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Return to a “realistic” market

Property market growth is set to return to more normal levels in 2016, predicts one major agency.

Monday, January 11th 2016, 12:40PM

by Miriam Bell

In 2015, New Zealand’s property market, led by the skyrocketing Auckland market, reached new price heights.

But now this appears to be changing – with the latest data showing that the Auckland market has levelled off.

Commentators are divided over what the prognosis for the longer term might be.

Barfoot & Thompson managing director Peter Thompson said their December sales data gave mixed messages as to where the Auckland market will head in 2016.

Others believe the Auckland market is simply taking a breather while buyers adjust to new rules introduced by the government and the Reserve Bank. [http://www.landlords.co.nz/article/5584/drop-in-apartment-investment]

However, Century 21 New Zealand national manager Geoff Barnett believes New Zealand’s property market is becoming a more realistic market again.

“We’re seeing auction clearance numbers generally falling, average selling times lengthening out, and median house prices not rising as steeply, particularly in Auckland.

“But, this was always inevitable and, in fact, it is a lot more realistic and sustainable.”

He said that in 2016 the market will still be relatively strong – given the regions are performing well, interest rates remain low, and Auckland’s population continues to grow.

“Rest assured, Auckland will keep trucking along.”

While the market eased back in the last quarter of 2015, people will soon get used to new rules and just work with them, Barnett said.

In his view, apartments will be property market story of 2016 – due to their more affordable entry point.

“At the same time, the quality of construction and the overall living environment has improved dramatically in many of the new apartment developments now coming on stream.

“That also ensures stronger capital gain prospects with banks now more willing to lend more on them.”

Low interest rates continue to make buying a more attractive proposition for many.

Barnett said this means that all eyes will be firmly on the Reserve Bank at the end of this month to see if the OCR is lowered again.

« Profits take flight with AirbnbCheaper interest rates don't mean more affordable housing »

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
ANZ 5.19 4.05 3.95 4.49
ANZ Special - 3.55 3.45 3.99
ASB Bank 5.20 ▼3.89 ▲4.05 4.39
ASB Bank Special - ▼3.39 ▲3.55 3.89
BNZ - Classic - 3.55 3.45 3.99
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.90 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.35 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.30 4.45 4.35 4.55
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.30 - - -
China Construction Bank 5.50 4.70 4.80 4.95
China Construction Bank Special - 3.19 3.19 3.19
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Credit Union Auckland 5.95 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 6.15 4.95 4.95 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 6.45 - - -
Finance Direct - - - -
First Credit Union 5.85 3.99 4.49 -
Heartland 6.70 7.00 7.25 7.85
Heartland Bank - Online - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 4.80 4.95 -
HSBC Premier 5.24 3.35 3.35 3.35
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 5.15 3.18 3.18 3.20
Kainga Ora 5.18 4.04 3.95 4.39
Kiwibank 5.80 4.14 4.30 4.64
Kiwibank - Capped - - - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.15 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 3.39 3.55 3.89
Liberty 5.69 - - -
Napier Building Society - - - -
Nelson Building Society 5.70 4.25 4.15 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 5.64 - 5.44 5.44
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Pepper Money Prime 5.18 - 4.98 4.98
Pepper Money Specialist 7.59 - 7.39 7.39
Resimac 4.50 4.86 3.89 3.94
RESIMAC Special - - - -
SBS Bank 5.29 4.85 5.05 5.49
SBS Bank Special - 3.55 3.39 3.89
Sovereign 5.30 4.15 4.29 4.55
Sovereign Special - 3.65 3.75 4.05
The Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.15 3.49 3.59 3.89
The Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.15 3.99 4.09 4.39
TSB Bank 6.09 4.35 4.25 4.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 5.29 3.55 3.45 3.89
Wairarapa Building Society 5.70 4.85 4.99 -
Westpac 5.34 4.15 4.09 4.49
Westpac - Offset 5.34 - - -
Westpac Special - 3.55 3.45 3.99
Median 5.34 4.02 4.09 4.39

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