 4.39
TSB Bank 6.09 4.35 4.25 4.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 5.29 3.55 3.45 3.89
Wairarapa Building Society 5.70 4.85 4.99 -
Westpac 5.34 4.15 4.09 4.49
Westpac - Offset 5.34 - - -
Westpac Special - 3.55 3.45 3.99
Median 5.34 4.02 4.09 4.39

Last updated: 21 November 2019 9:39am

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