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Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
Wednesday 24 April 2024
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More heat left in the market: Trass
The housing market is close to reaching the final stage of the current boom cycle, but it’s likely to get much hotter yet before it finally cools, according to Kieran Trass at Hybrid Consulting.
Tuesday, July 8th 2003, 7:47AM
by Jenny Ruth
"We’re well and truly into the heat of the boom. We’re in that mid-phase of the boom and we’re about to enter the phase which is the final chapter," Trass says.
That’s when the market will inevitably over-heat.
Some might think, looking at how some properties are selling within days of coming on the market, that we might have already reached that point. Trass suggests that’s not even close to what was happening during the peak of the mid-1990s boom.
"Properties were selling before they hit the market." Rather than potential buyers putting in offers, "more often you were a backup waiting for someone else’s offer to fall over. This isn’t a frenzied market, although compared to a couple of years ago it looks like it’s out of control."
Another thing which isn’t happening yet is that those with a firm offer on a house aren’t being approached by real estate agents suggesting they can make a quick buck by letting someone else settle the sale. "That was rife in 1996."
While expectations that interest rates are low and falling, Trass criticises the Reserve Bank for not pushing them lower.
With 4.25 percentage points between the Federal Reserve’s federal funds rate (currently 1%) and the Reserve Bank’s Official Cash Rate (currently 5.25%), it shouldn’t surprise anyone that the New Zealand dollar is rising which is hurting exporters, just as they were hurt in the mid-1990s.
Rather than worrying about the housing market over-heating, the central bank should be cutting rates to stop the currency rising.
"They should let the housing market take its course. Let the market determine where it goes. If people get burnt because they lose lots of money at that end of the cycle, so be it," Trass says.
"The Reserve Bank’s not here to protect the banking industry. They’re here to regulate the banking industry. Their protectionism is damaging the whole economy, not just the few people who choose to invest in property."
Commenting is closed
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Mortgage Rates Table
Full Rates Table | Compare Rates
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
AIA - Back My Build |
6.19 |
- |
- |
- |
AIA - Go Home Loans |
8.74 |
7.24 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
ANZ |
8.64 |
7.84 |
7.39 |
7.25 |
ANZ Blueprint to Build |
7.39 |
- |
- |
- |
ANZ Good Energy |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
ANZ Special |
- |
7.24 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
ASB Bank |
8.64 |
7.24 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
ASB Better Homes Top Up |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
Avanti Finance |
9.15 |
- |
- |
- |
Basecorp Finance |
9.60 |
- |
- |
- |
Bluestone |
9.24 |
- |
- |
- |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
BNZ - Classic |
- |
7.24 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
BNZ - Green Home Loan top-ups |
- |
- |
- |
1.00 |
BNZ - Mortgage One |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
BNZ - Rapid Repay |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys |
8.69 |
7.84 |
7.39 |
7.25 |
BNZ - TotalMoney |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
CFML Loans |
9.45 |
- |
- |
- |
China Construction Bank |
- |
7.09 |
6.75 |
6.49 |
China Construction Bank Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special |
- |
7.04 |
- |
- |
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ |
8.40 |
7.24 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
Co-operative Bank - Standard |
8.40 |
7.74 |
7.29 |
7.15 |
Credit Union Auckland |
7.70 |
- |
- |
- |
First Credit Union Special |
- |
7.45 |
7.35 |
- |
First Credit Union Standard |
8.50 |
7.99 |
7.85 |
- |
Heartland Bank - Online |
7.99 |
▲6.89 |
▲6.55 |
▲6.35 |
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Heretaunga Building Society |
8.90 |
7.60 |
7.40 |
- |
HSBC Premier |
8.59 |
- |
- |
- |
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% |
- |
- |
- |
- |
HSBC Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
ICBC |
7.85 |
7.05 |
6.75 |
6.59 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
Kainga Ora |
8.64 |
7.79 |
7.39 |
7.25 |
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Kiwibank |
8.50 |
8.25 |
7.79 |
7.55 |
Kiwibank - Offset |
8.50 |
- |
- |
- |
Kiwibank Special |
- |
7.25 |
6.79 |
6.65 |
Liberty |
8.59 |
8.69 |
8.79 |
8.94 |
Nelson Building Society |
9.00 |
7.75 |
7.35 |
- |
Pepper Money Advantage |
10.49 |
- |
- |
- |
Pepper Money Easy |
8.69 |
- |
- |
- |
Pepper Money Essential |
8.29 |
- |
- |
- |
Resimac - LVR < 80% |
8.84 |
8.09 |
7.59 |
7.29 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
Resimac - LVR < 90% |
9.84 |
9.09 |
8.59 |
8.29 |
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Alt Doc) |
- |
- |
8.99 |
- |
Resimac - Specialist Clear (Full Doc) |
- |
- |
9.49 |
- |
SBS Bank |
8.74 |
7.84 |
▼7.29 |
▼6.59 |
SBS Bank Special |
- |
7.24 |
▼6.69 |
▼5.99 |
SBS Construction lending for FHB |
- |
- |
- |
- |
SBS FirstHome Combo |
6.19 |
6.74 |
- |
- |
SBS FirstHome Combo |
- |
- |
- |
- |
SBS Unwind reverse equity |
9.95 |
- |
- |
- |
Select Home Loans |
9.24 |
- |
- |
- |
TSB Bank |
9.44 |
8.04 |
7.55 |
7.45 |
Lender |
Flt |
1yr |
2yr |
3yr |
TSB Special |
8.64 |
7.24 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
Unity |
8.64 |
6.99 |
6.79 |
- |
Unity First Home Buyer special |
- |
- |
6.45 |
- |
Wairarapa Building Society |
8.60 |
6.95 |
6.85 |
- |
Westpac |
8.64 |
7.89 |
7.35 |
7.25 |
Westpac Choices Everyday |
8.74 |
- |
- |
- |
Westpac Offset |
8.64 |
- |
- |
- |
Westpac Special |
- |
7.29 |
6.75 |
6.65 |
Median |
8.64 |
7.29 |
7.29 |
6.65 |
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