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Waiting for the appointment

Friday, May 7th 2010, 5:24PM

by Philip Macalister

Sometimes sitting and waiting for an important appointment is one of the hardest things to do. It feels like that at the moment, as we are just under a fortnight out from what maybe one of the biggest forces to hit the property investment world – the May 20 Budget.

The government has made it clear changes are imminent, but what is in store still remains a mystery. In talking to property investors there is a view that the changes will not be as big, as first indicated. Maybe it will be changes to depreciation rules and a little bit more tinkering.


Then maybe investors are being lulled into some false sense of security, thinking this government isn’t bold enough to make mega-changes which would hurt a core constituency?

While the changes are unknown their pending announcement is being blamed for a subdued housing market.

This week Barfoot & Thompson put out its latest sales stats for the Auckland market. These showed that sale prices dropped by more than $3,000 last month.

Likewise, ASB put out its quarterly housing confidence report. This too showed things are pretty subdued at the moment. Indeed ASB is predicting that house prices could fall 3% to 4% this year due to a lack of buyer appetite.

I think that is a pretty brave call. Many of the factors which influence the market are reasonably neutral at the moment. Perhaps the biggest factor in real estate land is the “wide imbalance” between supply and demand.

I’m wondering if once the Budget comes around people will act quite quickly and try and sell properties (if the news is bad) or whether the opposite happens. That is if the changes are palatable, uncertainty is removed and buyers will act quickly.

Perhaps this situation would be helped by the prospect that interest rates will start increasing in June or July at the latest. Whatever, getting this appointment behind us is something all investors are looking forward to.
« A sad tale of positive cash flow propertyKey on property investors' menu too? »

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 4.94 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ANZ 7.39 6.39 6.19 6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 5.79 5.59 5.59
ASB Bank 7.39 ▼5.79 ▼5.49 ▼5.59
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance ▼7.90 - - -
Basecorp Finance ▼8.35 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.54 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 7.54 - - -
BNZ - Std 7.44 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney 7.54 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - ▼5.69 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 6.95 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard 6.95 ▼6.29 ▼6.09 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - ▼5.99 ▼5.89 -
First Credit Union Standard ▼7.69 ▼6.69 ▼6.39 -
Heartland Bank - Online ▼6.99 ▼5.49 ▼5.39 ▼5.45
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.60 6.65 6.40 -
ICBC 7.49 ▼5.79 ▼5.59 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 7.25 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset 7.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special 7.25 5.99 5.69 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society ▼7.94 5.95 6.09 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank ▼7.49 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - 6.15 5.69 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo ▼4.94 5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank 8.19 6.49 ▼6.39 ▼6.39
TSB Special 7.39 5.69 ▼5.59 ▼5.59
Unity 7.64 5.99 5.69 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.10 6.05 5.79 -
Westpac 7.39 6.39 6.09 6.19
Westpac Choices Everyday 7.49 - - -
Westpac Offset 7.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - 5.79 5.49 5.59
Median 7.49 5.99 5.79 5.69

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