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Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Wednesday 19 June 2013  Add your comment
Predictions for floating rates

 

Following the Reserve Bank announcement last week the market now prices 40 basis points of OCR hikes in the year ahead, and a 30% chance of a 25 point rate hike by year-end.

BNZ says it expects a first OCR hike in March next year. This would be the beginning of a process of ‘normalising’ the OCR from its current historic low of 2.50%. We then see a steady progression of the OCR to a cyclical peak of 4.50%, by mid-2015.

"Our view is based on the premise the economy is now showing broad-based strength, against the backdrop of limited excess capacity to absorb growth. This should lead to inflationary pressures down the track, as should the gradual decline in the NZD that we see unfolding next year. In addition, we believe house price appreciation will ultimately require a monetary policy response as well as the implementation of macro-prudential tools."

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Working out Westpac's home loan book

Westpac's New Zealand mortgage book probably grew somewhere between $50 million and $80 million in the three months ending December.

Thursday, March 3rd 2011, 5:00AM

by Jenny Ruth

The bank's general disclosure statement (GDS) for the quarter for its New Zealand branch, which includes the operations of its New Zealand subsidiary, shows, using the same capital adequacy-based measure GoodReturns has been using since December 2002, its mortgage book grew by $70 million to $34.18 billion in the three months.

As Good Returns has already reported, the same measure in the GDS for Westpac's subsidiary shows its mortgage book grew by an unbelieveable $3.53 billion to $32.68 billion in the same three months.

Under Reserve Bank rules, the branch GDS is prepared using Basel l rules while the subsidiary's uses Basel ll rules, so some difference is to be expected, although Westpac does no mortgage lending through its New Zealand branch.

The branch GDS note on loans shows housing term loans growing by $80 million to $34.22 million in the three months. The subsidiary GDS showed housing term loans at $34.3 billion at December 31, $53 million higher than at September 30.

The loan-to-valuation ratio (LVR) table in both GDSs shows exactly the same figures: Westpac's mortgage book grew $5.38 billion to $39.75 billion during the December quarter.

However, Westpac says the September quarter LVR figures were prepared using only on-balance sheet exposures while the December quarter LVR figures include both on-balance and off-balance sheet mortgages, mostly those approved but not drawn down. The change was due to the previously unclear rules for preparing the LVR figures being clarified, Westpac says.

So, on a like-for-like basis, the LVR figures show both on and off-balance sheet mortgages grew $70 million to $39.75 billion. Taking on-balance sheet mortages only, though, its mortgage book fell $225 million to $34.14 billion. GoodReturns is investigating how comparable LVR figures are between banks.

« John Key expects OCR cutMore lenders cut short-term rates »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AMP Home Loans 6.24 5.25 4.99 5.65
AMP Home Loans $200k+ 6.14 5.15 4.89 5.55
ANZ 5.74 5.25 5.45 5.80
ANZ Special - 4.95 - -
ASB Bank 5.75 5.19 5.45 5.75
ASB Bank Special - 4.95 - -
Bank Direct Special - 4.95 - -
BankDirect 5.75 5.19 5.45 5.75
BNZ - Classic - - 5.40 -
BNZ - GlobalPlus 5.99 5.25 5.65 5.80
BNZ - Mortgage One 6.40 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.99 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.99 5.25 5.65 5.80
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.74 - - -
Credit Union Auckland 6.20 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 5.85 5.45 5.45 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 5.75 - - -
eMortgage 6.04 6.15 6.69 7.19
Fantastic Home Loans 5.74 5.19 5.40 5.75
Fidelity Life 5.70 5.85 6.35 -
Finance Direct 6.10 6.45 6.69 7.10
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
First Credit Union 6.45 - - -
General Finance 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
HBS Bank 5.65 ▼4.95 4.99 5.65
Heartland 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 5.25 5.65 -
Housing NZ Corp 5.75 5.25 5.40 5.74
HSBC Premier 5.99 4.99 5.25 5.45
HSBC Premier Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 4.89 5.25 5.65
Kiwibank - Capped 5.65 6.50 - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.50 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Liberty 5.64 - - -
Napier Building Society 5.80 6.00 6.70 -
Nelson Building Society 6.45 5.95 6.25 -
NZ Home Loans 5.85 5.25 5.45 5.75
Perpetual Trust 7.70 - - -
RESIMAC - lo doc 6.59 6.35 6.55 6.90
RESIMAC LVR <80% 5.59 5.35 5.55 5.90
SBS Bank 5.65 ▼4.94 4.99 5.65
Silver Fern 5.95 6.10 6.55 7.05
Southern Cross 5.95 6.25 6.50 7.10
Sovereign 5.85 5.19 5.45 5.75
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
The Co-operative Bank 5.70 ▼4.94 5.35 5.75
The Co-operative Bank Special - - - -
TSB Bank 5.79 5.25 5.30 5.75
TSB Bank Special - ▼4.88 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.20 6.70 6.95 -
Westpac 6.24 5.19 5.45 5.90
Westpac - Capped rates - 6.50 - -
Westpac LVR >80% - 4.94 - -
Median 5.85 5.25 5.45 5.75

Last updated: 16 June 2013 9:53pm

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