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Banker predicts interest rates will fall next year

Dr John McDermott, chief economist at National Bank, has predicted interest rates will rise this year and fall back next.

Wednesday, June 30th 2004, 4:42AM

by The Landlord

He made his prediction after the bank's business outlook survey showed confidence edged higher this month.

Dr McDermott says their own activity indicator points to the economy growing at between 2.5 to three per cent in the next 12 months.

And he is relaxed about the general direction of interest rates, Newstalk ZB reported.

Dr McDermott said the higher rates go this year, the sooner they will come down next year.

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.89 4.49 4.49 4.79
ANZ 5.69 5.09 ▲5.29 ▲5.69
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 ▲4.69 ▲5.09
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 4.49 4.79
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 4.49 4.79
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.35 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.45 ▲4.79 ▲5.09
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.95 ▲5.29 ▲5.59
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora ▼5.69 ▼4.49 ▼4.49 ▼4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society 6.49 4.59 4.59 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.09 5.09 5.39
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special 5.79 4.39 4.49 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special ▼5.79 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard ▼5.79 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 4.59 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 ▲5.35 ▲5.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 ▲4.75 ▲5.05
Median 5.94 4.59 4.87 5.05

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