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Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Monday 29 April 2024
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Bollard leaves OCR unchanged but surpises with hawkish tone
As expected, Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard left the official cash rate (OCR) unchanged at 6.5%, although he says further increases can’t be ruled out and that there is little scope to cut rates in the foreseeable future.
Thursday, December 9th 2004, 3:49PM
"There are no surprises in the decision but there’s a few surprises in the tenor," says Cameron Bagrie, an economist at ANZ National Bank. "They’ve come out a lot more hawkish than the market expected. It’s lit a fire under the currency."
Market reaction was strong, particularly in the New Zealand dollar which climbed half a US cent to 71.30 cents and shot through 94 Australian cents within half an hour of the statement.
Wholesale interest rates rose about five basis points across the curve from short to long-term rates. Previously, while economists had been talking about a rate cut at the end of next year, the market had been pricing in a rate cut in the first half of 2005.
Bagrie says monetary policy is very much a roller coaster with today’s statement reversing the more dovish tone and neutral stance at the last OCR review in late October.
Brendan O’Donovan, chief economist at Westpac Bank, shares those sentiments. "They’ve done an averaging of the September and October statements – it’s very much what the October statement should have delivered but didn’t. Rather than saying, we’re done and dusted, they’ve given themselves back some flexibility," O’Donovan says.
The central bank has also changed its view of the outlook for inflation and is now talking of two-way risks. On the upside, it sees a risk that the current momentum in household demand will hold up longer than expected but that the possibility of "more exaggerated movements" in the US dollar and US interest rates could lead to weaker exports and therefore less inflation pressure.
O’Donovan says that’s in sharp contrast to the last monetary policy statement in September when the Reserve Bank talked only of the risks inflation may turn out stronger than expected.
Bagrie expects the currency will rise back to 72 or 73 US cents over the next few days. "I think international investors will be surprised. We’re likely to see quite strong offshore interest in the next 24 to 48 hours."
And the higher the New Zealand dollar rises, the less likely it will be that Bollard will raise rates further, he says.
Commenting is closed
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Mortgage Rates Table
Full Rates Table | Compare Rates
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
AIA - Back My Build |
6.19 |
- |
- |
- |
AIA - Go Home Loans |
8.74 |
7.24 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
ANZ |
8.64 |
7.84 |
7.39 |
7.25 |
ANZ Blueprint to Build |
7.39 |
- |
- |
- |
ANZ Good Energy |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
ANZ Special |
- |
7.24 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
ASB Bank |
8.64 |
7.24 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
ASB Better Homes Top Up |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
Avanti Finance |
9.15 |
- |
- |
- |
Basecorp Finance |
9.60 |
- |
- |
- |
Bluestone |
9.24 |
- |
- |
- |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
BNZ - Classic |
- |
7.24 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
BNZ - Green Home Loan top-ups |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
BNZ - Mortgage One |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
BNZ - Rapid Repay |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys |
8.69 |
7.84 |
7.39 |
7.25 |
BNZ - TotalMoney |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
CFML Loans |
9.45 |
- |
- |
- |
China Construction Bank |
- |
7.09 |
6.75 |
6.49 |
China Construction Bank Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special |
- |
7.04 |
- |
- |
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ |
8.40 |
7.24 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
Co-operative Bank - Standard |
8.40 |
7.74 |
7.29 |
7.15 |
Credit Union Auckland |
7.70 |
- |
- |
- |
First Credit Union Special |
- |
7.45 |
7.35 |
- |
First Credit Union Standard |
8.50 |
7.99 |
7.85 |
- |
Heartland Bank - Online |
7.99 |
▲6.89 |
▲6.55 |
▲6.35 |
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Heretaunga Building Society |
8.90 |
7.60 |
7.40 |
- |
HSBC Premier |
8.59 |
- |
- |
- |
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
HSBC Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
ICBC |
7.85 |
7.05 |
6.75 |
6.59 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
Kainga Ora |
8.64 |
7.79 |
7.39 |
7.25 |
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Kiwibank |
8.50 |
8.25 |
7.79 |
7.55 |
Kiwibank - Offset |
8.50 |
- |
- |
- |
Kiwibank Special |
- |
7.25 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
Liberty |
8.59 |
8.69 |
8.79 |
8.94 |
Nelson Building Society |
9.00 |
7.75 |
7.35 |
- |
Pepper Money Advantage |
10.49 |
- |
- |
- |
Pepper Money Easy |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
Pepper Money Essential |
8.29 |
- |
- |
- |
Resimac - LVR < 80% |
8.84 |
8.09 |
7.59 |
7.29 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
Resimac - LVR < 90% |
9.84 |
9.09 |
8.59 |
8.29 |
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Alt Doc) |
- |
- |
8.99 |
- |
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Full Doc) |
- |
- |
9.49 |
- |
SBS Bank |
8.74 |
7.84 |
7.29 |
6.59 |
SBS Bank Special |
- |
7.24 |
6.69 |
5.99 |
SBS Construction lending for FHB |
- |
- |
- |
- |
SBS FirstHome Combo |
6.19 |
6.74 |
- |
- |
SBS FirstHome Combo |
- |
- |
- |
- |
SBS Unwind reverse equity |
9.95 |
- |
- |
- |
Select Home Loans |
9.24 |
- |
- |
- |
TSB Bank |
9.44 |
▼7.79 |
7.55 |
7.45 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
TSB Special |
8.64 |
▼6.99 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
Unity |
8.64 |
6.99 |
6.79 |
- |
Unity First Home Buyer special |
- |
- |
6.45 |
- |
Wairarapa Building Society |
8.60 |
6.95 |
6.85 |
- |
Westpac |
8.64 |
7.89 |
7.35 |
7.25 |
Westpac Choices Everyday |
8.74 |
- |
- |
- |
Westpac Offset |
8.64 |
- |
- |
- |
Westpac Special |
- |
7.29 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
Median |
8.64 |
7.29 |
7.29 |
6.65 |
Last updated: 29 April 2024 9:22am Previous News
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Thursday, September 28th, 9:00AM
RBNZ announces OCR decision
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Tuesday, August 1st, 11:19AM
SBS eyes partnership with mortgage advisers
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Thursday, June 22nd, 9:00AM
OCR held again - here's what RBNZ had to say
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Thursday, May 11th, 10:26AM
Surprise at RBNZ’s OCR outlook
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Thursday, May 11th, 9:00AM
No change to OCR: What RB said today
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Monday, May 8th, 6:00AM
Focus on tone, not content, of OCR call this week
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Tuesday, May 2nd, 11:10AM
ANZ half-year profit jumps
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Monday, April 24th, 10:23AM
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