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Interest rates likely to fall

Interest rates will likely fall with a thump next month, dropping half a per cent to 5 per cent, according to Deutsche Bank.

Saturday, May 17th 2003, 4:32PM

by The Landlord

There is a 60 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank would cut the official cash rate from 5.5 per cent to 5 per cent in three weeks, Deutsche Bank said.

"If the Reserve Bank is planning to go to 5 per cent anyway during this cycle, it will be bold and move early," Deutsche Bank chief economist Ulf Schoefisch said.

There would be at least another cut on July 24, taking the official cash rate down to 4.75 per cent Deutsche Bank said.

Other economists have predicted a 25 basis point cut on June 6, especially given Government Budget forecasts this week forecasting a sharp slowdown in growth this year.


The Budget predicts economic growth will halve from 4.4 per cent in the past year to just 2.2 per cent in the year to March 2004.

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.89 4.49 4.75 5.09
ANZ 5.79 5.09 5.29 5.69
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 4.69 5.09
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 4.75 5.09
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 4.69 5.09
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.39 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.49 4.79 5.09
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.99 5.29 5.59
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora 5.69 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society 6.49 4.59 4.69 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.09 5.29 5.69
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.69 5.09
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 3.99 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special 5.79 4.49 4.00 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special 5.79 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard 5.79 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 4.79 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 ▲5.49 ▲5.75
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 ▲4.89 ▲5.15
Median 5.94 4.59 4.92 5.09

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