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Mortgages

Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
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Hard times not easing much for mortgage borrowers; BNZ Fixed housing rate change effective today

Mortgage arrears have risen for the third consecutive month and are higher than last year's levels, according to figures from the credit bureau Centrix. [READ ON]

BNZ is updating their Fixed Housing rates today [See here]

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Housing market prediction

The housing market should come off the boil in the second half of this year and mortgage rates should fall, but there are some risks to that assessment according to Macquarie Bank economist Roland Randall.

Monday, March 31st 2003, 6:33AM

by Jenny Ruth

He notes that migration, a big contributor to the housing market’s current strength, contributed a percentage point, or 38,200, to last year's 1.6% population growth and that the average annual increase in residential investment was 19%.

Randall expects migrant inflows will abate this year, but notes that February’s inflow was a record.

He also notes that the Reserve Bank’s Official Cash Rate (OCR), currently 5.75%, is 0.75 percentage point below its 10-year average, which has also contributed to housing market’s strength.

Nevertheless, because the economic outlook is weakening, the market expects the OCR will fall to 5.25% by the end of the year, "which should assist affordability and ensure that housing activity does not fall off a cliff," he says.

The main downside risk to his view is that an oversupply of investment property, particularly apartments and particularly in Auckland, develops.

"The annual average change in apartment consents for the year to January 2003 was 34%, but given that Auckland also absorbs the lion’s share of migrant inflows, oversupply is seen as a possible but not likely this year," Randall says.

Another risk to his view is that the global economy recovers faster and stronger than expected, leading to a sharp rise in interest rates, although he doesn’t think that’s likely.

"A rapid rise in interest rates (or decline in house prices) could create a problem because household debt has more than doubled over the last decade and is now 37% of household assets," he says.

« War ends fixed loan rate fallsMore signs housing market slowing »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build ▼4.94 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans ▼7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ANZ ▼7.39 ▼6.39 ▼6.19 ▼6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - ▼5.79 ▼5.59 ▼5.59
ASB Bank ▼7.39 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance ▼7.90 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One ▼7.54 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay ▼7.54 - - -
BNZ - Std ▼7.44 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney ▼7.54 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - ▼5.69 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ ▼6.95 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard ▼6.95 ▼6.29 ▼6.09 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - ▼5.99 ▼5.89 -
First Credit Union Standard ▼7.99 ▼6.69 ▼6.39 -
Heartland Bank - Online ▼6.99 5.65 5.55 5.55
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.60 ▼6.65 6.40 -
ICBC 7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank ▼7.25 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset ▼7.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special ▼7.25 5.99 5.69 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society ▼7.94 5.95 6.09 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank ▼7.49 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - 6.15 5.69 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo ▼4.94 5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank ▼8.19 6.49 6.49 6.49
TSB Special ▼7.39 5.69 5.69 5.69
Unity 7.64 5.99 5.69 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.10 6.05 5.79 -
Westpac ▼7.39 ▼6.39 ▼6.09 ▼6.19
Westpac Choices Everyday ▼7.49 - - -
Westpac Offset ▼7.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
Median 7.49 5.99 5.79 5.69

Last updated: 3 December 2024 9:25am

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