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Survey may hearten RB guv

Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard may be heartened by ASB Bank’s latest survey findings that expectations of house price increases are rapidly diminishing.

Monday, August 9th 2004, 9:39AM

by The Landlord

The survey covering the three months ended July shows only a net 2% now expect house prices to continue to rise over the next 12 months, down from a net 12% three months earlier and down from an average net 50% through 2003.

"People are being realistic in not expecting to see a repeat of the large price increases of the last two years," says ASB chief economist Anthony Byett.

The latest figures showed the national median house price has risen from $184,000 in June 2002 to $243,000 in June 2004, a 32% increase.


The survey also shows most people have got Bollard’s message that interest rates are rising: a net 68% expect interest rates to rise further. That’s up from 58% three months ago.

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build ▼3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans ▼5.89 4.49 4.49 4.79
ANZ 5.69 5.09 5.09 5.39
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 4.49 4.79
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 4.49 4.79
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime ▼6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised ▼7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 4.49 4.79
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans ▼3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans ▼6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans ▼6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans ▼6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.35 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.45 4.49 4.79
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.95 4.99 5.29
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online ▼5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora 6.29 4.75 4.75 4.99
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society ▼6.49 4.59 ▼4.59 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank ▼5.84 5.09 5.09 5.39
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo ▼3.29 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank ▼6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special ▼5.79 4.39 4.49 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special 6.39 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard 6.39 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 4.59 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 5.05 5.35
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 4.45 4.75
Median 6.05 4.67 4.85 4.85

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