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Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Wednesday 19 June 2013  Add your comment
Predictions for floating rates

Following the Reserve Bank announcement last week the market now prices 40 basis points of OCR hikes in the year ahead, and a 30% chance of a 25 point rate hike by year-end.

BNZ says it expects a first OCR hike in March next year. This would be the beginning of a process of ‘normalising’ the OCR from its current historic low of 2.50%. We then see a steady progression of the OCR to a cyclical peak of 4.50%, by mid-2015.

"Our view is based on the premise the economy is now showing broad-based strength, against the backdrop of limited excess capacity to absorb growth. This should lead to inflationary pressures down the track, as should the gradual decline in the NZ Dollar that we see unfolding next year. In addition, we believe house price appreciation will ultimately require a monetary policy response as well as the implementation of macro-prudential tools."

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Kiwi home ownership levels sink

The level of home ownership in New Zealand has slipped to just two-thirds of the population.

Thursday, December 13th 2001, 5:49PM

by Jenny Ruth

And although we think of ourselves as being high up in the home ownership stakes, we now rank only eighth, according to Massey University’s Professor Bob Hargreaves.

Back in 1986, more New Zealanders owned their own homes than any other nationality.

Now, "Singapore (90%) is a clear leader in owner-occupied housing, followed by Taiwan (85%) and Spain (81%)," Hargreaves says in his latest commentary on the New Zealand rental housing market.

Ireland, Belgium, Australia and Britain all have higher levels of home ownership than New Zealand does, he estimates.

But Hargreaves’ survey shows home ownership levels aren’t necessarily linked to wealth. Home ownership is Switzerland, "one of the richest countries in the world," is only about 30%.

"Clearly, ownership has cultural as well as affordability considerations," he says.

However, most New Zealanders do aspire to home ownership.

Hargreaves notes that one group of Kiwi renters could afford to buy their own homes but choose not to. "This group may have alternative investment strategies which at least equate with the returns from housing investment," he says.

Other renters though, and these are thought to be the majority, can’t afford to buy a house either because they lack the capital for a deposit or have insufficient debt servicing capability or both.

"The worry is that this latter group is getting larger as the percentage of New Zealanders owning their own house continues to reduce," Hargreaves says.

For those who do rent, Hargreaves finds rents have been static in the last three months, over the last year and in the last two and a half years. The national median is $190 a week with the cheapest place to rent being Invercargill at $110 a week and the most expensive being Auckland at $275 a week.

« Economist sees potential housing boomFixed mortgage interest rates begin to firm »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AMP Home Loans 6.24 5.25 4.99 5.65
AMP Home Loans $200k+ 6.14 5.15 4.89 5.55
ANZ 5.74 5.25 5.45 5.80
ANZ Special - 4.95 - -
ASB Bank 5.75 5.19 5.45 5.75
ASB Bank Special - 4.95 - -
Bank Direct Special - 4.95 - -
BankDirect 5.75 5.19 5.45 5.75
BNZ - Classic - - 5.40 -
BNZ - GlobalPlus 5.99 5.25 5.65 5.80
BNZ - Mortgage One 6.40 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.99 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.99 5.25 5.65 5.80
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.74 - - -
Credit Union Auckland 6.20 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 5.85 5.45 5.45 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 5.75 - - -
eMortgage 6.04 6.15 6.69 7.19
Fantastic Home Loans 5.74 5.19 5.40 5.75
Fidelity Life 5.70 5.85 6.35 -
Finance Direct 6.10 6.45 6.69 7.10
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
First Credit Union 6.45 - - -
General Finance 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
HBS Bank 5.65 4.95 4.99 5.65
Heartland 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 5.25 5.65 -
Housing NZ Corp 5.75 5.25 5.40 5.74
HSBC Premier 5.99 4.99 5.25 5.45
HSBC Premier Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 4.89 5.25 5.65
Kiwibank - Capped 5.65 6.50 - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.50 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Liberty 5.64 - - -
Napier Building Society 5.80 6.00 6.70 -
Nelson Building Society 6.45 5.95 6.25 -
NZ Home Loans 5.85 5.25 5.45 5.75
Perpetual Trust 7.70 - - -
RESIMAC - lo doc 6.59 6.35 6.55 6.90
RESIMAC LVR <80% 5.59 5.35 5.55 5.90
SBS Bank 5.65 4.94 4.99 5.65
Silver Fern 5.95 6.10 6.55 7.05
Southern Cross 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
Sovereign 5.85 5.19 5.45 5.75
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
The Co-operative Bank 5.70 4.94 5.35 5.75
The Co-operative Bank Special - - - -
TSB Bank 5.79 5.25 5.30 5.75
TSB Bank Special - ▼4.88 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.20 6.70 6.95 -
Westpac 6.24 5.19 5.45 5.90
Westpac - Capped rates - 6.50 - -
Westpac LVR >80% - 4.94 - -
Median 5.85 5.25 5.45 5.75

Last updated: 16 June 2013 9:53pm

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