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NZIER predicts further rises in interest rates by 0.5% by end of year, as inflat

A private economic research group predicts interest rates will rise by half a percentage point by the end of the year as inflation looks set to breach the Reserve Bank's target band.

Tuesday, August 31st 2004, 8:40AM

by The Landlord

The Institute of Economic Research's quarterly forecast shows that that alongside buoyant economic growth, New Zealand has experienced high employment growth, moderate inflation, fiscal surpluses and a better than average current account deficit.

Increased trade was a key factor spurring on growth, which prevented strong domestic demand being accompanied by a blowout in the current account deficit.

The NZIER is forecasting that the rapid rate of economic expansion will slow to 2.5 percent in the March 2006 year, before picking up to 3.0 percent in the following two years.


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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 3.34 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 5.89 4.49 4.49 4.79
ANZ 5.69 5.09 ▲5.29 ▲5.69
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.49 ▲4.69 ▲5.09
ASB Bank 5.79 4.49 4.49 4.79
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.35 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 7.55 - - -
Basecorp Finance 6.35 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 5.84 4.49 4.49 4.79
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 3.95 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.05 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 6.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 6.95 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.35 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 4.99 4.45 ▲4.79 ▲5.09
Co-operative Bank - Standard 4.99 4.95 ▲5.29 ▲5.59
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 4.79 4.95 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.49 5.39 5.55 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.30 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage 7.99 - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 5.39 4.25 4.59 4.79
Kainga Ora ▼5.69 ▼4.49 ▼4.49 ▼4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 5.65 5.39 5.39 5.65
Kiwibank - Offset 5.65 - - -
Kiwibank Special 6.15 4.49 4.49 4.85
Liberty 6.65 6.55 6.22 6.20
Nelson Building Society 6.49 4.59 4.59 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.55 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 5.99 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.00 - - -
SBS Bank 5.84 5.09 5.09 5.39
SBS Bank Special - 4.49 4.49 4.79
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.74 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo 3.29 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 7.99 - - -
TSB Bank 6.59 5.19 5.29 5.59
TSB Special 5.79 4.39 4.49 4.79
Unity First Home Buyer special - 3.99 - -
Unity Special ▼5.79 4.49 4.65 -
Unity Standard ▼5.79 5.29 5.45 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.15 4.59 4.59 -
Westpac 5.89 5.09 ▲5.35 ▲5.65
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 5.99 - - -
Westpac Offset 5.89 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.49 ▲4.75 ▲5.05
Median 5.94 4.59 4.87 5.05

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