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LVR restrictions to stay put: Westpac

Westpac economists believe the Reserve Bank will keep LVR speed limits at their current levels, amid fears over house price stability.

Monday, November 25th 2019, 10:01AM

The big four bank's team of economists, including Michael Gordon and Dominick Stephens, predict the long-awaited Financial Stability Report on Wednesday will not deliver a huge change for the housing market.

The economists believe the New Zealand economy is poised for an upturn along with the housing market. Fears of an over-heated housing market could prompt the central bank to keep things as they are for now, according to Westpac's latest weekly report. 

"Our long-held view has been that, after the economic slowdown over the past year, we will see a re-acceleration in economic growth underpinned by increases in fiscal spending and supportive monetary policy. Recent data indicate that just such a re-acceleration is underway, and it’s likely to continue over the coming years.

"With much of the pickup in activity centred on the housing market, stability concerns are back on the radar. As a result, we expect the RBNZ will keep the current loan-to-value restrictions unchanged when it releases its latest Financial Stability Report."

The Westpac economists predict supportive monetary policy will aid house price growth.

"Looking ahead, with inflation still struggling to reach 2%, we think that the RBNZ will cut the cash rate again in early 2020 and keep it at low levels for an extended period. That will support a further acceleration in the housing market and household spending over the coming years. In fact, our forecast for nationwide house price inflation of 7% in 2020 could come good even sooner."

Tags: Dominick Stephens LVR RBNZ Reserve Bank Westpac

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Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA 4.55 2.55 2.69 2.79
ANZ 4.44 3.15 3.25 3.39
ANZ Special - 2.55 2.69 2.79
ASB Bank 4.45 2.55 2.69 2.79
Bluestone 3.49 3.49 3.49 3.49
BNZ - Classic - 2.55 2.69 2.79
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.15 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 4.60 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 4.55 3.15 3.29 3.39
BNZ - TotalMoney 4.55 - - -
CFML Loans 5.50 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
China Construction Bank 4.49 4.70 4.80 4.95
China Construction Bank Special - 2.65 2.65 2.80
Credit Union Auckland 5.45 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 5.65 3.95 3.85 -
Credit Union South 5.65 3.95 3.85 -
First Credit Union Special 5.85 3.35 3.85 -
Heartland 3.95 2.89 2.97 3.39
Heartland Bank - Online - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 4.99 3.85 3.95 -
HSBC Premier 4.49 2.45 2.60 2.65
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 3.69 2.55 2.65 2.79
Kainga Ora 4.43 ▼2.93 ▼3.07 ▼3.24
Kiwibank 3.40 3.30 3.54 3.54
Kiwibank - Offset 3.40 - - -
Kiwibank Special 3.40 2.55 2.79 2.79
Liberty 5.69 - - -
Nelson Building Society 4.95 3.45 3.49 -
Pepper Essential 4.79 - - -
Resimac 3.39 ▼3.35 2.99 3.35
SBS Bank 4.54 3.05 3.19 3.25
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Bank Special - 2.55 2.69 2.75
The Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.40 2.55 2.69 2.79
The Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.40 3.05 3.19 3.29
TSB Bank 5.34 3.35 3.49 3.79
TSB Special 4.54 2.55 2.69 2.99
Wairarapa Building Society 4.99 ▼3.55 ▼3.49 -
Westpac 4.59 4.15 4.09 4.49
Westpac - Offset 4.59 - - -
Westpac Special - 2.55 2.69 2.79
Median 4.55 3.05 3.13 3.12

Last updated: 14 August 2020 1:06pm

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