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Property market predictions

It’s that time of year when we are all contemplating what the year ahead has in store… So here’s GRA managing director Matthew Gilligan’s property market predictions for 2020. [READ ON]

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John Key expects OCR cut

The Prime Minister John Key says he expects the Reserve Bank to cut interest rates next week as New Zealand deals with the aftermath of the Christchurch earthquake.

Wednesday, March 2nd 2011, 4:05PM

by Jenha White

In an interview with Bloomberg today he said "The market has priced in a cut from the Reserve Bank".

"That would probably be my expectation, that the Reserve Bank would cut, but it's for them to determine that"

This is in line with the predictions of economists from ANZ, Westpac, ASB and the Deutsche Bank which all expect the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to be cut by the Reserve Bank at next Thursday's Monetary Policy Statement.

Most predictions are for a 50 basis point cut from 3.00% to 2.50% and in that light, one-year rates from 10 lenders have already dropped by that amount in the last two days as seen in this story.

ANZ believes "the sheer scale of the event and pending impact on confidence warrants an immediate response" from the Reserve Bank.

However, BNZ and J P Morgan disagree with this opinion.

BNZ says the OCR is probably the wrong tool for the job, with cuts not only having little immediate impact on the Christchurch economy, but also having the potential to create distortions  and imbalances in the wider economy.

"Why use such a blunt nationally-set tool, creating indiscriminate winners and losers, when more direct, fiscal driven responses are by far the most appropriate and effective?"

Jenha is a TPL staff reporter. jenha@tarawera.co.nz

« 10 lenders cut short-term ratesWorking out Westpac's home loan book »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
ANZ 5.19 4.05 4.05 4.49
ANZ Special - 3.55 3.55 3.99
ASB Bank 5.20 3.89 4.05 4.39
ASB Bank Special - 3.39 3.55 3.89
BNZ - Classic - 3.49 3.55 3.89
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.90 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.35 - - -
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.30 4.45 4.35 4.55
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.30 - - -
China Construction Bank 5.50 4.70 4.80 4.95
China Construction Bank Special - 3.19 3.19 3.19
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Credit Union Auckland 5.95 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 5.65 4.75 4.75 -
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 5.65 4.75 4.75 -
Finance Direct - - - -
First Credit Union 5.85 3.99 4.49 -
Heartland 6.70 7.00 7.25 7.85
Heartland Bank - Online - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 4.80 4.95 -
HSBC Premier 5.24 3.54 3.54 3.69
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
HSBC Special - - - -
ICBC 5.15 3.18 3.18 3.20
Kainga Ora 5.18 3.97 4.05 4.39
Kiwibank 5.20 4.20 4.30 4.64
Kiwibank - Capped - - - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.15 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 3.45 3.55 3.89
Liberty 5.69 - - -
Napier Building Society - - - -
Nelson Building Society 5.70 4.25 4.15 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 5.64 - 5.44 5.44
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Pepper Money Prime 5.18 - 4.98 4.98
Pepper Money Specialist 7.59 - 7.39 7.39
Resimac 4.50 4.86 3.89 3.94
RESIMAC Special - - - -
SBS Bank 5.29 4.85 5.05 5.49
SBS Bank Special - 3.39 3.45 3.89
Sovereign 5.30 3.89 4.05 4.39
Sovereign Special - 3.39 3.55 3.89
The Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.15 3.49 3.59 3.89
The Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.15 3.99 4.09 4.39
TSB Bank 6.09 4.19 4.35 4.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
TSB Special 5.29 3.39 3.55 3.89
Wairarapa Building Society 5.70 4.85 4.99 -
Westpac 5.34 4.15 4.09 4.49
Westpac - Offset 5.34 - - -
Westpac Special - 3.39 3.55 3.99
Median 5.34 3.99 4.07 4.39

Last updated: 8 January 2020 3:37pm

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