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What’s driving the market?

Who can predict where the property market is going in 2018? You can – if you know which economic indicators to watch to understand where the market is headed.

Monday, February 12th 2018, 8:00AM

by The Landlord

If you pay too much attention to the newspaper headlines exclaiming “the market will crash within three months!” and then, simultaneously, “values will increase 10% this year!” it will tie your head in knots.

Ignore the inflammatory headlines – all you really need to know and understand is the balancing act of supply and demand.

Essentially, you’re trying to make sense of why demand will increase or decrease.

But what drives supply and demand? In this month’s issue of NZ Property Investor magazine we set out to explain.

We asked the experts which key economic indicators are worth paying attention to this year and we found out what the current data is saying about the 2018 property market.

Armed with this information, you can make your own predictions as to where the market is headed.

Here are the major market drivers as identified by the experts we spoke to:

• Population growth (including migration) versus supply
• Interest rates
• Credit control
• Looming legislation and its impact
• Labour market strength
• Sales volumes
• FOMO and catch up

To read more about these drivers and what they are indicating about 2018, click here to get the digital issue of NZ Property Investor magazine.

Subscribe to NZ Property Investor magazine here to get great stories like this delivered to your mailbox every month.

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
ANZ 5.79 4.55 4.79 4.99
ANZ Special - 4.05 4.29 4.49
ASB Bank 5.80 4.45 4.69 4.89
ASB Bank Special - 4.05 4.29 4.49
BNZ - Mortgage One 6.50 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 5.95 - - -
BNZ - Special - 4.05 4.29 4.49
BNZ - Std, FlyBuys 5.90 4.69 4.79 4.99
BNZ - TotalMoney 5.90 - - -
Credit Union Auckland 6.70 - - -
Credit Union Baywide 6.15 5.20 5.25 -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Credit Union North 6.45 - - -
Credit Union South 6.45 - - -
Finance Direct - - - -
First Credit Union 5.85 - - -
Heartland 6.70 7.00 7.25 7.85
Heartland Bank - Online - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 5.75 4.70 4.85 -
Housing NZ Corp 5.80 4.69 4.79 4.79
HSBC Premier 5.89 3.99 4.19 4.69
HSBC Premier LVR > 80% - - - -
HSBC Special - 3.95 3.95 3.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
ICBC 5.80 4.59 4.69 5.09
Kiwibank 5.80 4.80 4.94 5.24
Kiwibank - Capped - - - -
Kiwibank - Offset 5.80 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 4.05 4.19 4.49
Liberty 5.69 - - -
Napier Building Society - - - -
Nelson Building Society 6.10 5.10 5.45 -
Resimac 5.30 4.86 4.94 5.30
RESIMAC Special - - - -
SBS Bank 5.89 4.85 5.05 5.49
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Bank Special - 4.05 4.29 4.49
Sovereign 5.90 4.45 4.69 4.89
Sovereign Special - 4.05 4.29 4.49
The Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.75 4.10 4.29 4.49
The Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.75 4.00 4.79 4.99
TSB Bank 5.80 4.55 4.69 4.99
TSB Special - 4.05 4.19 4.49
Wairarapa Building Society 5.70 4.85 4.99 -
Westpac 5.95 4.69 4.79 5.19
Westpac - Offset 5.95 - - -
Westpac Special - 3.99 4.29 4.59
Median 5.89 4.50 4.69 4.84

Last updated: 11 February 2019 10:01am

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