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Mortgages

Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Tuesday 3 December 2024  Add your comment
Hard times not easing much for mortgage borrowers; BNZ Fixed housing rate change effective today

Mortgage arrears have risen for the third consecutive month and are higher than last year's levels, according to figures from the credit bureau Centrix. [READ ON]

BNZ is updating their Fixed Housing rates today [See here]

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Smart money on rate cut as soon as next month

Almost nobody expects the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates tomorrow when it issues its latest Monetary Policy Statement (MPS), but the smart money is betting rates will fall, if not next month, then by early June.

Wednesday, March 5th 2003, 1:05AM

by Jenny Ruth

In the wholesale interest rate market, the March 90-day bank bill futures, which expire on the March 12, are trading at 5.71%, slightly below the Reserve Bank’s 5.75% Official Cash Rate (OCR).

That suggests the market thinks there’s a slight possibility of a rate cut this week. But looking out to the June 90-day bank bill futures which are trading at 5.39% and the market is saying there will be a cut either before or on June 5 when the next MPS is due and that a further cut will be coming not long after that. The September and December futures are trading at 5.22%.

Yet the economists at only one of the five major home lending banks reckon there will be any change in interest rates this year.

Westpac changed its view only in the last week, says economist Nick Tuffley, and is now picking the OCR will fall to 5.5% in June.

"Pretty much since the beginning of the year, the risks have been shifting down bit by bit," Tuffley says.

The consensus forecasts of economic growth among New Zealand’s trading partners, a key measure the Reserve Bank watches, have shifted from 3.6% in the middle of last year down to 2.8%.

Coupled with the strength of the New Zealand dollar, particularly against the Australian dollar, that should mean lower export earnings this year, Tuffley says.

New Zealand’s rate of growth is likely to shift down from about 4% last year to between 2% and 2.5% this year and that should be sufficient to quell the inflationary pressures evident at the moment, he says.

ASB Bank chief economist Anthony Byett says it may be no accident that the major home lenders are tending to view the world differently from those in the wholesale interest rate market.

The major retail banks "are seeing firsthand the solid spending that’s going on, particularly in the housing market," he says. "If you were looking at the domestic factors alone, you would probably be putting rates up."

« Housing market peakedOCR unmoved »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build ▼4.94 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans ▼7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ANZ ▼7.39 ▼6.39 ▼6.19 ▼6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - ▼5.79 ▼5.59 ▼5.59
ASB Bank ▼7.39 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance ▼7.90 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One ▼7.54 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay ▼7.54 - - -
BNZ - Std ▼7.44 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney ▼7.54 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - ▼5.69 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ ▼6.95 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard ▼6.95 ▼6.29 ▼6.09 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - ▼5.99 ▼5.89 -
First Credit Union Standard ▼7.99 ▼6.69 ▼6.39 -
Heartland Bank - Online ▼6.99 5.65 5.55 5.55
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.60 ▼6.65 6.40 -
ICBC 7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank ▼7.25 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset ▼7.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special ▼7.25 5.99 5.69 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society ▼7.94 5.95 6.09 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank ▼7.49 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - 6.15 5.69 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo ▼4.94 5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank ▼8.19 6.49 6.49 6.49
TSB Special ▼7.39 5.69 5.69 5.69
Unity 7.64 5.99 5.69 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.10 6.05 5.79 -
Westpac ▼7.39 ▼6.39 ▼6.09 ▼6.19
Westpac Choices Everyday ▼7.49 - - -
Westpac Offset ▼7.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
Median 7.49 5.99 5.79 5.69

Last updated: 3 December 2024 9:25am

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